🏷️ Likely Rental
6269 W Itawamba St · Waveland, MS
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.43%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a nice 3 bd, 2 full bathrooms. BRAND NEW ROOF and brand new AC unit with warranty! It is currently rented, but current tenant is living on a month to month basis. Nice-sized fenced back yard. Designed with an open floor plan, and is spacious. House needs some TLC, and is priced to sell as-is. Would be a great investment opportunity with the live-in tenant, air bnb, or fixer upper for your family home. Nice neighborhood, and close to the beach, shopping, and restaurants. Only app. 8.5 miles from the desirable downtown Bay Saint Louis, and less than a hour from New Orleans and the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Fenced back yard
- Brand new roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($847/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.5% in Waveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#199 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 601 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.43%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,075
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -22.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6182 W Jackson St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-5%) | 5mo | $105,300 | $80 | 83 |
| 6123 W Lamar St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (+1%) | 4mo | $124,900 | $89 | 79 |
| 6102 W Forrest St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,359 (-2%) | 6mo | $138,000 | $102 | 76 |
| 6141 W Jackson St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,297 (-6%) | 6mo | $119,900 | $92 | 74 |
| 6045 W Clay St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+0%) | 2mo | $134,900 | $97 | 72 |
| 6098 W Ridley St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-5%) | 1mo | $119,995 | $91 | 72 |
| 6263 E Newton St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-6%) | 1mo | $129,900 | $100 | 65 |
| 6191 W Desoto St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+11%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $78 | 64 |
| 6201 E Jackson St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-5%) | 6mo | $129,995 | $98 | 61 |
| 6125 E Madison St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-5%) | 4mo | $84,500 | $64 | 55 |
| 6195 E Jackson St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,195 (-14%) | 4mo | $123,900 | $104 | 48 |
| 6122 E Jackson St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,185 (-14%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $114 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-10,613
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,285
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39520
- Active inventory
- 601
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8016 Lowndes St Bay St Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,250 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6227 E Newton St Bay St Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6225 E Newton St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 11d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6095 E Lamar St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,645 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6004 E Jackson St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7132 Sunflower St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 933 | $1,400 | $1.50 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This is a nice 3 bd, 2 full bathrooms. BRAND NEW ROOF and brand new AC unit with warranty! It is currently rented, but current tenant is living on a month to month basis. Nice-sized fenced back yard. Designed with an open floor plan, and is spacious. House needs some TLC, and is priced to sell as-is. Would be a great investment opportunity with the live-in tenant, air bnb, or fixer upper for your family home. Nice neighborhood, and close to the beach, shopping, and restaurants. Only app. 8.5 miles from the desirable downtown Bay Saint Louis, and less than a hour from New Orleans and the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
-
2026-04-30status Pending 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This is a nice 3 bd, 2 full bathrooms. BRAND NEW ROOF and brand new AC unit with warranty! It is currently rented, but current tenant is living on a month to month basis. Nice-sized fenced back yard. Designed with an open floor plan, and is spacious. House needs some TLC, and is priced to sell as-is. Would be a great investment opportunity with the live-in tenant, air bnb, or fixer upper for your family home. Nice neighborhood, and close to the beach, shopping, and restaurants. Only app. 8.5 miles from the desirable downtown Bay Saint Louis, and less than a hour from New Orleans and the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
-
2026-03-12price $95,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This is a nice 3 bd, 2 full bathrooms. BRAND NEW ROOF and brand new AC unit with warranty! It is currently rented, but current tenant is living on a month to month basis. Nice-sized fenced back yard. Designed with an open floor plan, and is spacious. House needs some TLC, and is priced to sell as-is. Would be a great investment opportunity with the live-in tenant, air bnb, or fixer upper for your family home. Nice neighborhood, and close to the beach, shopping, and restaurants. Only app. 8.5 miles from the desirable downtown Bay Saint Louis, and less than a hour from New Orleans and the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
-
2026-02-02price $105,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This is a nice 3 bd, 2 full bathrooms. BRAND NEW ROOF and brand new AC unit with warranty! It is currently rented, but current tenant is living on a month to month basis. Nice-sized fenced back yard. Designed with an open floor plan, and is spacious. House needs some TLC, and is priced to sell as-is. Would be a great investment opportunity with the live-in tenant, air bnb, or fixer upper for your family home. Nice neighborhood, and close to the beach, shopping, and restaurants. Only app. 8.5 miles from the desirable downtown Bay Saint Louis, and less than a hour from New Orleans and the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
-
2026-01-08$100,000 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This is a nice 3 bd, 2 full bathrooms. BRAND NEW ROOF and brand new AC unit with warranty! It is currently rented, but current tenant is living on a month to month basis. Nice-sized fenced back yard. Designed with an open floor plan, and is spacious. House needs some TLC, and is priced to sell as-is. Would be a great investment opportunity with the live-in tenant, air bnb, or fixer upper for your family home. Nice neighborhood, and close to the beach, shopping, and restaurants. Only app. 8.5 miles from the desirable downtown Bay Saint Louis, and less than a hour from New Orleans and the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
-
2010-07-19soldstatus 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Very nice modular designed to meet post Katrina standards. Pre-approval required. Two year HOW and 3% BCC with accepted offer for homeowners. Ready to move into with all appliances, covered parking, private well.
-
2010-04-06$43,500 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Very nice modular designed to meet post Katrina standards. Pre-approval required. Two year HOW and 3% BCC with accepted offer for homeowners. Ready to move into with all appliances, covered parking, private well.
-
2008-03-19soldstatus
-
2007-10-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,498 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,498 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 43% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$5,594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,409
- − Management
- −$1,409
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$379
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$91
- After-tax cash flow
- $938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801740
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,971
- Composite
- 38.88/100
- National rank
- #4099
- State rank
- #23 of 130 in MS
Livability — Waveland
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #18110
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,249
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,471
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,161 people
- By 2030
- 54,753 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 59,242 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 62,417 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 68,168 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 69,212 · +32.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.80%
- Current HPI
- 227.2103
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+118.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $95,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $105,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-08 Listed $100,000 MLSU
- 2010-07-19 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2010-04-06 Listed $43,500 MLSU
- 2008-03-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-10-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,498 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…