520 Nest Egg Rd · Camargo, KY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$66,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is ready for a little sweat equity. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, home is located in a private setting with a detached oversized garage perfect for a workshop or awesome mancave. Property is listed as IE (Insured w/escrow) . Add your personal touches to make this your dream home. Please refer to www.HUDHomeStore.gov to see who and when you can bid. Case # 201-728379. Equal Housing Opportunity Home is sold "as-is, where-is with no warranties expressed or implied". Equal Housing Opportunity
Key facts
- Mancave
- Private setting
- Workshop
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#307 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Montgomery County (rural): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #76 of 165 in KY (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.64%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,754
- List price
- $66,000
- Delta
- -71.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $24,018
- Equity at exit
- $9,841
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $65,782
- Equity at exit
- $5,706
Cash invested: $18,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40353
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$82 /mo · $990/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $544
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,500
- Closing costs
- $1,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Home is ready for a little sweat equity. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, home is located in a private setting with a detached oversized garage perfect for a workshop or awesome mancave. Property is listed as IE (Insured w/escrow) . Add your personal touches to make this your dream home. Please refer to www.HUDHomeStore.gov to see who and when you can bid. Case # 201-728379. Equal Housing Opportunity Home is sold "as-is, where-is with no warranties expressed or implied". Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2026-05-12price $66,000 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Home is ready for a little sweat equity. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, home is located in a private setting with a detached oversized garage perfect for a workshop or awesome mancave. Property is listed as IE (Insured w/escrow) . Add your personal touches to make this your dream home. Please refer to www.HUDHomeStore.gov to see who and when you can bid. Case # 201-728379. Equal Housing Opportunity Home is sold "as-is, where-is with no warranties expressed or implied". Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2026-04-21price $73,500 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Home is ready for a little sweat equity. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, home is located in a private setting with a detached oversized garage perfect for a workshop or awesome mancave. Property is listed as IE (Insured w/escrow) . Add your personal touches to make this your dream home. Please refer to www.HUDHomeStore.gov to see who and when you can bid. Case # 201-728379. Equal Housing Opportunity Home is sold "as-is, where-is with no warranties expressed or implied". Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2026-03-30price $86,500 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Home is ready for a little sweat equity. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, home is located in a private setting with a detached oversized garage perfect for a workshop or awesome mancave. Property is listed as IE (Insured w/escrow) . Add your personal touches to make this your dream home. Please refer to www.HUDHomeStore.gov to see who and when you can bid. Case # 201-728379. Equal Housing Opportunity Home is sold "as-is, where-is with no warranties expressed or implied". Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2026-02-18$108,000 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Home is ready for a little sweat equity. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, home is located in a private setting with a detached oversized garage perfect for a workshop or awesome mancave. Property is listed as IE (Insured w/escrow) . Add your personal touches to make this your dream home. Please refer to www.HUDHomeStore.gov to see who and when you can bid. Case # 201-728379. Equal Housing Opportunity Home is sold "as-is, where-is with no warranties expressed or implied". Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2022-11-23soldstatus $105,000
-
2022-11-03soldstatus $105,000 Closed 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
ADORABLE!!! This Newly Updated, 2006 Clayton Mobile Home Offers 3 Bedrooms And 2 Full Baths In Rural Montgomery County! AND ONLY 7 MINUTES FROM THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY!! This Very Well Maintained Home Has A Layout In Which Works Perfectly For Privacy And Also Allows For An Open Concept In Kitchen/ Living Area! Newly Painted Cabinetry In Both Kitchen And Baths, As Well As, Freshly Painted Walls And Trim Throughout! Brand New Flooring In Kitchen & Bathrooms And A Newly Added Walk In Shower In The Master Bathroom! Home Equipped With A Nice Large Covered Deck Outback AND A Nice Sized Concrete Block Detached Garage With Full Electric, Concrete Floor, & Separate Storage Room Or THE ULTIMATE MAVE CAVE! Only Minutes From Town, Yet Nice Country Setting. Call Today For Your Own Private Tour!
