2003 Cleveland Ave · Charleston, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome Home to 2003 Cleveland Avenue! This ranch-style home features 2 Bedrooms/2 Bathrooms, an attached 2 car garage and approximately 1,024 square feet! This property is Sold AS-IS. Equal Housing Opportunity
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Built 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Quarter-acre to half-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level, 12 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Bedroom 2 (main level, 11 x 10); Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Dining room; Family room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $44k).
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 4.0% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#293 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools F.
- Charleston CUSD 1 (town): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #489 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.90%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 20th St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-6%) | 20mo | $35,000 | $36 | 71 |
| 1714 12th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+5%) | 1mo | $122,500 | $114 | 66 |
| 1801 Garfield Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+3%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $104 | 60 |
| 1801 Garfield Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+3%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $104 | 60 |
| 2019 10th St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,065 (+4%) | 3mo | $119,500 | $112 | 57 |
| 1416 13th St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 994 (-3%) | 15mo | $103,500 | $104 | 49 |
| 2015 9th St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,084 (+6%) | 10mo | $122,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 1410 14th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,113 (+9%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $81 | 45 |
| 2015 & 2017 10th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $36 | 45 |
| 1413 13th St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,111 (+8%) | 11mo | $101,000 | $91 | 43 |
| 1414 14th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-14%) | 19mo | $114,000 | $130 | 28 |
| 1810 10th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,174 (+15%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $38 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $16,412
- Equity at exit
- $6,561
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $44,794
- Equity at exit
- $3,804
Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61920
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $963 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$231
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $381 | +0% $369 | +5% $356 | +10% $344 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $293 | -5% $331 | +0% $369 | +5% $407 | +10% $445 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $391 | -0.5pp $380 | base $369 | +0.5pp $357 | +1.0pp $346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,000
- Closing costs
- $1,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2204 9th St Charleston, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1408 6th St Charleston, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1346 | $729 | $0.54 | 45d | 3 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $44,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 210-char remark
-
2026-06-13$44,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,465
- − Property taxes
- −$1,713
- − Insurance
- −$220
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$924
- − Management
- −$924
- − Depreciation
- −$1,280
- Taxable income
- $4,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleston CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1709600
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,724
- Composite
- 14.45/100
- National rank
- #9429
- State rank
- #489 of 620 in IL
Livability — Charleston
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #5627
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleston, IL
- County
- Coles County · 41,301 people
- City population
- 20,951
- Metro
- Charleston-Mattoon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,951
- Household income
- $52,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1209.0
Population outlook (Coles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,967 people
- By 2030
- 53,829 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 52,332 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 49,989 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 42,226 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 34,675 · -35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coles
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.5) · D 34.9% · R 63.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -28.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+26.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.97%
- Current HPI
- 153.8607
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charleston-Mattoon, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-37.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $44,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,713 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…