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516 Smith Ave
B- Composite 68.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

516 Smith Ave · Lansing, MI 48910
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1914 5,227 sqft lot $75/sqft · 44% below area Est $162k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your inspiration and explore the possibilities. The current space is 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths with lots of opportunity to rework the second level to create the ensuite of your dreams. Located close to Reo Town, and 2 blocks from Moores Park and the Lansing River Trail! The price reflects the need for updates. Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1914
  • Listed 59 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Alley access; No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Built in 1914; Located in the Park Place subdivision; Directions: GPS
  • Construction: Wood siding; Living area approximately 1,216
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Curbs; Park nearby; Sidewalks; Street lights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Pantry; Kitchen-located laundry (washer/dryer hookups in kitchen)
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (including a primary bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Pantry; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level (in kitchen)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pattengill School (600 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 68% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.80%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,652
List price
$99,900
Delta
-38.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1601 Coleman Ave 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (+1%) 1mo $212,000 $158 79
717 Smith Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,160 (-13%) 2mo $170,000 $147 65
1511 Pattengill Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,323 (-1%) 3mo $170,000 $128 65
1520 Park Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+2%) 2mo $194,000 $143 63
1125 Poxson Ave 0.56mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,274 (-4%) 1mo $200,000 $157 59
1735 Pattengill Ave 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,274 (-4%) 1mo $187,000 $147 56
915 Braman St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,505 (+13%) 1mo $149,000 $99 55
1208 Gordon Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,451 (+9%) 0mo $179,900 $124 55
129 E Elm St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,433 (+8%) 0mo $159,900 $112 49
1633 Park Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,192 (-10%) 1mo $206,000 $173 48
1407 Park Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,503 (+13%) 2mo $182,555 $121 41
2016 Pattengill Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,502 (+13%) 3mo $215,900 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-4,049
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$19,796
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48910

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$326 /mo · $3,914/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,199
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $206 -5% $178 +0% $150 +5% $121 +10% $93
Rent -10% $40 -5% $95 +0% $150 +5% $204 +10% $259
Rate -1.0pp $200 -0.5pp $175 base $150 +0.5pp $124 +1.0pp $97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1913 Stirling Ave Unit 1 Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.35mi
1317 Lenore Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 1.5 1442 $850 $0.59 45d 1 0.63mi
2528 Forest Ave Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1175 $1,699 $1.45 45d 1 0.68mi
920 S Washington Ave Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 15d 1 0.74mi
430 Dunlap St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 940 $1,450 $1.54 22d 1 0.80mi
1815 Potomac Cir Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 15d 1 0.91mi
605 S Grand Ave Unit 2 Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 45d 1 1.00mi
401 S Washington Sq Unit 201 Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,560 $1.24 45d 1 1.14mi
401 S Washington Sq Unit 205 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 968 $1,355 $1.40 45d 1 1.14mi
1330 W Hillsdale St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,550 $1.54 45d 1 1.15mi
805 Bement St Unit Hosmer 507 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 45d 1 1.35mi
1027 Climax St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.5 1298 $1,550 $1.19 15d 1 1.35mi
507 S Hosmer St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 45d 1 1.36mi
1100 Malcolm X St Unit B Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 979 $1,050 $1.07 15d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-04-22
    listed $99,900 Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Bring your inspiration and explore the possibilities. The current space is 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths with lots of opportunity to rework the second level to create the ensuite of your dreams. Located close to Reo Town, and 2 blocks from Moores Park and the Lansing River Trail! The price reflects the need for updates. Sold As-Is.

  19. 2026-04-22
    listed $99,900 Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Bring your inspiration and explore the possibilities. The current space is 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths with lots of opportunity to rework the second level to create the ensuite of your dreams. Located close to Reo Town, and 2 blocks from Moores Park and the Lansing River Trail! The price reflects the need for updates. Sold As-Is.

