1822 N Missouri Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$41,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home was renovated a little over a year ago. Sold as is. Sold AS A PACKAGE with 1817 New York Ave, 1906 N Missouri Ave, 1324 Underhill St, 2226 N Ellis. Tenant occupied- 24 hours notice required
Key facts
- 4,260 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $41k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $283 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $41k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.88%
- DSCR
- 3.22
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,651
- List price
- $41,000
- Delta
- -8.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 W Nebraska Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+2%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $74 | 66 |
| 713 E Gift Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 676 (+2%) | 7mo | $56,500 | $84 | 57 |
| 2137 N Prospect Rd | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 623 (-6%) | 6mo | $29,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 720 E Gift Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+6%) | 6mo | $72,500 | $104 | 52 |
| 2222 N Ellis St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+7%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $50 | 51 |
| 900 E Virginia Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-7%) | 7mo | $20,000 | $32 | 50 |
| 600 E Virginia Ave | 0.61mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 720 (+9%) | 4mo | $59,900 | $83 | 48 |
| 814 E Gift Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (+4%) | 14mo | $57,000 | $83 | 46 |
| 2627 N California Ave | 0.70mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 677 (+3%) | 20mo | $41,250 | $61 | 41 |
| 2309 N Flora Ave | 0.74mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 600 (-9%) | 8mo | $47,000 | $78 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $24,260
- Equity at exit
- $6,113
- IRR
- 54.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.43×
- Total profit
- $62,370
- Equity at exit
- $3,545
Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61603
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $980 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$215
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $781/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $477
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,250
- Closing costs
- $1,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,006 | $1.92 | 13d | 4 | 0.34mi |
| 905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $550 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 905 N Sheridan Rd Unit F Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $41,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $41,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $41,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $41,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $41,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $41,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $41,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $41,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $41,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $41,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $41,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $41,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $41,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $41,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $41,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $41,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-24$49,990 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
This home was renovated a little over a year ago. Sold as is. Sold AS A PACKAGE with 1817 New York Ave, 1906 N Missouri Ave, 1324 Underhill St, 2226 N Ellis. Tenant occupied- 24 hours notice required
-
2023-08-18soldstatus $25,000 Closed 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the heart of Peoria. Being sold AS IS. This listing can be purchased as part of a package of 9 properties. All data is deemed credible but not guaranteed. Contact your agent for more information.
-
2023-07-20status Pending 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the heart of Peoria. Being sold AS IS. This listing can be purchased as part of a package of 9 properties. All data is deemed credible but not guaranteed. Contact your agent for more information.
-
2023-07-14$27,500 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the heart of Peoria. Being sold AS IS. This listing can be purchased as part of a package of 9 properties. All data is deemed credible but not guaranteed. Contact your agent for more information.
-
2018-10-04soldstatus $276,000
-
1999-08-03soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $856 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,763
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,297
- − Property taxes
- −$781
- − Insurance
- −$205
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$941
- − Management
- −$941
- − Depreciation
- −$1,193
- Taxable income
- $5,406
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,297
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,356
- Household income
- $41,618
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 849.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.98%
- Current HPI
- 141.5343
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $49,990 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-20 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-14 Listed $27,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $276,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $781 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…