3028 Commanche Trl · Lafayette, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent starter home or investment property - brand new roof, gutters and carpet; newer furnace, some new paint. CLEAN and move-in ready! Newer deck in the backyard, which is completely fenced. Larger kitchen for this size home with walk-in pantry and bonus room behind the attached garage. Great location close to schools, restaurants and shopping. This won't last long!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.2% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#68 in IN, #4,374 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D+, employment D+.
- Lafayette School Corporation (urban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #235 of 301 in IN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,341 units permitted in Tippecanoe County in 2024 (869 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tippecanoe County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $125k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.00%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,650
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3028 Commanche Trl | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (0%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $130 | 100 |
| 2225 Beck Ln | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (0%) | 0mo | $228,000 | $246 | 88 |
| 3222 Chaucer Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (+4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $157 | 80 |
| 3345 Chaucer Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 915 (-1%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $202 | 75 |
| 3017 Fairwood Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+3%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $221 | 74 |
| 2408 Shasta Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+11%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $200 | 73 |
| 1105 Southlea Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (0%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $132 | 68 |
| 1045 Southlea Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (0%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $205 | 67 |
| 3462 Chaucer Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (+12%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $218 | 59 |
| 2508 Edgelea Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 0mo | $206,000 | $238 | 54 |
| 1219 Davis Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 832 (-10%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $240 | 46 |
| 2541 Edgelea Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (-12%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $232 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,488
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $32,450
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47909
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,023/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $414 | +0% $379 | +5% $344 | +10% $308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $262 | -5% $320 | +0% $379 | +5% $438 | +10% $496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $411 | base $379 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3090 Pheasant Run Dr Lafayette, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,591 | $1.87 | 14d | 52 | 0.52mi |
| 2760 Medford St Lafayette, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3331 Mystic Ln Lafayette, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,195 | $1.67 | 14d | 27 | 0.62mi |
| 2411 S 18th St Unit 2415 Lafayette, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2433 Oxford St Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,025 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 90 Bridgewater Ct Apt 11 Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3224 S 9th St Lafayette, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,520 | $1.84 | 14d | 18 | 0.87mi |
| 3200 Quarry Dr Lafayette, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,305 | $1.76 | 14d | 4 | 1.21mi |
| 2121 Kyra Dr Lafayette, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $1,640 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2450 S Earl Ave Lafayette, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,214 | $1.61 | 14d | 3 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11$124,900
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2017-09-01soldstatus $78,000 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Excellent starter home or investment property - brand new roof, gutters and carpet; newer furnace, some new paint. CLEAN and move-in ready! Newer deck in the backyard, which is completely fenced. Larger kitchen for this size home with walk-in pantry and bonus room behind the attached garage. Great location close to schools, restaurants and shopping. This won't last long!
-
2017-06-27$78,900 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Excellent starter home or investment property - brand new roof, gutters and carpet; newer furnace, some new paint. CLEAN and move-in ready! Newer deck in the backyard, which is completely fenced. Larger kitchen for this size home with walk-in pantry and bonus room behind the attached garage. Great location close to schools, restaurants and shopping. This won't last long!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,023 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$19/yr (+$2/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,791
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,023
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $2,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$640
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805400
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,817
- Composite
- 26.46/100
- National rank
- #7217
- State rank
- #235 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #4374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, IN
- County
- Tippecanoe County · 181,820 people
- City population
- 106,622
- Metro
- Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,561
- Household income
- $68,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1332.0
Population outlook (Tippecanoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 215,327 people
- By 2030
- 232,284 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 266,517 · +23.8%
- By 2050
- 302,826 · +40.6%
- By 2075
- 394,445 · +83.2%
- By 2100
- 463,500 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tippecanoe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 49.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+0.6 2016: R+5.7 2012: R+3.6 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.96%
- Current HPI
- 214.2557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+58.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $124,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $78,000 IRMLS
- 2017-06-27 Listed $78,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,023 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…