  20. 2024-06-26
    soldstatus $72,600
  21. 2024-06-24
    soldstatus $72,600
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Welcome to 516 Smith Ave in Lansing! This is a good sized two story home with five bedrooms and two full baths. There are two additional rooms for use as storage or office space. Decent sized kitchen with built in laundry area. Good central location close to amenities, schools and public transportation! Just blocks from the Lansing River Trail. Call today for more information ! HUD Home. Seller may contribute up to 3% for a buyer's closing costs upon request. See kmmrealty.com for for more information on Lead-based paint and Radon Gas and Mold Notices, Electronic bidding and EMD procedures. All properties sold ''as-is'' without guarantee or warranty by seller. Subject to appraisal FHA #263-674614 Insurability IE Equal Housing Opportunity

  22. 2024-06-24
    soldstatus $72,600 Closed
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Welcome to 516 Smith Ave in Lansing! This is a good sized two story home with five bedrooms and two full baths. There are two additional rooms for use as storage or office space. Decent sized kitchen with built in laundry area. Good central location close to amenities, schools and public transportation! Just blocks from the Lansing River Trail. Call today for more information ! HUD Home. Seller may contribute up to 3% for a buyer's closing costs upon request. See kmmrealty.com for for more information on Lead-based paint and Radon Gas and Mold Notices, Electronic bidding and EMD procedures. All properties sold ''as-is'' without guarantee or warranty by seller. Subject to appraisal FHA #263-674614 Insurability IE Equal Housing Opportunity

  23. 2024-05-29
    status Pending
  24. 2024-05-10
    price $77,500
  25. 2024-04-10
    price $90,000
  26. 2024-03-05
    listed $77,500
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Welcome to 516 Smith Ave in Lansing! This is a good sized two story home with five bedrooms and two full baths. There are two additional rooms for use as storage or office space. Decent sized kitchen with built in laundry area. Good central location close to amenities, schools and public transportation! Just blocks from the Lansing River Trail. Call today for more information ! HUD Home. Seller may contribute up to 3% for a buyer's closing costs upon request. See kmmrealty.com for for more information on Lead-based paint and Radon Gas and Mold Notices, Electronic bidding and EMD procedures. All properties sold ''as-is'' without guarantee or warranty by seller. Subject to appraisal FHA #263-674614 Insurability IE Equal Housing Opportunity

  27. 2024-03-05
    listed $105,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Welcome to 516 Smith Ave in Lansing! This is a good sized two story home with five bedrooms and two full baths. There are two additional rooms for use as storage or office space. Decent sized kitchen with built in laundry area. Good central location close to amenities, schools and public transportation! Just blocks from the Lansing River Trail. Call today for more information ! HUD Home. Seller may contribute up to 3% for a buyer's closing costs upon request. See kmmrealty.com for for more information on Lead-based paint and Radon Gas and Mold Notices, Electronic bidding and EMD procedures. All properties sold ''as-is'' without guarantee or warranty by seller. Subject to appraisal FHA #263-674614 Insurability IE Equal Housing Opportunity

  28. 2021-06-28
    soldstatus $105,000
  29. 2021-06-28
    soldstatus $105,000
  30. 2021-04-23
    listed $89,900
  31. 2021-04-23
    listed $89,900
  32. 2016-08-11
    soldstatus $26,500
  33. 2016-08-11
    soldstatus $26,500
  34. 2016-07-15
    listed $34,500
  35. 2016-07-15
    listed $34,500
  36. 2014-07-11
    historical
  37. 2014-01-15
    listed $14,900
  38. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $10,200
  39. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $10,200
  40. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $10,200
  41. 2013-10-16
    listed $19,900
  42. 2013-10-15
    listed $19,900
  43. 2013-10-15
    listed $19,900
  44. 2002-07-30
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,914 · $326/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,914 · $326/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,662
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$3,914
− Insurance
−$1,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$99
After-tax cash flow
$1,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,800
Household income
$54,712
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.82%
Current HPI
196.8087
Rent YoY
▲ 4.71%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+24.9% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $99,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $72,600 Public Records
  • 2024-06-24 Sold (MLS) $72,600 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-06-24 Sold (MLS) $72,600 REALCOMP
  • 2024-05-29 Pending Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-05-10 Price Changed $77,500 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-04-10 Price Changed $90,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-03-05 Listed $105,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-03-05 Listed $77,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-06-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-23 Listed $89,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-04-23 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-08-11 Sold (MLS) $26,500 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2016-08-11 Sold (MLS) $26,500 REALCOMP
  • 2016-07-15 Listed $34,500 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2016-07-15 Listed $34,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-07-11 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2014-01-15 Listed $14,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $10,200 REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $10,200 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $10,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-10-16 Listed $19,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2013-10-15 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-10-15 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,914 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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