Multi-family
147 Lamberton St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$450,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Remodeled apartment new kitchen, baths, painting. Newer furnaces, Second and third floor apartment has 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Ready for live-in with income or rental. good investment .1 car oversized garage for extra income. new windows. First Fl.Rented for $1400 potential rent of $2,200 on the second and third floor, Electric plus gas Heat system on the third floor.
Key facts
- Remodeled apartment
- New kitchen
- New baths
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $450k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $450k).
- Recommended offer: $423k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,827/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 4999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $142k; list at $450k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.27%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $381,391
- List price
- $450,000
- Delta
- 17.99%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-22 Hurlburt St | 0.05mi | 6/3.0 | 2,429 (-2%) | 0mo | $362,500 | $149 | 93 |
| 121 Plymouth St | 0.16mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,539 (+2%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $140 | 72 |
| 109 Hurlburt St | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 | 2,677 (+8%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $108 | 69 |
| 11 White St | 0.51mi | 6/3.0 | 2,502 (+0%) | 10mo | $445,000 | $178 | 67 |
| 95 Frank St | 0.36mi | 6/3.0 | 2,243 (-10%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $172 | 65 |
| 222 Howard Ave | 0.41mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,311 (-7%) | 11mo | $470,000 | $203 | 55 |
| 45 Frank St | 0.42mi | 6/3.0 | 2,120 (-15%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $203 | 52 |
| 28 Frank St | 0.43mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,282 (-8%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $145 | 51 |
| 312 Davenport Ave | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,348 (-6%) | 6mo | $312,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 44 Lambert St | 0.62mi | 6/3.0 | 2,256 (-9%) | 11mo | $460,000 | $204 | 46 |
| 63 Sea St | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,842 (+14%) | 0mo | $675,000 | $238 | 38 |
| 45 Kossuth St | 0.73mi | 6/3.0 | 2,153 (-14%) | 11mo | $425,000 | $197 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $26,881
- Equity at exit
- $67,096
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $145,473
- Equity at exit
- $38,908
Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06511
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 19.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,827 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,360
- Tax from tax record
- −$453 /mo · $5,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$188
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,224
- Net cashflow
- $1,603
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,858 | -5% $1,731 | +0% $1,603 | +5% $1,476 | +10% $1,349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,143 | -5% $1,373 | +0% $1,603 | +5% $1,833 | +10% $2,064 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,830 | -0.5pp $1,718 | base $1,603 | +0.5pp $1,487 | +1.0pp $1,368 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,826 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,942 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,942 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,942 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,827 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,500
- Closing costs
- $13,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Cassius St Unit 36 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 37 Center St Unit 2 West Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 395 Crown St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2889 | $7,195 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 131 Dwight St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $6,250 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 131 Dwight St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3097 | $6,250 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 67 Edgewood Ave New Haven, CT | 7.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $6,100 | $3.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 229 Dwight St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $4,995 | $2.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $450,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $450,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $450,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $450,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $450,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $450,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $450,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $450,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $450,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $467,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $467,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $467,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $467,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $467,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $467,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$467,000 Active 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Remodeled apartment new kitchen, baths, painting. Newer furnaces, Second and third floor apartment has 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Ready for live-in with income or rental. good investment .1 car oversized garage for extra income. new windows. First Fl.Rented for $1400 potential rent of $2,200 on the second and third floor, Electric plus gas Heat system on the third floor.
-
2009-07-01soldstatus $142,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Remodeled apartments, new kitchens, baths, painting etc. Newer furnaces s, second and third floor apartment has 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Ready for live-in with income or rental. Good investment. 1 Car oversized garage for extra income. New windows. Potenial rent is $930 on the first and $1,395 on the second floor, electic heat on the third floor
-
2009-07-01soldstatus $142,000
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Remodeled apartments, new kitchens, baths, painting etc. Newer furnaces s, second and third floor apartment has 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Ready for live-in with income or rental. Good investment. 1 Car oversized garage for extra income. New windows. Potenial rent is $930 on the first and $1,395 on the second floor, electic heat on the third floor
-
2009-01-02$144,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Remodeled apartments, new kitchens, baths, painting etc. Newer furnaces s, second and third floor apartment has 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Ready for live-in with income or rental. Good investment. 1 Car oversized garage for extra income. New windows. Potenial rent is $930 on the first and $1,395 on the second floor, electic heat on the third floor
-
2008-10-01soldstatus $68,000
-
2008-05-15$64,900
-
2008-05-09historical
-
2007-06-21$169,900
-
2005-02-18soldstatus $183,000
-
2005-02-17soldstatus $183,000
-
2004-12-10$184,000
-
2003-08-26soldstatus $135,000
-
2003-08-26soldstatus $135,000
-
2003-04-28$135,000
-
1987-09-04soldstatus $110,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,432 · $453/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,531 · $628/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,099/yr (+$175/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $69,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,207
- − Property taxes
- −$5,432
- − Insurance
- −$2,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,594
- − Management
- −$5,594
- − Depreciation
- −$13,091
- Taxable income
- $12,756
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,730
- Household income
- $59,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4999.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 34% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.05%
- Current HPI
- 328.1353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+322.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $467,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-01 Sold (MLS) $142,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-01-02 Listed $144,900 Smart MLS
- 2008-10-01 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Smart MLS
- 2008-05-15 Listed $64,900 Smart MLS
- 2008-05-09 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2007-06-21 Listed $169,900 Smart MLS
- 2005-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
- 2005-02-17 Sold (MLS) $183,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-12-10 Listed $184,000 Smart MLS
- 2003-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-26 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Smart MLS
- 2003-04-28 Listed $135,000 Smart MLS
- 1987-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $110,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2023): $5,432 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…