24777 Ashley Ct · Redford, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.2/30.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
Key facts
- $350 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2003
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-613 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $62k (63.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (34.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $62k (63.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 98% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.46%
- DSCR
- 0.31
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -45.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-66,077
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -79.3%
- Equity multiple
- -1.22×
- Total profit
- $-105,778
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48239
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,117 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,205/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $-613
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-517 | -5% $-565 | +0% $-613 | +5% $-661 | +10% $-709 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-701 | -5% $-657 | +0% $-613 | +5% $-569 | +10% $-525 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-527 | -0.5pp $-570 | base $-613 | +0.5pp $-657 | +1.0pp $-702 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14256 Salem Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1168 | $1,675 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 14211 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14207 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14205 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14201 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14308 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14306 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14304 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $930 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14197 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 23818 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 14195 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 14193 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 23832 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 23852 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 14191 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 14218 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14226 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14224 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14183 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 23846 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14179 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14288 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14246 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14236 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14232 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14230 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14238 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14234 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14256 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14250 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14252 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14254 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14258 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14260 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $899 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14216 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14175 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14093 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14095 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14075 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14081 Dale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-05-05historical 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-05-02status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-05-02status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-04-23historical Accepting Backup Offers 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-04-23historical Active Under Contract 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-04-21$169,900 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-04-21$169,900 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-04-15historical $169,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Value-add condo ready for your vision. With some cleanup and TLC, this property has strong potential as a home or investment. Sold as-is. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2025-10-15historical
-
2025-09-04$210,000 Active
-
2025-09-04$210,000 Active
-
2025-09-02historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,205 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,411 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$206/yr (+$17/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,205
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,072
- − Management
- −$1,072
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$10,454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,509
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Redford School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632280
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,775
- Composite
- 18.1/100
- National rank
- #8972
- State rank
- #455 of 540 in MI
Livability — Redford
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 36,976
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,976
- Household income
- $71,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.97%
- Current HPI
- 236.1136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-19.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Coming Soon $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-02 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,205 · -65.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…