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14 Seventh St
B+ Composite 77.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$125,000

14 Seventh St · Salem, NJ 08079
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1925 3,058 sqft lot Est $167k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in a charming neighborhood, this exquisite Colonial twin home, built in 1925, seamlessly blends timeless elegance with modern comfort. With 1,176 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this residence invites you to experience a lifestyle of warmth and sophistication. As you step inside, you are greeted by a cozy ambiance that radiates throughout the home. The spacious living area, adorned with classic architectural details, offers the perfect setting for both intimate gatherings and lively entertaining. Natural light pours in through the windows, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere that makes every moment spent here feel special. The heart of the home features a we

Key facts

  • Low-maintenance yard
  • On-street parking
  • Quaint outdoor space

Tags

CLASSIC ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENQUAINT OUTDOOR SPACELOW-MAINTENANCE YARDON-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached home; Above-grade finished area about 1,176 (per assessor); Living area source: Assessor; Ownership: Fee simple
  • Construction: Frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 153

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Electric cooling; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $389 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $-475 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.57%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,992
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 9th St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-2%) 1mo $224,000 $195 75
28 Chestnut St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-2%) 9mo $118,000 $102 60
29 Ward St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,112 (-5%) 16mo $165,000 $148 56
318 Fenwick Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+14%) 3mo $191,250 $142 52
200 Smith St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,212 (+3%) 10mo $140,000 $116 50
304 New Market St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,310 (+11%) 4mo $186,000 $142 45
308 Keasbey St 0.74mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,274 (+8%) 20mo $179,900 $141 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$23,099
Equity at exit
$33,938
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$71,497
Equity at exit
$38,958

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,718 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,347/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 3d 1 0.02mi
37 Eighth St Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,850 $1.69 1d 1 0.05mi
242 Grant St Unit 1ST FLOOR Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 925 $1,675 $1.81 1d 1 0.24mi
1 9th St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 1d 1 0.44mi
26 Walnut St Unit A Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,225 $1.23 1d 1 0.54mi
218 Sinnickson St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,500 $1.49 1d 1 0.64mi
56 Olive St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 1d 1 0.76mi
380 E Broadway Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 1d 1 0.77mi
124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,350 $1.11 2d 1 1.27mi
124 Yorke St Unit 2BR Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 10d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on marketlisting id $125,000 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $127,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,500 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,500 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,500 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,500 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    price $1,525
  15. 2026-05-20
    price $128,000
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $129,000
  17. 2026-05-08
    price $1,575
  18. 2026-05-05
    listed $130,000 Active
  19. 2026-04-30
    historical $130,000
  20. 2026-04-10
    price $1,625
  21. 2026-03-23
    listed $1,850
  22. 2025-09-08
    soldstatus $70,000
  23. 2023-09-11
    soldstatus $45,000
  24. 2015-07-01
    soldstatus $195,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,347 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,730 · $227/mo
Expected delta
+$383/yr (+$32/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,617
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,347
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,649
− Management
−$1,649
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$890
After-tax cash flow
$4,559/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $128,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $129,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $1,575 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $1,625 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-03-23 Listed for Rent $1,850 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2015-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,347 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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