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8891 Bella Vista Dr
D Composite 40.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,900

8891 Bella Vista Dr · Boca Raton, FL 33433
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 908 sqft · Condo public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1977

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICE JUST REDUCED!! MOTIVATED SELLER SAYS SUBMIT OFFERS! You will fall in love with this bright and spacious 2 bedroom condo style Villa in Boca Lakes, a gated and vibrant 55+ community. This one level Villa style residence boasts an abundance of cabinetry and closet space, highlighted by a huge closet in the primary bedroom. Tile flooring throughout adds a touch of elegance with easy maintenance. Lovely updated bathroom with large shower. Side by side washer and dryer. Enjoy serene moments on your private patio on a lake, accessible via sliding glass doors. For added peace of mind this Villa is equipped with accordion shutters, offering both security and ease during storm season. The C

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Clubhouse
  • Accordion shutters

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYPRIVATE PATIOACCORDION SHUTTERSUPDATED BATHROOMTILE FLOORINGCLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Condo
  • Construction: Living area approximately 908 (unit unspecified)
  • Exterior features: Lot size approximately 1 (unit unspecified)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $163k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $163k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 430 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,239 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.6%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-39,506
Equity at exit
$24,289
10-year hold
IRR
-50.3%
Equity multiple
-0.41×
Total profit
$-64,367
Equity at exit
$14,085

Cash invested: $45,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33433

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
430
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$854
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,168/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$599
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$-126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,260
Max offer price $140,566
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,725
Closing costs
$4,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8833 Bella Vista Dr #8833 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 908 $3,250 $3.58 24d 1 0.07mi
20927 Sedgewick Dr Unit 20927 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.0 908 $1,950 $2.15 24d 1 0.13mi
8732 Bella Vista Dr #42 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 908 $1,900 $2.09 24d 1 0.18mi
20867 Wendall Ter Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 908 $1,800 $1.98 24d 1 0.18mi
8540 Chevy Chase Dr Unit 8540 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.0 908 $2,000 $2.20 24d 1 0.38mi
20940 Uptown Ave Boca Raton, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.0 1227 $2,650 $2.16 1d 50 0.78mi
117 Brighton Dr Unit 117 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $2,500 $2.98 24d 1 1.02mi
119 Dorset Dr Unit 119 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,400 $2.33 24d 1 1.08mi
57 Dorset B Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,600 $1.90 24d 1 1.11mi
22 Brighton Dr Unit 22 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 8d 1 1.12mi
52 Dorset B Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,575 $1.88 20d 1 1.14mi
186 Dorset E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 835 $1,550 $1.86 24d 1 1.14mi
170 Dorset E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 835 $1,525 $1.83 24d 1 1.14mi
82 Fanshaw Dr Unit 82 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 702 $1,250 $1.78 24d 1 1.15mi
156 Brighton Dr Unit 156 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 720 $1,350 $1.88 24d 1 1.16mi
251 Brighton Dr Unit 251 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 720 $1,450 $2.01 8d 1 1.16mi
365 Brighton I Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,999 $2.38 24d 1 1.16mi
84 Brighton B Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,600 $1.90 24d 1 1.16mi
129 Brighton D Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 720 $1,300 $1.81 24d 1 1.16mi
365 Brighton I Unit 365 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,899 $2.26 24d 1 1.16mi
359 Brighton I Unit I Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 735 $1,550 $2.11 24d 1 1.16mi
321 Dorset Dr Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 720 $1,590 $2.21 24d 1 1.18mi
67 Fanshaw Dr Unit 670 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 835 $1,750 $2.10 15d 1 1.18mi
335 Brighton Dr Unit 335 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,990 $2.37 24d 1 1.18mi
277 Brighton G Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 840 $1,850 $2.20 4d 1 1.19mi
314 Brighton H Unit H Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 720 $1,500 $2.08 14d 1 1.19mi
251 Brighton F Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 720 $1,450 $2.01 24d 1 1.19mi
1015 Cornwall Dr Unit 1015 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 885 $1,795 $2.03 24d 1 1.19mi
1067 Cornwall D Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 751 $1,600 $2.13 24d 1 1.19mi
32 Fanshaw Dr Unit 32 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 819 $1,975 $2.41 11d 1 1.21mi
9817 Arbor Oaks Ln Boca Raton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $2,095 $1.89 1d 27 1.21mi
33 Fanshaw Dr Unit 33 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 835 $1,975 $2.37 24d 1 1.23mi
4008 Cornwall a Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 738 $1,600 $2.17 24d 1 1.25mi
8 Fanshaw Dr Unit 8 Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.0 585 $1,300 $2.22 8d 1 1.26mi
4078 Exeter Unit E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 861 $1,475 $1.71 3d 1 1.28mi
4085 Cornwall E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 880 $1,650 $1.88 24d 1 1.28mi
3085 Cornwall E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 880 $1,699 $1.93 24d 1 1.28mi
3082 Cornwall E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 880 $1,550 $1.76 19d 1 1.29mi
4067 Ainslie Dr #4067 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 861 $1,815 $2.11 24d 1 1.30mi
3070 Cornwall D Boca Raton, FL 1.0 1.5 738 $3,200 $4.34 24d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
security
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $162,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $162,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $162,900 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,900 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,900 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,900 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,900 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $162,900 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $162,900 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,900 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,900 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-03-17
    price $162,900
  13. 2026-03-09
    listed $169,000 Active
  14. 2022-12-08
    soldstatus $200,800
  15. 2022-06-22
    status Pending
  16. 2022-06-15
    price $225,000
  17. 2022-06-15
    status Active
  18. 2022-06-15
    historical
  19. 2022-06-14
    status Pending
  20. 2022-05-23
    listed $249,900 Active
  21. 2017-09-05
    soldstatus $110,000
  22. 2004-06-24
    soldstatus $105,000
  23. 1995-05-16
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,168 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,168 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,196
− Mortgage interest
−$9,125
− Property taxes
−$3,168
− Insurance
−$814
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− HOA
−$7,188
− Depreciation
−$4,739
Taxable loss
−$3,870
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$929
After-tax cash flow
$-588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Boca Raton

Score
77/100
State rank
#192
US rank
#3070

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
250,102
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,005
Household income
$84,091
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
2900.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.85%
Current HPI
306.738
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+278.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $162,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $169,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2022-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $200,800 Public Records
  • 2022-06-22 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2022-06-15 Price Changed $225,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2022-06-15 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2022-06-15 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2022-06-14 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2022-05-23 Listed $249,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2017-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 1995-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,168 · -10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…