450 Lake Ave · Russells Point, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
Key facts
- Insulated garage
- Reconfigured bath
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.8% in Russells Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 83233% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $100k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.61%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,425
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -12.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Miami Ave | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 | 640 (+2%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $234 | 84 |
| 210 E Elliott Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 704 (+12%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 521 Fairview Ave | 0.23mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (-10%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $205 | 63 |
| 533 Buckeye Ave | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 576 (-8%) | 18mo | $156,000 | $271 | 63 |
| 203 2nd St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 598 (-4%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $293 | 54 |
| 351 Prater St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 624 (-0%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $337 | 51 |
| 357 3rd St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 665 (+6%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $218 | 50 |
| 242 Park Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 570 (-9%) | 24mo | $95,000 | $167 | 49 |
| 351 Taylor Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 689 (+10%) | 21mo | $35,000 | $51 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,088
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $17,039
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43348
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $690/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $246 | +0% $218 | +5% $189 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $91 | -5% $154 | +0% $218 | +5% $281 | +10% $345 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $243 | base $218 | +0.5pp $192 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8926 Franklin Ave Unit B Lakeview, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,605 | $2.31 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8926 Franklin Ave Lakeview, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,605 | $2.31 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $100,000 Pending 184 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $100,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2026-05-04price $100,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2025-12-17price $110,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2025-12-13price $120,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2025-12-12$120 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2025-12-05price $110,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2025-11-11$120,000 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!
-
2022-03-30soldstatus $62,500
-
2022-03-28status Pending
-
2022-03-28soldstatus $62,500 Closed
-
2022-03-02historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections
-
2022-02-09status Active
-
2022-01-28historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections
-
2022-01-25$65,000 Active
-
2016-02-10soldstatus $18,000
-
2015-08-17historical
-
2014-08-18$29,900
-
1992-08-07soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $690 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,125 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$435/yr (+$36/mo · 63.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$690
- − Insurance
- −$5,618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,359
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$326
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian Lake Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904808
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,496
- Composite
- 52.6/100
- National rank
- #1559
- State rank
- #261 of 656 in OH
Livability — Russells Point
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #971
- US rank
- #18804
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Russells Point, OH
- County
- Logan · 47,256 people
- City population
- 1,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,865
- Household income
- $50,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.3
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Czech 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.07%
- Current HPI
- 261.3567
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+471.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $100,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $100,000 WRIST
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $110,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-12-13 Price Changed $120,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $120 CBRMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $110,000 WRIST
- 2025-11-11 Listed $120,000 WRIST
- 2022-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2022-03-28 Pending — WRIST
- 2022-03-28 Sold (MLS) $62,500 WRIST
- 2022-03-02 Contingent — WRIST
- 2022-02-09 Relisted — WRIST
- 2022-01-28 Contingent — WRIST
- 2022-01-25 Listed $65,000 WRIST
- 2016-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2015-08-17 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2014-08-18 Listed $29,900 WRIST
- 1992-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $690 · +30.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…