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C- Composite 51.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$309,000

35-31 205 St #302 · New York, NY 11360
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 875 sqft · Condo · 288 Days on market
Built 1950 ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained, upper corner unit in Baydale Gardens. This apartment features 2 large bedrooms, a spacious living/dining area, a galley style kitchen, hardwood floors and a fully tiled bathroom. There is plenty of closet space and the unit is located close to shops, schools and public transportation such as LIRR, Queens and Nassau bus lines and express bus to Manhattan. It needs updating but you can make it your own with minimal renovations. Cats are ok and maintenance of $1205 includes heat and hot water. Electric and cooking gas extra (approx $50-80/mth depending on the season). No flip tax.

Key facts

  • Fully tiled bathroom
  • Galley style kitchen
  • Upper corner unit

Tags

UPPER CORNER UNITGALLEY STYLE KITCHENHARDWOOD FLOORSFULLY TILED BATHROOMPLENTY OF CLOSET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $309k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $271,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.22%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$47,136
Equity at exit
$143,477
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$154,819
Equity at exit
$224,709

Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11360

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
219
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,814 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,620
Tax est. 1.5%
$386 /mo · $4,635/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$591
Net cashflow
$88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,703
Max offer price $309,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,250
Closing costs
$9,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
208-12 39th Ave Bayside, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $3,150 $3.32 7d 1 0.30mi
3321 Jordan St Flushing, NY 3.0 2.0 1080 $3,900 $3.61 24d 1 0.37mi
194-20 39th Ave Unit A Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 900 $2,250 $2.50 24d 1 0.39mi
33-08 Francis Lewis Blvd Unit 2FL Queens, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $3,050 $2.90 24d 1 0.44mi
41-20 210th St Unit 1 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 1030 $2,350 $2.28 24d 1 0.45mi
29-04 204th St Unit 1Floor Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 19d 1 0.47mi
36-26 192nd St #2 Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 875 $3,000 $3.43 7d 1 0.49mi
42-47 194th St Unit 1FL Queens, NY 2.0 1.0 820 $2,800 $3.41 24d 1 0.60mi
196-42 44th Ave #2 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,200 $3.67 5d 1 0.64mi
214-16 40th Ave Unit 3rd Floor Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $2,800 $3.11 24d 1 0.65mi
40-11 214th Pl Unit 2R Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,800 $4.31 5d 1 0.68mi
4334 192nd St Unit 2 Queens, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $2,650 $2.94 2d 1 0.75mi
209-21 26th Ave Unit TB Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 955 $2,850 $2.98 19d 1 0.76mi
23-45 Corporal Kennedy St Unit 1 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,800 $2.80 24d 1 0.78mi
20933 26th Ave Unit 1C Bayside, NY 1.0 1.5 800 $3,000 $3.75 24d 1 0.78mi
168-10 Crocheron Ave Unit 1A Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,250 $3.00 19d 1 0.85mi
1 Bay Club Dr Unit 21W Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 762 $3,100 $4.07 11d 1 0.86mi
2 Bay Club Dr Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 780 $4,000 $5.13 24d 1 0.86mi
3620 168th St Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,350 $3.36 7d 2 0.87mi
16710 Crocheron Ave Unit 3L Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 850 $2,350 $2.76 19d 1 0.90mi
165-02 Sanford Ave #204 Flushing, NY 2.0 2.0 800 $3,100 $3.88 24d 1 1.09mi
1816 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 24d 1 1.20mi
203-06 53rd Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 850 $2,200 $2.59 24d 1 1.20mi
1670 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 600 $3,100 $5.17 2d 4 1.27mi
4531 163rd St Unit 1 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,250 $3.75 7d 1 1.34mi
16-05 Bell Blvd Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,400 $3.43 24d 1 1.35mi
1785 215th St Unit 15J Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 620 $3,500 $5.65 24d 1 1.37mi
15719 26th Ave Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $2,850 $3.35 22d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watergaselectric
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $309,000 Active 288 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $309,000 Active 287 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    status $309,000 Active 285 DOM
  4. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-07
    price $309,000
  6. 2025-11-18
    status Active
  7. 2025-11-18
    historical
  8. 2025-11-17
    status Active
  9. 2025-09-15
    status Pending
  10. 2025-04-24
    price $319,000
  11. 2025-04-02
    listed $349,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,774
− Mortgage interest
−$17,309
− Property taxes
−$4,635
− Insurance
−$1,545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,702
− Management
−$2,702
− Depreciation
−$8,989
Taxable loss
−$4,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$986
After-tax cash flow
$2,042/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
19,469
Household income
$98,875
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
496.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
58% English-only · Chinese 14% Other Indo-European 11% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.26%
Current HPI
204.1422
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $309,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-18 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-18 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-17 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-15 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $319,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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