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24777 Ashley Ct
F Composite 21.38
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.2/30.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

24777 Ashley Ct · Redford, MI 48239
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,259 sqft · Condo public records · 42 Days on market
Built 2003 $350/mo HOA · 31% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

Key facts

  • $350 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2003

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-613 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $62k (63.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (34.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (63.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 98% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Recommended offer $61,613 (63.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
1.96%
Cash-on-cash
-15.46%
DSCR
0.31
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-45.5%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-66,077
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-79.3%
Equity multiple
-1.22×
Total profit
$-105,778
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,117 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,205/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$350
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$-613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,893
Max offer price $61,613
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-517 -5% $-565 +0% $-613 +5% $-661 +10% $-709
Rent -10% $-701 -5% $-657 +0% $-613 +5% $-569 +10% $-525
Rate -1.0pp $-527 -0.5pp $-570 base $-613 +0.5pp $-657 +1.0pp $-702

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14256 Salem Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 1168 $1,675 $1.43 18d 1 0.26mi
14211 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.47mi
14207 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.47mi
14205 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.47mi
14201 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.47mi
14308 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 45d 1 0.48mi
14306 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.48mi
14304 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $930 $1.03 45d 1 0.48mi
14197 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 45d 1 0.48mi
23818 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 0.49mi
14195 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.49mi
14193 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.49mi
23832 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 0.49mi
23852 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 45d 1 0.49mi
14191 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.49mi
14218 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.50mi
14226 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.50mi
14224 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.50mi
14183 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
23846 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 0.50mi
14179 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14288 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14246 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 45d 1 0.50mi
14236 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14232 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.50mi
14230 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14238 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.50mi
14234 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14256 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14250 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 0.50mi
14252 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14254 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14258 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.50mi
14260 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $899 $0.95 45d 1 0.50mi
14216 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 0.50mi
14175 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.51mi
14093 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.51mi
14095 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 0.51mi
14075 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.51mi
14081 Dale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 0.51mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$350 · $4,200/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-05-05
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  4. 2026-05-05
    historical 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  5. 2026-05-02
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  6. 2026-05-02
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  7. 2026-04-23
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  8. 2026-04-23
    historical Active Under Contract 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  9. 2026-04-21
    listed $169,900 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  10. 2026-04-21
    listed $169,900 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  11. 2026-04-15
    historical $169,900 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.

  12. 2025-10-15
    historical
  13. 2025-09-04
    listed $210,000 Active
  14. 2025-09-04
    listed $210,000 Active
  15. 2025-09-02
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,205 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,411 · $201/mo
Expected delta
+$206/yr (+$17/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,405
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,205
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,072
− Management
−$1,072
− HOA
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$10,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,509
After-tax cash flow
$-4,847/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Redford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
36,976
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Coming Soon $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-02 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,205 · -65.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…