20 Harvard St · Steep Falls, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The oversized garage opens the door to endless possibilities. Currently outfitted with three bedrooms and a bathroom, it offers incredible potential to be transformed into a barndominium-style living space, guest quarters, or even a rental opportunity. Whether you choose to maintain it as functional storage or explore its conversion potential, this versatile space adds significant value and flexibility--making it ideal for investors, vacation rental prospects, or those seeking additional living space. Please MLS #'s 1658059 and 1659872 for other options.
Key facts
- Functional storage
- Versatile space
- Conversion potential
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 3-car garage; Paved parking with 1–4 spaces
- Utilities: Electric service with circuit breakers; Has heating (direct vent heater)
- Home design: Single family residence; Multi-level (built in 1968)
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Built in 1968
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Zoned: village district
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the second level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the second level)
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
- Heating & cooling: Direct vent heater; Circuit breaker electrical panel
- Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Wood and linoleum flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $138k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#89 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sebago Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #92 of 185 in ME (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1,405 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (420 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.02%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $511,810
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -71.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Harvard St | 0.00mi | 3/— | 1,120 | 0mo | $140,000 | $125 | 87 |
| 13 Intervale St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 796 | 2mo | $585,000 | $735 | 83 |
| 28 Harvard St | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,032 | 13mo | $535,000 | $518 | 71 |
| 4 Porter Ln | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,488 | 11mo | $450,000 | $302 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,445
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $11,826
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04029
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $351/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12price $145,000 560-char remark
-
2026-04-30$150,000 Active 560-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $351 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,162 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$810/yr (+$68/mo · 230.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$351
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sebago Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2314837
- Math proficiency
- 30% —
- Reading proficiency
- 55% —
- Median HH income
- $49,654
- Composite
- 38.81/100
- National rank
- #8348
- State rank
- #92 of 185 in ME
Livability — Steep Falls
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #9949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,822
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,124
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 313,805 people
- By 2030
- 324,054 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 340,380 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 351,796 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 383,075 · +22.1%
- By 2100
- 394,972 · +25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.3) · D 66.9% · R 30.6% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: 29.9pp · 2024: 36.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.3 2020: D+35.7 2016: D+26.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+29.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.09%
- Current HPI
- 283.8753
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-20.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MREIS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MREIS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $145,000 MREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $150,000 MREIS
- 2026-01-12 Delisted — MREIS
- 2025-12-29 Relisted — MREIS
- 2025-10-08 Pending — MREIS
- 2025-08-20 Listed $175,000 MREIS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2018): $351 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…