700 Shady Glen Ave #24 · Vacaville, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 24 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,888
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully Renovated and Affordable 2 Bedroom and 1 Bathroom Mobile Home in the Serene, Wooded Surroundings of Hidden Acres Estates near Alamo Creek. 528 Square Feet of thoughtfully Designed Living Space. Home Features a Completely Renovated Interior and Exterior with an Open Floor Plan that Maximizes Living Comfort. Elegant Laminate Flooring Throughout, a Modern Kitchen with Quartz Countertops, Breakfast Counter & New Cabinets. New Recessed Kitchen Lighting and New Stainless Steel Appliances, including a 5 Burner Gas Range with a Hood Over Range. Dual Door Stainless Refrigerator. New Large Dual Stainless Sink with Pull Out Faucet by Kitchen Window. The Bathroom has been Updated &
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Quartz countertops
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount: $895
- HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Guest parking available
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector and smoke detector; Double-strapped water heater (safety feature)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-wide; Located in Hidden Acres park; Land lease required
- Construction: Fleetwood manufactured home; Wood skirting; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Attached deck; Porch with steps and railing; Porch awning; Landscaped front and back; Regular-shaped lot (see remarks)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Hood over range; Breakfast area with stone counters; Breakfast nook / kitchen-family combo
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tile and shower stall
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating and wall furnace; Wall-mounted cooling unit (see remarks)
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Carbon monoxide detector, smoke detector, and double-strapped water heater; Windows listed as green energy efficient
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups inside the home; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $136k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $136k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.0% in Vacaville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in CA, #3,156 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
- Vacaville Unified (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #522 of 1,400 in CA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $939 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.19%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $29,977
- Equity at exit
- $20,261
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $96,263
- Equity at exit
- $11,749
Cash invested: $38,049 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95688
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$713
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$170 /mo · $2,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $799
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $893 | -5% $846 | +0% $799 | +5% $752 | +10% $705 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $625 | -5% $712 | +0% $799 | +5% $886 | +10% $973 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $867 | -0.5pp $833 | base $799 | +0.5pp $764 | +1.0pp $728 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,972
- Closing costs
- $4,077
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Buck Ave Vacaville, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,980 | $2.55 | 3d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 577 Grandview Ct Unit 25 Vacaville, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,795 | $3.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,888 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,888 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,888 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,888 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,888 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,888 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,888 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,888 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,888 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,888 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,888 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,888 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,888 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,888 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,888 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,888 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-26status Active
-
2026-05-26price $135,888
-
2026-03-30historical Contingent (Show)
-
2026-02-26$139,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 24 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,612
- − Property taxes
- −$2,038
- − Insurance
- −$679
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$3,953
- Taxable income
- $7,891
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,894
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,691/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This beautifully renovated mobile home in Hidden Acres Estates is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a modern kitchen, updated bathroom, and well-maintained exterior. The home is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the bathrooms and can increase resale value.
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances the home's aesthetic and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the bathrooms and can increase resale value. ↑
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances the home's aesthetic and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vacaville Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640590
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,383
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #6877
- State rank
- #522 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Vacaville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #3156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vacaville, CA
- County
- Solano County · 433,239 people
- City population
- 109,591
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,201
- Household income
- $118,186
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1051.0
Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 478,685 people
- By 2030
- 497,974 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 528,515 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 549,115 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 587,229 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 571,378 · +19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Asian 10% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 12% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Solano
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.80%
- Current HPI
- 269.7694
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-2.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $135,888 BAREIS
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $139,500 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…