Triplex
603 E 236th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$975,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Why Rent? Collect rent and live for free!!!Huge renovated 3 family with large 3br apartments. Features, new cherrywood kitchens, stainless appliances, hardwood floors, new elec and plumbing.
Key facts
- 2,525 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 18 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $975k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $503/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $967k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $960k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,671/mo this rent would consume 176% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($960k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $491k; list at $975k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.63%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,134,000
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 E 236th St | 0.00mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,000 (0%) | 0mo | $975,000 | $325 | 95 |
| 768 E 230th St | 0.44mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 2,964 (-1%) | 8mo | $1,120,000 | $378 | 66 |
| 4636 Bronx Blvd | 0.60mi | 9/3.0 | 2,784 (-7%) | 3mo | $1,279,000 | $459 | 58 |
| 57 First St | 0.51mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | 2,940 (-2%) | 10mo | $1,200,000 | $408 | 51 |
| 675 E 231st St | 0.28mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | 3,240 (+8%) | 15mo | $975,000 | $301 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-62,102
- Equity at exit
- $145,376
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $68,766
- Equity at exit
- $84,300
Cash invested: $273,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10466
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 25.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,113
- Tax from tax record
- −$612 /mo · $7,340/yr
- Insurance
- −$406
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,031
- Net cashflow
- $1,509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,061 | -5% $1,785 | +0% $1,509 | +5% $1,233 | +10% $957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $745 | -5% $1,127 | +0% $1,509 | +5% $1,891 | +10% $2,273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,000 | -0.5pp $1,757 | base $1,509 | +0.5pp $1,256 | +1.0pp $999 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $9,672 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,224 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,224 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $3,224 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,671 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $243,750
- Closing costs
- $29,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2025-11-14status Pending
-
2025-10-26$975,000 Active
-
2014-04-07price $489,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Why Rent? Collect rent and live for free!!!Huge renovated 3 family with large 3br apartments. Features, new cherrywood kitchens, stainless appliances, hardwood floors, new elec and plumbing.
-
2014-03-15price $491,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Why Rent? Collect rent and live for free!!!Huge renovated 3 family with large 3br apartments. Features, new cherrywood kitchens, stainless appliances, hardwood floors, new elec and plumbing.
-
2012-04-20soldstatus $491,000
-
2012-04-03historical 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Why Rent? Collect rent and live for free!!!Huge renovated 3 family with large 3br apartments. Features, new cherrywood kitchens, stainless appliances, hardwood floors, new elec and plumbing.
-
2012-04-02soldstatus $491,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Why Rent? Collect rent and live for free!!!Huge renovated 3 family with large 3br apartments. Features, new cherrywood kitchens, stainless appliances, hardwood floors, new elec and plumbing.
-
2011-12-07$489,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Why Rent? Collect rent and live for free!!!Huge renovated 3 family with large 3br apartments. Features, new cherrywood kitchens, stainless appliances, hardwood floors, new elec and plumbing.
-
2006-11-16soldstatus $575,000
-
2004-07-05soldstatus $415,000
-
1995-11-29soldstatus $165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,340 · $612/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,909 · $992/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,569/yr (+$381/mo · 62.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $116,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,615
- − Property taxes
- −$7,340
- − Insurance
- −$4,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,284
- − Management
- −$9,284
- − Depreciation
- −$28,364
- Taxable income
- $2,289
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$549
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,116
- Household income
- $65,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4791.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.77%
- Current HPI
- 349.542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+490.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-14 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-26 Listed $975,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-07 Price Changed $489,000 HGMLS
- 2014-03-15 Price Changed $491,000 HGMLS
- 2012-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $491,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-03 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2012-04-02 Sold (MLS) $491,000 HGMLS
- 2011-12-07 Listed $489,000 HGMLS
- 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $575,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records
- 1995-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,340 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…