7300 Simmons Church Rd · Centerburg, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly updated 2 bedroom home in convenient location. You do not want to miss out on this great property. Bathroom and kitchen have been recently updated! Lots of great features.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Walk in wardrobe
- Updated full bath
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1945; No common walls
- Construction: Block foundation (listed under exterior construction)
- Exterior features: Block foundation
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space/partial basement; 656 total living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.6% in Centerburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#367 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Centerburg Local (rural): math 60% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #183 of 656 in OH (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 195 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.75%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $14,435
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $54,051
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43011
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,514 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $796/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $507
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $538 | +0% $507 | +5% $476 | +10% $445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $387 | -5% $447 | +0% $507 | +5% $567 | +10% $626 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $562 | -0.5pp $535 | base $507 | +0.5pp $478 | +1.0pp $449 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-05-05$110,000 Active
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2026-05-05$110,000 Active
-
2022-07-27soldstatus $85,000
-
2022-07-25soldstatus $85,000 Closed 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Newly updated 2 bedroom home in convenient location. You do not want to miss out on this great property. Bathroom and kitchen have been recently updated! Lots of great features.
-
2022-06-26status Pending 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Newly updated 2 bedroom home in convenient location. You do not want to miss out on this great property. Bathroom and kitchen have been recently updated! Lots of great features.
-
2022-06-21price $90,000 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Newly updated 2 bedroom home in convenient location. You do not want to miss out on this great property. Bathroom and kitchen have been recently updated! Lots of great features.
-
2022-06-08price $100,000 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Newly updated 2 bedroom home in convenient location. You do not want to miss out on this great property. Bathroom and kitchen have been recently updated! Lots of great features.
-
2022-05-28$110,000 Active 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Newly updated 2 bedroom home in convenient location. You do not want to miss out on this great property. Bathroom and kitchen have been recently updated! Lots of great features.
-
2022-05-05soldstatus $62,900
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2022-04-05soldstatus $62,900 Closed
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2022-02-17status Pending
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2022-02-03status Active
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2022-01-15status Pending
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2022-01-03price $62,900
-
2021-12-09price $69,900
-
2021-12-03price $76,500
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2021-11-23price $79,500
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2021-11-12price $82,500
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2021-11-03price $89,900
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2021-10-27price $95,000
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2021-08-07price $99,900
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2021-08-02price $104,900
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2021-07-26price $106,900
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2021-07-07$109,900 Active
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2007-08-01historical
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2006-09-06$48,900
-
2003-01-07soldstatus $48,000
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2003-01-03soldstatus $48,000
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2002-09-07$54,900
-
1999-12-27soldstatus $28,000
-
1999-12-20soldstatus $28,000
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1999-11-11$30,000
-
1988-08-23soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $796 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,256 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 57.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,164
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$796
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,092
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Centerburg Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904782
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,410
- Composite
- 57.07/100
- National rank
- #1105
- State rank
- #183 of 656 in OH
Livability — Centerburg
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #5932
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Knox · 63,297 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,978
- Household income
- $97,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.4
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 60,036 people
- By 2030
- 58,670 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 54,963 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 51,353 · -14.5%
- By 2075
- 43,196 · -28.0%
- By 2100
- 34,514 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.9) · D 27.1% · R 72.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.9 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.67%
- Current HPI
- 314.3209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+340.0% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — KCBOR
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $110,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $110,000 KCBOR
- 2022-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-25 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CBRMLS
- 2022-06-26 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2022-06-21 Price Changed $90,000 CBRMLS
- 2022-06-08 Price Changed $100,000 CBRMLS
- 2022-05-28 Listed $110,000 CBRMLS
- 2022-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $62,900 Public Records
- 2022-04-05 Sold (MLS) $62,900 CBRMLS
- 2022-02-17 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2022-02-03 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2022-01-15 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2022-01-03 Price Changed $62,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-12-09 Price Changed $69,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-12-03 Price Changed $76,500 CBRMLS
- 2021-11-23 Price Changed $79,500 CBRMLS
- 2021-11-12 Price Changed $82,500 CBRMLS
- 2021-11-03 Price Changed $89,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-10-27 Price Changed $95,000 CBRMLS
- 2021-08-07 Price Changed $99,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-08-02 Price Changed $104,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-07-26 Price Changed $106,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-07-07 Listed $109,900 CBRMLS
- 2007-08-01 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2006-09-06 Listed $48,900 CBRMLS
- 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2003-01-03 Sold (MLS) $48,000 CBRMLS
- 2002-09-07 Listed $54,900 CBRMLS
- 1999-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1999-12-20 Sold (MLS) $28,000 CBRMLS
- 1999-11-11 Listed $30,000 CBRMLS
- 1988-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $796 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…