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5985 Roehrs Rd
B- Composite 68.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

5985 Roehrs Rd · Beaverton, MI 48612
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily · 66 Days on market
Built 1979 2.75 ac lot $63/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Private wooded corner lot with 2.75 acres, a block building and attached single-wide trailer. Property features include well, septic, and upgraded 200-amp power, offering a solid foundation for a workshop, hobby space, or future improvements. Additional acreage available.

Key facts

  • Additional acreage
  • Workshop hobby space
  • Solid foundation

Tags

WOODED CORNER LOTUPGRADED 200-AMP POWERSOLID FOUNDATIONWORKSHOP HOBBY SPACEADDITIONAL ACREAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.4% in Beaverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#323 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Beaverton Rural Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #364 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $56,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.66%
Cash-on-cash
26.30%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,538
List price
$60,000
Delta
-53.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$13,729
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$42,140
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48612

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $487
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    listed $60,000 Active 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    Private wooded corner lot with 2.75 acres, a block building and attached single-wide trailer. Property features include well, septic, and upgraded 200-amp power, offering a solid foundation for a workshop, hobby space, or future improvements. Additional acreage available.

  17. 2026-04-13
    listed $60,000 Active 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    Private wooded corner lot with 2.75 acres, a block building and attached single-wide trailer. Property features include well, septic, and upgraded 200-amp power, offering a solid foundation for a workshop, hobby space, or future improvements. Additional acreage available.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$538 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$731 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$193/yr (+$16/mo · 35.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,435
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$915
− Management
−$915
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$3,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$878
After-tax cash flow
$3,541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaverton Rural Schools
NCES district ID
2604440
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$39,200
Composite
25.54/100
National rank
#7431
State rank
#364 of 540 in MI

Livability — Beaverton

Score
70/100
State rank
#323
US rank
#7931

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,505

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,440 people
By 2030
22,281 · -4.9%
By 2040
19,867 · -15.2%
By 2050
17,667 · -24.6%
By 2075
12,909 · -44.9%
By 2100
8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.55%
Current HPI
215.4508
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $538 · -44.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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