5050 Ridgeview Dr · Arnold, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for a home on 7.6 acres. The home needs some TLC and is on septic and well.
Key facts
- 7.6 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1968
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 7.6 acres of land
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected (Ameren)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story layout; Residential property
- Construction: Built with other/unspecified construction materials
- Exterior features: Property sits on a mostly level, wooded lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; No central air
- Interior features: Level living; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.7% in Arnold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#396 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Fox C-6 (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #103 of 324 in MO (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Seckman Elem. (math 48% / reading 52%, grade D+, #280 of 1,115 statewide, top 25%, 486 students, 15% FRL); Seckman Sr. High (math 22% / reading 64%, grade F, #211 of 521 statewide, top 41%, 1,793 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.24%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,150
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $15,976
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63010
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,386 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $287 | +0% $250 | +5% $213 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $141 | -5% $195 | +0% $250 | +5% $305 | +10% $360 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $316 | -0.5pp $283 | base $250 | +0.5pp $216 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 E Rock Creek Mnr Arnold, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-02status $130,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,330
- − Management
- −$1,330
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $949
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fox C-6
- NCES district ID
- 2912300
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,849
- Composite
- 37.54/100
- National rank
- #4392
- State rank
- #103 of 324 in MO
Livability — Arnold
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #396
- US rank
- #17082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 108,544 people
- City population
- 34,478
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,478
- Household income
- $79,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,088 people
- By 2030
- 238,365 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 240,156 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 234,651 · -0.2%
- By 2075
- 214,569 · -8.7%
- By 2100
- 179,697 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% American 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -258.53%
- Current HPI
- 190.586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,306 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…