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171 Charles St
C+ Composite 61.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$85,000

171 Charles St · River Rouge, MI 48218
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1923 Est $73k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cozy home, big yard, safe neighborhood

Key facts

  • Built 1923

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.70%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
251 Beechwood St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,150 (+3%) 4mo $30,000 $26 74
111 Burke St 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-11%) 5mo $24,000 $24 63
235 Richter St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+3%) 1mo $45,625 $40 59
1246 S Liddesdale St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,108 (-1%) 4mo $48,000 $43 58
1726 S Ethel St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,076 (-4%) 4mo $50,000 $46 56
285 Campbell St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,029 (-8%) 6mo $125,000 $121 56
287 Richter St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,140 (+2%) 6mo $120,000 $105 55
235 Goodell St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (-2%) 4mo $147,000 $135 53
1699 S Deacon St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (+6%) 4mo $78,000 $65 51
1745 S Ethel St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+7%) 5mo $65,000 $54 50
349 Frazier St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,036 (-8%) 2mo $120,000 $116 50
251 Richter St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 974 (-13%) 5mo $87,700 $90 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$61,071
Equity at exit
$76,575
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
8.07×
Total profit
$168,203
Equity at exit
$165,136

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48218

Home prices YoY
28.4%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $844/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$232

Break-even live

Break-even rent $698
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $280 -5% $256 +0% $232 +5% $208 +10% $184
Rent -10% $154 -5% $193 +0% $232 +5% $271 +10% $310
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $254 base $232 +0.5pp $210 +1.0pp $188

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 W James St Unit 17 W James Lower River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 15d 1 0.16mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,120 $1.21 44d 1 0.34mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 25d 1 0.34mi
97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 25d 1 0.45mi
88 Hill St Unit 2 River Rouge, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 25d 1 0.99mi
3801 18th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,150 $0.96 18d 1 1.29mi
764 Woodmere St Apt 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$844 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,077 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$232/yr (+$19/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 64% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,903
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$844
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$359
After-tax cash flow
$2,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Rouge School District
NCES district ID
2629760
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$26,664
Composite
5.29/100
National rank
#10033
State rank
#535 of 540 in MI

Livability — River Rouge

Score
65/100
State rank
#454
US rank
#12700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
River Rouge, MI
City population
7,096
Population (ZIP)
7,096

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 34% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 77.93%
Current HPI
352.3551
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $844 · -27.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…