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450 Lake Ave
B+ Composite 76.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

450 Lake Ave · Russells Point, OH 43348
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 626 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 184 Days on market
Built 1945 0.35 ac lot $160/sqft · 13% below area Est $114k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

Key facts

  • Insulated garage
  • Reconfigured bath
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENSS APPLIANCESRECONFIGURED BATHNEW ROOFINSULATED GARAGEPANELED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.8% in Russells Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 83233% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $100k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
14.02%
Cash-on-cash
27.61%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,425
List price
$100,000
Delta
-12.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
611 Miami Ave 0.14mi 1/1.0 640 (+2%) 7mo $150,000 $234 84
210 E Elliott Rd 0.15mi 2/1.0 (+1) 704 (+12%) 0mo $80,000 $114 67
521 Fairview Ave 0.23mi 1/1.0 560 (-10%) 10mo $115,000 $205 63
533 Buckeye Ave 0.20mi 1/1.0 576 (-8%) 18mo $156,000 $271 63
203 2nd St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 598 (-4%) 11mo $175,000 $293 54
351 Prater St 0.72mi 2/2.0 (+1) 624 (-0%) 7mo $210,000 $337 51
357 3rd St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (+1) 665 (+6%) 1mo $145,000 $218 50
242 Park Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 (+1) 570 (-9%) 24mo $95,000 $167 49
351 Taylor Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (+1) 689 (+10%) 21mo $35,000 $51 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,088
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$17,039
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43348

Home prices YoY
-29.2%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,605 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $690/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,329
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $246 +0% $218 +5% $189 +10% $161
Rent -10% $91 -5% $154 +0% $218 +5% $281 +10% $345
Rate -1.0pp $268 -0.5pp $243 base $218 +0.5pp $192 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8926 Franklin Ave Unit B Lakeview, OH 2.0 1.0 696 $1,605 $2.31 3d 1 1.18mi
8926 Franklin Ave Lakeview, OH 2.0 1.0 696 $1,605 $2.31 3d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $100,000 Pending 184 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 183 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 177 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 176 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-05-04
    price $100,000 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  13. 2026-05-04
    price $100,000 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  14. 2025-12-17
    price $110,000 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  15. 2025-12-13
    price $120,000 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  16. 2025-12-12
    listed $120 Active 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  17. 2025-12-05
    price $110,000 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  18. 2025-11-11
    listed $120,000 Active 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Looking for a small home to call your own or an income property? This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage in Russells Point offers charm and convenience with recent updates including a remodeled kitchen with SS appliances, reconfigured bath, new roof and gutters, gas wall-mount heater, and sump pump. The insulated and paneled garage features a 220v panel and outlets—great for a workshop or storage. Sitting on over a quarter-acre with no close neighbors on three sides and expanded gravel for cars or a fire ring, this home provides privacy while keeping you close to Indian Lake, local dining, shopping, and recreation. Golf cart friendly and move-in ready!

  19. 2022-03-30
    soldstatus $62,500
  20. 2022-03-28
    status Pending
  21. 2022-03-28
    soldstatus $62,500 Closed
  22. 2022-03-02
    historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections
  23. 2022-02-09
    status Active
  24. 2022-01-28
    historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections
  25. 2022-01-25
    listed $65,000 Active
  26. 2016-02-10
    soldstatus $18,000
  27. 2015-08-17
    historical
  28. 2014-08-18
    listed $29,900
  29. 1992-08-07
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$690 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,125 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 63.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,260
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$690
− Insurance
−$5,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,541
− Management
−$1,541
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,359
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$326
After-tax cash flow
$2,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian Lake Local
NCES district ID
3904808
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,496
Composite
52.6/100
National rank
#1559
State rank
#261 of 656 in OH

Livability — Russells Point

Score
60/100
State rank
#971
US rank
#18804

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Russells Point, OH
County
Logan · 47,256 people
City population
1,865
Population (ZIP)
1,865
Household income
$50,658
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
7.3

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,240 people
By 2030
43,166 · -2.4%
By 2040
40,495 · -8.5%
By 2050
37,511 · -15.2%
By 2075
30,453 · -31.2%
By 2100
23,081 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Czech 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.07%
Current HPI
261.3567
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+471.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $100,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $100,000 WRIST
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $110,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-12-13 Price Changed $120,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $120 CBRMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $110,000 WRIST
  • 2025-11-11 Listed $120,000 WRIST
  • 2022-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 2022-03-28 Pending WRIST
  • 2022-03-28 Sold (MLS) $62,500 WRIST
  • 2022-03-02 Contingent WRIST
  • 2022-02-09 Relisted WRIST
  • 2022-01-28 Contingent WRIST
  • 2022-01-25 Listed $65,000 WRIST
  • 2016-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-17 Listing Removed WRIST
  • 2014-08-18 Listed $29,900 WRIST
  • 1992-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $690 · +30.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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