310 5th Ave · Kewanee, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$19,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Shabby Handyman Special! If you want to start your remodel with a shovel this is the house for you. Currently occupied so Drive-By viewing only. Cash is King. Call today.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Built 1892
- Listed 50 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Facing direction not provided; Entry level details not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 156; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Master bedroom on main level (13 x 10); Second bedroom on second level (14 x 12); Third bedroom on second level (14 x 13)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 54.2% vs local median 8.6% in Kewanee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Kewanee CUSD 229 (town): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #540 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Belle Alexander Elem School (254 students, 0% FRL); Central Elem (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #583 of 665 statewide, top 89%, 344 students, 0% FRL); Kewanee High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #506 of 693 statewide, top 74%, 581 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $136 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $591 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 54.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 171.18%
- DSCR
- 8.62
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,229
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 W 1st St | 0.23mi | 3/3.0 | 1,263 (-2%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $94 | 72 |
| 216 N Boss St St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,255 (-2%) | 5mo | $103,000 | $82 | 71 |
| 422 Ross St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 2mo | $64,900 | $54 | 67 |
| 1111 Pine St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,360 (+6%) | 2mo | $34,000 | $25 | 64 |
| 521 W Mill St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+1%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 213 Elliott St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-9%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $47 | 61 |
| 216 Hillcrest Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (-3%) | 7mo | $84,000 | $67 | 55 |
| 216 Hillcrest Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (-3%) | 7mo | $84,000 | $67 | 55 |
| 323 S Chestnut St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,098 (-15%) | 8mo | $67,500 | $61 | 51 |
| 206 Roosevelt Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,317 (+2%) | 6mo | $112,000 | $85 | 51 |
| 410 Ross St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,114 (-13%) | 8mo | $33,000 | $30 | 47 |
| 237 Birch Pl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+12%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $167 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.51×
- Total profit
- $46,941
- Equity at exit
- $2,937
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.12×
- Total profit
- $105,478
- Equity at exit
- $1,703
Cash invested: $5,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61443
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,168 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$103
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $296/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $787
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $800 | -5% $794 | +0% $787 | +5% $780 | +10% $773 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $695 | -5% $741 | +0% $787 | +5% $833 | +10% $879 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $797 | -0.5pp $792 | base $787 | +0.5pp $782 | +1.0pp $777 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,925
- Closing costs
- $591
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $19,700 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $19,700 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $19,700 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $19,700 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $19,700 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,700 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,700 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $19,700 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 171-char remark
-
2026-06-12$19,700 Active 41 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,104
- − Property taxes
- −$296
- − Insurance
- −$98
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$573
- Taxable income
- $9,706
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,330
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kewanee CUSD 229
- NCES district ID
- 1721000
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,294
- Composite
- 11.77/100
- National rank
- #9682
- State rank
- #540 of 620 in IL
Livability — Kewanee
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #409
- US rank
- #8423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kewanee, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,529
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,376 people
- By 2030
- 45,920 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 42,829 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 39,606 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 31,848 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 23,503 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.32%
- Current HPI
- 121.8672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,472 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…