1200 E Court St · Tarpon Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great house in need of some finishing touches. Possible in-law set up with separate entrance.
Key facts
- Private entrance
- New windows
- 9,544 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; Water and sewer available and connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two stories; Faces north; Entry level on slab foundation
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.22-acre lot (75 x 127)
- Exterior features: Lighting; Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.3% in Tarpon Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#502 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Tarpon Springs Elementary School (math 57% / reading 41%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 506 students, 80% FRL); Tarpon Springs Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 644 students, 50% FRL); Tarpon Springs High School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 667 statewide, top 49%, 1,139 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.89%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $419,924
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 S Highland Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (+1%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $244 | 87 |
| 1304 E Court St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (+9%) | 9mo | $262,000 | $140 | 72 |
| 1272 Jasmine Lake Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,619 (-6%) | 0mo | $490,000 | $303 | 69 |
| 1212 Salt Lake Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,697 (-1%) | 22mo | $529,900 | $312 | 56 |
| 640 Spring Lake Cir | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (-8%) | 21mo | $382,500 | $241 | 49 |
| 717 Boston St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (-14%) | 15mo | $349,000 | $237 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-19,404
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-13,996
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34689
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,248 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$213 /mo · $2,553/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $407 | +0% $346 | +5% $285 | +10% $224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $168 | -5% $257 | +0% $346 | +5% $435 | +10% $523 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $400 | base $346 | +0.5pp $290 | +1.0pp $233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 S Highland Ave #101 Tarpon Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,795 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 816 Elkan Dr Tarpon Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 617 Pent St Tarpon Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 605 S Disston Ave Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $2,120 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 610 N Walton Ave Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,045 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 401 E Boyer St Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,099 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 401 E Boyer St Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,299 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 401 E Boyer St Unit 3 Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,099 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 326 S Grosse Ave Apt 2 Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,098 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 141 N Ring Ave Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $2,600 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 109 Hibiscus St Unit 1 Tarpon Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1968 | $1,750 | $0.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1185 S Pinellas Ave Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,735 | $2.70 | 3d | 21 | 1.43mi |
| 1483 Hillview Ln Tarpon Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2158 | $2,550 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 680-char remark
-
2026-06-17$215,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,553 · $213/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,553 · $213/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,553
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,158
- − Management
- −$2,158
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$175
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tarpon Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #502
- US rank
- #9244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tarpon Springs, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 27,324
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,324
- Household income
- $74,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.96%
- Current HPI
- 303.7434
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.16%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+309.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-29 Sold (MLS) $152,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-08 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1983-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,553 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…