Triplex
323 Concord Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$874,888
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Introducing a distinguished three-family residence offering both refined living and strong financial performance in the rapidly evolving enclave of Mott Haven. Set on a quiet, residential street, this impeccably maintained property delivers an uncommon blend of architectural charm, modern updates, and turnkey investment appeal. The building features three generously scaled, beautifully enhanced units, each boasting upgraded kitchens, contemporary baths and abundant natural light. With all units fully leased to reliable tenants, the property delivers a consistent, market-aligned income stream and an attractive 5% cap rate, making it an exceptional opportunity for investors seeking stability
Key facts
- Fully leased
- Bronx waterfront
- Contemporary baths
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: M1-2; Three-unit multi-family (all units leased); Current rents (reported): Unit 1 $1,818; Unit 2 $1,550; Unit 3 $1,675
- Financial info: Financing considered: cash, bank mortgage, exchange considered; Utility expense listed
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Electric: 110V; Hot water: Gas; Heating fuel: Gas
- Home design: Attached building; Residential property; Three stories (one residential unit per floor); Flat roof; Brick exterior
- Construction: Brick construction; Poured concrete foundation; Building footprint approximately 700 sq ft; Building dimensions approximately 35 x 20
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard; Fully fenced lot; Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 80 (irregular lot)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units (one on each floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors; Other flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (gas); Window A/C units
- Interior features: Window air conditioning units (5+); Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Window treatments; Cellar
- Laundry & utility: Cellar (utility/storage space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $875k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $875k).
- Recommended offer: $822k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 19 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $47k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $245k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$75k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($822k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $530k; list at $875k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.87%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $826,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674 Saint Marys St | 0.16mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,322 (+8%) | 3mo | $800,000 | $345 | 72 |
| 487 Jackson Ave | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-2%) | 7mo | $1,065,000 | $507 | 66 |
| 614 Beech Ter | 0.22mi | 6/3.0 | 2,280 (+6%) | 17mo | $707,000 | $310 | 65 |
| 612 Beech Ter | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 | 2,280 (+6%) | 17mo | $707,000 | $310 | 65 |
| 610 Beech Ter | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 | 2,280 (+6%) | 17mo | $707,000 | $310 | 65 |
| 516 E 142nd St E | 0.39mi | 6/2.0 | 2,040 (-5%) | 12mo | $850,000 | $417 | 59 |
| 599 Beech Ter | 0.23mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,340 (+9%) | 13mo | $900,000 | $385 | 58 |
| 461 E 144th St | 0.52mi | 6/3.0 | 2,280 (+6%) | 13mo | $965,000 | $423 | 55 |
| 542 Fox St | 0.56mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,340 (+9%) | 19mo | $835,000 | $357 | 36 |
| 678 Union Ave | 0.72mi | 6/3.0 | 1,932 (-10%) | 19mo | $801,500 | $415 | 34 |
| 572 Fox St | 0.62mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,340 (+9%) | 22mo | $800,000 | $342 | 33 |
| 427 E 143 St Unit AB | 0.57mi | 5/4.5 (-1) | 1,840 (-14%) | 10mo | $899,000 | $489 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.67% appreciation · 0.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $378,164
- Equity at exit
- $478,104
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $915,608
- Equity at exit
- $810,880
Cash invested: $244,969 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10454
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 19.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,051 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,588
- Tax from tax record
- −$333 /mo · $3,997/yr
- Insurance
- −$365
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,321
- Net cashflow
- $3,445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,940 | -5% $3,692 | +0% $3,445 | +5% $3,197 | +10% $2,949 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,572 | -5% $3,008 | +0% $3,445 | +5% $3,881 | +10% $4,318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,885 | -0.5pp $3,667 | base $3,445 | +0.5pp $3,218 | +1.0pp $2,987 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $11,052 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,684 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,684 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $3,684 |
| Total (3 units) | $11,051 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $218,722
- Closing costs
- $26,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $874,888 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $874,888 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $874,888 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $874,888 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $874,888 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $874,888 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $874,888 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $874,888 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $874,888 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $874,888 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $874,888 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $874,888 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$874,888 Active
-
2026-01-20price $874,999
-
2017-08-14soldstatus $530,000
-
2015-01-06historical
-
2014-09-29$480,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,997 · $333/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,391 · $783/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,395/yr (+$450/mo · 135.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $132,612
- − Mortgage interest
- −$49,007
- − Property taxes
- −$3,997
- − Insurance
- −$4,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,609
- − Management
- −$10,609
- − Depreciation
- −$25,451
- Taxable income
- $28,565
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,855
- After-tax cash flow
- $34,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,570
- Household income
- $24,086
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5002.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Black 23% Two or more races 14% White 3% Native American 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 29% Dominican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 58% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Current HPI
- 238.974
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.61%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+82.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $874,888 BNYMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $874,999 BNYMLS
- 2017-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
- 2015-01-06 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-29 Listed $480,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,997 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…