313 Magnolia St · West Columbia, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the heart of West Columbia, this property offers a functional layout, spacious living areas, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The home features comfortable bedrooms and a practical kitchen with ample cabinet space. An attached flex space provides additional room for storage, hobbies, a workshop, or other uses. Situated on a generously sized lot, the property offers flexibility for a variety of needs. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and local amenities, this property presents an excellent opportunity for homeowners, investors, or those looking for a home with room to personalize. Schedule your private showing today.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 67 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.6% in West Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia-Brazoria ISD (town): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #513 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Columbia El (math 47% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,283 of 4,322 statewide, top 30%, 709 students, 60% FRL); West Brazos J H (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 676 students, 65% FRL); Columbia H S (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 889 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 61d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($671 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.44%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,134
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- -40.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1118 Woodbine Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (+9%) | 9mo | $159,000 | $140 | 68 |
| 1112 Dyson Rd | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,085 (+4%) | 21mo | $177,000 | $163 | 67 |
| 606 S Gray Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 921 (-12%) | 13mo | $169,000 | $183 | 55 |
| 610 S Gray Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,187 (+14%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $134 | 48 |
| 114 N 15th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (+6%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $54 | 46 |
| 414 Bell St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-9%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $168 | 46 |
| 207 W Jackson St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-14%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $45 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $57,082
- Equity at exit
- $71,259
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.57×
- Total profit
- $151,256
- Equity at exit
- $139,187
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.8 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $148,000 ($148/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 105 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77486
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,261 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $359 | -5% $332 | +0% $304 | +5% $277 | +10% $249 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $205 | -5% $254 | +0% $304 | +5% $354 | +10% $404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $329 | base $304 | +0.5pp $279 | +1.0pp $254 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1106 S Columbia Dr West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 93d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1106 S Columbia Dr Apt B West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 93d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1124 S Columbia Dr West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 321 Jefferson St West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 136 Ellis Ln Unit C West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 60d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 136 Ellis Ln Unit C West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 56d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1224 County Road 449 West Columbia, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 93d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Seller disclosure available
- Financial info
- Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public water
- Home design
- Residential propertyOne-story (first-floor living areas)
- Construction
- Built in 1950Wood sidingPillar/Post/Pier foundationComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Subdivision lotConcrete road surface
Interior
- Kitchen
- Convection ovenDishwasherElectric cooktop
- Bedrooms
- Three bedrooms on the first floor (approx. 8 x 11; 12 x 11; 12 x 11)
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Pots & Pan drawersTotal of 4 rooms
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $97,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $97,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $97,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $97,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $97,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $97,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $97,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $97,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $97,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $97,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $97,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $97,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $97,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $97,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $97,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $97,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $97,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $97,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $97,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $97,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $97,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $97,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $97,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $97,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $97,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $97,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $97,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $97,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $97,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $97,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $97,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $97,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $97,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $97,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $97,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $97,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $97,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $97,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $97,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $97,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $97,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $97,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $97,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,775 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,718
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $2,257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home in West Columbia, TX, is in good condition with a good layout and potential for cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia-Brazoria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814670
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,256
- Composite
- 30.23/100
- National rank
- #6297
- State rank
- #513 of 826 in TX
Livability — West Columbia
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #7954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Columbia, TX
- County
- Brazoria · 420,414 people
- Metro
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,330
- Household income
- $85,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.63%
- Current HPI
- 320.7967
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+252.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $97,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-29 Coming Soon $97,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-11-13 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-11-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $99,900 HARMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
- 2025-06-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-12-26 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
- 2013-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-23 Sold (MLS) — BCBR
- 2013-08-14 Listed $27,500 BCBR
- 2003-12-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,718 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…