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5 Emery Cir
B Composite 74.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$180,000

5 Emery Cir · Delmar, DE 19940
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 259 Days on market
Built 2004 8.13 ac lot $115/sqft · 35% below area Est $298k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers modern updates and spacious living. Featuring a freshly remodeled interior with new flooring, fixtures, and appliances, it provides a comfortable space. The open floor plan includes a bright living area, a well-appointed kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms, making it ideal for families or those looking for a stylish and affordable home.

Key facts

  • 8.13 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2004

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Delmar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#63 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Delmar School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #17 of 26 in DE (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $180k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.39%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$298,130
List price
$180,000
Delta
-39.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$123,059
Equity at exit
$162,158
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
7.80×
Total profit
$342,485
Equity at exit
$349,700

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19940

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $580/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,351
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
205 E East St Delmar, MD 3.0 2.0 1663 $1,850 $1.11 13d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 259 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 258 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 257 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 256 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $180,000 Active 254 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 253 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 251 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 250 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 249 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 248 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 242 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 241 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 240 DOM
  15. 2025-10-03
    listed $195,000 Active 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    This renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers modern updates and spacious living. Featuring a freshly remodeled interior with new flooring, fixtures, and appliances, it provides a comfortable space. The open floor plan includes a bright living area, a well-appointed kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms, making it ideal for families or those looking for a stylish and affordable home.

  16. 2025-09-28
    historical $195,000 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    This renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers modern updates and spacious living. Featuring a freshly remodeled interior with new flooring, fixtures, and appliances, it provides a comfortable space. The open floor plan includes a bright living area, a well-appointed kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms, making it ideal for families or those looking for a stylish and affordable home.

  17. 2005-06-24
    soldstatus $69,500 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    2005 DOUBLEWIDE WITH BUILT-IN PORCH/ HOLLY OAK MH PARK/ $220 PER MO LOT RENT/ BUYER MUST BE PARK APPROVED/ LIKE-NEW ROMAN 28X60 WITH SPLIT FLOORPLAN, WHIRLPOOL TUB & BREAKFAST BAR/ MANY OPTIONS & UPGRADES/ ALL APPLIANCES CONVEY/ NICE CURTAINS/ MANY CABINETS/ TILT WINDOWS/ SPACIOUS ROOMS

  18. 2005-03-02
    listed $76,900 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    2005 DOUBLEWIDE WITH BUILT-IN PORCH/ HOLLY OAK MH PARK/ $220 PER MO LOT RENT/ BUYER MUST BE PARK APPROVED/ LIKE-NEW ROMAN 28X60 WITH SPLIT FLOORPLAN, WHIRLPOOL TUB & BREAKFAST BAR/ MANY OPTIONS & UPGRADES/ ALL APPLIANCES CONVEY/ NICE CURTAINS/ MANY CABINETS/ TILT WINDOWS/ SPACIOUS ROOMS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$580 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$812 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$232/yr (+$19/mo · 40.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,200
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$580
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$1,849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$444
After-tax cash flow
$4,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delmar School District
NCES district ID
1000270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$46,620
Composite
24.98/100
National rank
#7561
State rank
#17 of 26 in DE

Livability — Delmar

Score
62/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#16926

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Delmar, DE
Population (ZIP)
7,108

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 16% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.92%
Current HPI
288.6213
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+153.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-28 Coming Soon $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-06-24 Sold (MLS) $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-03-02 Listed $76,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $580 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…