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4675 S Harrison Rd #150
D- Composite 35.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.1

$135,000

4675 S Harrison Rd #150 · Tucson, AZ 85730
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 134 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1982 Fair condition 4,300 sqft lot $100/sqft · 46% below area Est $251k · 46% under $495/mo HOA · 34% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming mobile home offers a fully enclosed backyard and side yard, providing privacy and space to relax with no neighbors directly behind you. A storage shed in the backyard adds extra room for tools, bikes, or outdoor gear. Located within a gated community with NO age restrictions, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including a sparkling community pool, pickleball courts, and a welcoming clubhouse perfect for social gatherings and entertaining. Harrison Hills is ideally situated with easy access to shopping, dining, and some of Tucson's best outdoor adventures. desert landscapes, along with access to several popular biking trails. Whether you're seeking a laid-back desert lifestyle or an active outdoor community, come experience why so many people are choosing to call Harrison Hills home.

Key facts

  • 4,300 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-291 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (31.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Tucson Unified District (4403) (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #190 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Dunham Elementary School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #629 of 1,109 statewide, top 57%, 158 students, 61% FRL); Secrist Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #194 of 218 statewide, top 90%, 304 students, 76% FRL); Santa Rita High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #358 of 381 statewide, top 94%, 392 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 53d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 74% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,858 (31.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
3.70%
Cash-on-cash
-9.25%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$251,339
List price
$135,000
Delta
-46.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4675 S Harrison Rd #288 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,349 (+0%) 23mo $81,000 $60 72
3761 S Peggy Ln 0.94mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-3%) 7mo $209,000 $161 54
3710 S Cindy Ln 1.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 12mo $245,000 $196 43
3730 S Bobby Dr 0.94mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+14%) 1mo $265,000 $173 41
3701 S Peggy Ln 1.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 16mo $259,000 $208 40
3781 S Peggy Ln 0.91mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+17%) 8mo $274,000 $175 33
3750 S Cindy Ln 0.95mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+17%) 17mo $235,000 $150 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-38.4%
Equity multiple
-0.17×
Total profit
$-44,315
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-99.0%
Equity multiple
-1.05×
Total profit
$-77,446
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
0 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
0.0 mo

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 85730

Home prices YoY
-30.9%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,439 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$495
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$-291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,808
Max offer price $92,858
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-198 -5% $-245 +0% $-291 +5% $-338 +10% $-385
Rent -10% $-405 -5% $-348 +0% $-291 +5% $-234 +10% $-178
Rate -1.0pp $-223 -0.5pp $-257 base $-291 +0.5pp $-326 +1.0pp $-362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4778 S Chilean Loop Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1536 $1,895 $1.23 93d 1 0.60mi
9055 E Alderpoint Way Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,695 $1.45 70d 1 0.72mi
9009 E Kinross Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,715 $1.32 70d 1 0.81mi
4289 S Goodall Pl Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,950 $1.42 93d 1 0.83mi
9020 E Pantano Bluff Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1740 $1,999 $1.15 17d 1 0.87mi
4275 S Mayberry Pl Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1672 $1,850 $1.11 93d 1 0.88mi
8925 E Citrus Tree Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,595 $1.37 28d 1 0.89mi
9960 E Banister Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,575 $1.26 93d 1 0.89mi
9961 E Skyward Way Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,550 $1.53 52d 1 0.95mi
8763 E Pebble Stone Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1262 $1,895 $1.50 17d 1 0.98mi
3715 S Escalante Oasis Pl Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1601 $1,845 $1.15 32d 1 0.99mi
8823 E Stone Meadow Cir Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1383 $1,795 $1.30 20d 1 1.00mi
4775 S Wild Rose Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,645 $1.41 73d 1 1.00mi
4775 S Wild Rose Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,695 $1.45 39d 1 1.00mi
8749 E Pebble Stone Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,750 $1.20 35d 1 1.02mi
8755 E Stone Meadow Cir Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1465 $1,875 $1.28 41d 1 1.03mi
10055 E Desert Aire Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,680 $1.29 52d 1 1.04mi
4052 S Ferris Dr Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1672 $2,125 $1.27 64d 1 1.06mi
9801 E Domenic Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1428 $1,791 $1.25 61d 1 1.07mi
8737 E Pebble Stone Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1383 $2,095 $1.51 93d 1 1.07mi
4433 S Sunrise Bluff Way Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1465 $1,895 $1.29 73d 1 1.09mi
10005 E Clark Springs Trl Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1736 $2,095 $1.21 25d 1 1.12mi
8829 E Eagle Creek Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,830 $1.43 65d 1 1.14mi
10237 E Iron Horse Trl Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1547 $2,100 $1.36 17d 1 1.18mi
10061 E Domenic Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1597 $1,770 $1.11 46d 1 1.19mi
10476 E George Tolman Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1717 $2,245 $1.31 11d 1 1.29mi
9802 E Stella Rd Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1416 $1,945 $1.37 61d 1 1.31mi
3246 S Winona Cir Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1655 $1,830 $1.11 93d 1 1.35mi
10570 E Maldonado Pl Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1694 $2,500 $1.48 11d 1 1.37mi
10272 E Sky Castle Way Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1709 $1,781 $1.04 60d 1 1.38mi
9946 E Leila Dr Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,750 $1.03 27d 1 1.39mi
3292 S Kristina Park Loop Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,900 $1.15 35d 1 1.45mi
10002 E Stella Rd Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1706 $2,000 $1.17 73d 1 1.45mi
3110 S Portia Ave Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1632 $1,575 $0.97 32d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail $495/mo · $5,940/yr

Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-07-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-07-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-07-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-07-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-07-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-07-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-07-11
    days on market $135,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-07-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-07-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-07-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-07-06
    days on market $135,000 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-07-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-07-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-07-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-07-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-06-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 117 DOM
  17. 2026-06-29
    days on market $135,000 Active 116 DOM
  18. 2026-06-28
    days on market $135,000 Active 115 DOM
  19. 2026-06-27
    days on market $135,000 Active 114 DOM
  20. 2026-06-27
    days on market $135,000 Active 113 DOM
  21. 2026-06-25
    days on market $135,000 Active 111 DOM
  22. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 109 DOM
  23. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 108 DOM
  24. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 105 DOM
  25. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 104 DOM
  26. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 103 DOM
  27. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 102 DOM
  28. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 100 DOM
  29. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 97 DOM
  30. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 96 DOM
  31. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 95 DOM
  32. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 94 DOM
  33. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
  34. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
  35. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
  36. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 88 DOM
  37. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
  38. 2026-04-21
    price $135,000 808-char remark
    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This charming mobile home offers a fully enclosed backyard and side yard, providing privacy and space to relax with no neighbors directly behind you. A storage shed in the backyard adds extra room for tools, bikes, or outdoor gear. Located within a gated community with NO age restrictions, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including a sparkling community pool, pickleball courts, and a welcoming clubhouse perfect for social gatherings and entertaining. Harrison Hills is ideally situated with easy access to shopping, dining, and some of Tucson's best outdoor adventures. desert landscapes, along with access to several popular biking trails. Whether you're seeking a laid-back desert lifestyle or an active outdoor community, come experience why so many people are choosing to call Harrison Hills home.

  39. 2026-03-05
    listed $140,000 Active 808-char remark
    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This charming mobile home offers a fully enclosed backyard and side yard, providing privacy and space to relax with no neighbors directly behind you. A storage shed in the backyard adds extra room for tools, bikes, or outdoor gear. Located within a gated community with NO age restrictions, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including a sparkling community pool, pickleball courts, and a welcoming clubhouse perfect for social gatherings and entertaining. Harrison Hills is ideally situated with easy access to shopping, dining, and some of Tucson's best outdoor adventures. desert landscapes, along with access to several popular biking trails. Whether you're seeking a laid-back desert lifestyle or an active outdoor community, come experience why so many people are choosing to call Harrison Hills home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,267
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,381
− Management
−$1,381
− HOA
−$5,940
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$5,625
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,350
After-tax cash flow
$-2,145/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $33,600–$60,480 screening

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas needing attention include the exterior siding, flooring, and interior walls. Painting and repairing these areas would significantly enhance its curb appeal and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major siding — Severe weathering and peeling
  • Major flooring — Exposed subflooring
  • Major interior walls — Painted walls with visible wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both repair flooring — Improves living space and rental appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 14/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Dunham Elementary School F AZ #629/1,109 Nat'l #29,726/41,679 Middle Secrist Middle School F AZ #194/218 Nat'l #13,419/14,009 High Santa Rita High School F AZ #358/381 Nat'l #16,644/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tucson Unified District (4403)
NCES district ID
0408800
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$40,962
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9270
State rank
#190 of 249 in AZ
B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Tucson

Score
74/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#4502

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tucson, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,066,056 people
City population
839,336
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
39,399
Household income
$62,090
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $135,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $140,000 MLSSAZ

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…