15050 Monte Vista Ave #156 · Chino Hills, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Exceptional value in the heart of Chino Hills—own this almost brand new home today! A charming Front Patio welcomes you into a beautifully designed residence that combines modern style with everyday comfort. The open-concept Great Room seamlessly connects the Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas, creating an inviting space for relaxing and entertaining. The spacious Kitchen features abundant cabinetry, generous counter space, and a large center island perfect for meal preparation, casual dining, and gathering with guests. Tucked away for privacy, the living quarters include a spacious primary suite with a dual-sink ensuite bath, two well-proportioned secondary bedrooms, a full hallway b
Key facts
- Large center island
- Spacious kitchen
- Backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed: contact management
- Financial info: Assessments: buyer to assume; special assessments (buyer to verify); Land lease indicated
- HOA & community: Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, playground; Community type: suburban, park; Park name: Rancho Monte Vista; Land lease: $1,224 monthly (seller provided)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Tandem covered parking; Attached carport; Paved driveway; Electric vehicle charging station(s)
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Water and trash included in rent (where applicable)
- Home design: Mobile home (Model: Canyon Lake); Double body type; Turnkey condition; Single-story; Mobile dimensions approximately 9' x 58'; Mobile home remains
- Construction: Shingle roof; Wood construction with drywall walls; Tie-down foundation; Wood skirting
- Exterior features: Front porch and wood deck; Awning; Rain gutters; Storage building / shed (1); Wood fencing; In-ground community pool (fenced); Porch, deck and patio present; Lot is level/flat; South-facing; Alley access with paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen open to family room; Kitchen island; Pots & pan drawers; Laminate counters; Free standing range / Gas range; Range/stove hood; Dishwasher; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 1
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with double sinks and walk-in shower; Showers and shower-in-tub options; Exhaust fans; Laminate counters
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Built-ins; Ceiling fan; Living room deck attached; Storage space; Service entrance; Front entry; One level; Double pane windows with blinds and screens; Community spa
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in an individual room; Water heater unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.1% in Chino Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#299 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, commute F, cost of living F.
- Chino Valley Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #334 of 1,400 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.98%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,440
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15050 Monte Vista Ave #195 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (+4%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $215 | 81 |
| 15050 Monte Vista Ave #44 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 15050 Monte Vista Ave #21 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+11%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $168 | 71 |
| 15050 Monte Vista Ave #185 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+10%) | 16mo | $173,500 | $141 | 70 |
| 15050 Monte Vista Ave #76 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 11mo | $162,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 15050 Monte Vista Ave #197 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+14%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $142 | 67 |
| 15111 Pipeline Ave #86 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $238 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $38,495
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $109,091
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91709
- Home prices YoY
- -28.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,645 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $783/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$765
- Net cashflow
- $1,399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15101 Fairfield Ranch Rd Chino Hills, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1053 | $3,600 | $3.42 | 2d | 19 | 0.15mi |
| 4628 Bird Farm Rd Chino Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $3,250 | $2.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 15447 Pomona Rincon Rd Chino Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1397 | $3,350 | $2.40 | 15d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 4361 Los Serranos Blvd Chino Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $3,200 | $2.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4186 Val Verde Ave Chino Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $8,000 | $8.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 15920 Pomona Rincon Rd Chino Hills, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | 1376 | $3,999 | $2.91 | 1d | 10 | 1.27mi |
| 3724 Alder Pl Chino Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $3,600 | $2.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$250,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $783 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,900 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,117/yr (+$93/mo · 142.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$783
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,499
- − Management
- −$3,499
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable income
- $13,428
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chino Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0608460
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,575
- Composite
- 49.56/100
- National rank
- #4275
- State rank
- #334 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Chino Hills
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #299
- US rank
- #9993
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chino Hills, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 78,006
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,006
- Household income
- $126,350
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1964.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 40% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 24% Two or more races 14% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Chinese 18% Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.62%
- Current HPI
- 383.5042
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+262.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
- 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $250,000 CRMLS
- 2003-06-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2003-03-29 Listed $69,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $783 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…