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15050 Monte Vista Ave #156
C+ Composite 62.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

15050 Monte Vista Ave #156 · Chino Hills, CA 91709
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2021 Est $181k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Exceptional value in the heart of Chino Hills—own this almost brand new home today! A charming Front Patio welcomes you into a beautifully designed residence that combines modern style with everyday comfort. The open-concept Great Room seamlessly connects the Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas, creating an inviting space for relaxing and entertaining. The spacious Kitchen features abundant cabinetry, generous counter space, and a large center island perfect for meal preparation, casual dining, and gathering with guests. Tucked away for privacy, the living quarters include a spacious primary suite with a dual-sink ensuite bath, two well-proportioned secondary bedrooms, a full hallway b

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Backyard

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT GREAT ROOMSPACIOUS KITCHENLARGE CENTER ISLANDINDOOR LAUNDRY ROOMFULL-LENGTH COVERED CARPORTBACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed: contact management
  • Financial info: Assessments: buyer to assume; special assessments (buyer to verify); Land lease indicated
  • HOA & community: Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, playground; Community type: suburban, park; Park name: Rancho Monte Vista; Land lease: $1,224 monthly (seller provided)

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Tandem covered parking; Attached carport; Paved driveway; Electric vehicle charging station(s)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Water and trash included in rent (where applicable)
  • Home design: Mobile home (Model: Canyon Lake); Double body type; Turnkey condition; Single-story; Mobile dimensions approximately 9' x 58'; Mobile home remains
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Wood construction with drywall walls; Tie-down foundation; Wood skirting
  • Exterior features: Front porch and wood deck; Awning; Rain gutters; Storage building / shed (1); Wood fencing; In-ground community pool (fenced); Porch, deck and patio present; Lot is level/flat; South-facing; Alley access with paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen open to family room; Kitchen island; Pots & pan drawers; Laminate counters; Free standing range / Gas range; Range/stove hood; Dishwasher; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Entry level: 1
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with double sinks and walk-in shower; Showers and shower-in-tub options; Exhaust fans; Laminate counters
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Built-ins; Ceiling fan; Living room deck attached; Storage space; Service entrance; Front entry; One level; Double pane windows with blinds and screens; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in an individual room; Water heater unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.1% in Chino Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#299 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Chino Valley Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #334 of 1,400 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
13.01%
Cash-on-cash
23.98%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,440
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15050 Monte Vista Ave #195 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,164 (+4%) 15mo $250,000 $215 81
15050 Monte Vista Ave #44 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+12%) 6mo $199,000 $158 74
15050 Monte Vista Ave #21 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 12mo $210,000 $168 71
15050 Monte Vista Ave #185 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+10%) 16mo $173,500 $141 70
15050 Monte Vista Ave #76 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,000 (-11%) 11mo $162,000 $162 68
15050 Monte Vista Ave #197 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+14%) 13mo $180,000 $142 67
15111 Pipeline Ave #86 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+7%) 19mo $285,000 $238 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$38,495
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$109,091
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91709

Home prices YoY
-28.5%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,645 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $783/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$765
Net cashflow
$1,399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,874
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15101 Fairfield Ranch Rd Chino Hills, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1053 $3,600 $3.42 2d 19 0.15mi
4628 Bird Farm Rd Chino Hills, CA 3.0 2.0 1152 $3,250 $2.82 44d 1 0.39mi
15447 Pomona Rincon Rd Chino Hills, CA 3.0 2.5 1397 $3,350 $2.40 15d 2 0.46mi
4361 Los Serranos Blvd Chino Hills, CA 3.0 2.0 1256 $3,200 $2.55 17d 1 0.79mi
4186 Val Verde Ave Chino Hills, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $8,000 $8.00 44d 1 1.12mi
15920 Pomona Rincon Rd Chino Hills, CA 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.5 1376 $3,999 $2.91 1d 10 1.27mi
3724 Alder Pl Chino Hills, CA 3.0 2.0 1240 $3,600 $2.90 22d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $250,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$783 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,900 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$1,117/yr (+$93/mo · 142.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,735
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$783
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,499
− Management
−$3,499
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$13,428
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,223
After-tax cash flow
$13,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chino Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0608460
Math proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$83,575
Composite
49.56/100
National rank
#4275
State rank
#334 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Chino Hills

Score
68/100
State rank
#299
US rank
#9993

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chino Hills, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
78,006
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
78,006
Household income
$126,350
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
1964.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 40% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 24% Two or more races 14% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
52% English-only · Chinese 18% Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.62%
Current HPI
383.5042
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+262.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $250,000 CRMLS
  • 2003-06-29 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2003-03-29 Listed $69,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $783 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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