402 Marion Rd · Harleyville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand-new 2026 Clayton Homes Magnolia model situated on a beautiful 1.02-acre homesite in peaceful Dorchester County! This never-lived-in manufactured home offers the perfect combination of modern comfort, energy efficiency, and country living with room to spread out and enjoy. Step inside to discover a thoughtfully designed open floor plan featuring spacious living areas, a bright modern kitchen, and contemporary finishes throughout. The Magnolia model is known for its functional layout, stylish cabinetry, quality craftsmanship, and comfortable everyday living. The split-bedroom design provides added privacy, while the open-concept main living space creates an inviting atmosphere for enter
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Split-bedroom design
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Dominion Energy service; Dorchester County Water Authority
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (single wide); One story; Ground-level entry; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl skirting
- Exterior features: Level, high lot; 1–2 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric range; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on lower/ground level)
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump
- Interior features: High ceilings; Open living/dining combination; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.0% in Harleyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#189 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Dorchester 04 (rural): math 17% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #62 of 80 in SC (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harleyville Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #553 of 597 statewide, top 95%, 226 students, 100% FRL); Harleyville-Ridgeville Middle (math 7% / reading 25%, grade F, #196 of 229 statewide, top 87%, 169 students, 100% FRL); Woodland High (math 5% / reading 87%, grade D-, #163 of 196 statewide, top 83%, 612 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1,199 units permitted in Dorchester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dorchester County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.80%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $119,634
- Equity at exit
- $179,275
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.17×
- Total profit
- $343,535
- Equity at exit
- $386,613
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29437
- Home prices YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,964 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $199,000
-
2026-05-08$219,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,567
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$2,985
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,885
- − Management
- −$1,885
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$1,120
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$269
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This brand-new manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a perfect blend of modern comfort and country living, making it an ideal investment property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Interior paint — Fresh paint can make the interior look new and inviting
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Interior paint — Fresh paint can make the interior look new and inviting ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dorchester 04
- NCES district ID
- 4500002
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,082
- Composite
- 20.67/100
- National rank
- #8533
- State rank
- #62 of 80 in SC
Livability — Harleyville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #16485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,287
Population outlook (Dorchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 186,982 people
- By 2030
- 203,967 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 237,160 · +26.8%
- By 2050
- 267,479 · +43.1%
- By 2075
- 333,025 · +78.1%
- By 2100
- 366,560 · +96.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 18% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Dorchester
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 41.8% · R 56.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+10.5 2016: R+17.5 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.06%
- Current HPI
- 252.2816
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-9.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $199,000 Charleston Trident MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $219,900 Charleston Trident MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…