-
2022-10-03status Pending 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
ADORABLE!!! This Newly Updated, 2006 Clayton Mobile Home Offers 3 Bedrooms And 2 Full Baths In Rural Montgomery County! AND ONLY 7 MINUTES FROM THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY!! This Very Well Maintained Home Has A Layout In Which Works Perfectly For Privacy And Also Allows For An Open Concept In Kitchen/ Living Area! Newly Painted Cabinetry In Both Kitchen And Baths, As Well As, Freshly Painted Walls And Trim Throughout! Brand New Flooring In Kitchen & Bathrooms And A Newly Added Walk In Shower In The Master Bathroom! Home Equipped With A Nice Large Covered Deck Outback AND A Nice Sized Concrete Block Detached Garage With Full Electric, Concrete Floor, & Separate Storage Room Or THE ULTIMATE MAVE CAVE! Only Minutes From Town, Yet Nice Country Setting. Call Today For Your Own Private Tour!
-
2022-09-12historical Contingent 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
ADORABLE!!! This Newly Updated, 2006 Clayton Mobile Home Offers 3 Bedrooms And 2 Full Baths In Rural Montgomery County! AND ONLY 7 MINUTES FROM THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY!! This Very Well Maintained Home Has A Layout In Which Works Perfectly For Privacy And Also Allows For An Open Concept In Kitchen/ Living Area! Newly Painted Cabinetry In Both Kitchen And Baths, As Well As, Freshly Painted Walls And Trim Throughout! Brand New Flooring In Kitchen & Bathrooms And A Newly Added Walk In Shower In The Master Bathroom! Home Equipped With A Nice Large Covered Deck Outback AND A Nice Sized Concrete Block Detached Garage With Full Electric, Concrete Floor, & Separate Storage Room Or THE ULTIMATE MAVE CAVE! Only Minutes From Town, Yet Nice Country Setting. Call Today For Your Own Private Tour!
-
2022-09-03price $105,000 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
ADORABLE!!! This Newly Updated, 2006 Clayton Mobile Home Offers 3 Bedrooms And 2 Full Baths In Rural Montgomery County! AND ONLY 7 MINUTES FROM THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY!! This Very Well Maintained Home Has A Layout In Which Works Perfectly For Privacy And Also Allows For An Open Concept In Kitchen/ Living Area! Newly Painted Cabinetry In Both Kitchen And Baths, As Well As, Freshly Painted Walls And Trim Throughout! Brand New Flooring In Kitchen & Bathrooms And A Newly Added Walk In Shower In The Master Bathroom! Home Equipped With A Nice Large Covered Deck Outback AND A Nice Sized Concrete Block Detached Garage With Full Electric, Concrete Floor, & Separate Storage Room Or THE ULTIMATE MAVE CAVE! Only Minutes From Town, Yet Nice Country Setting. Call Today For Your Own Private Tour!
-
2022-08-12price $119,000 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
ADORABLE!!! This Newly Updated, 2006 Clayton Mobile Home Offers 3 Bedrooms And 2 Full Baths In Rural Montgomery County! AND ONLY 7 MINUTES FROM THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY!! This Very Well Maintained Home Has A Layout In Which Works Perfectly For Privacy And Also Allows For An Open Concept In Kitchen/ Living Area! Newly Painted Cabinetry In Both Kitchen And Baths, As Well As, Freshly Painted Walls And Trim Throughout! Brand New Flooring In Kitchen & Bathrooms And A Newly Added Walk In Shower In The Master Bathroom! Home Equipped With A Nice Large Covered Deck Outback AND A Nice Sized Concrete Block Detached Garage With Full Electric, Concrete Floor, & Separate Storage Room Or THE ULTIMATE MAVE CAVE! Only Minutes From Town, Yet Nice Country Setting. Call Today For Your Own Private Tour!
-
2022-07-24$129,000 Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
ADORABLE!!! This Newly Updated, 2006 Clayton Mobile Home Offers 3 Bedrooms And 2 Full Baths In Rural Montgomery County! AND ONLY 7 MINUTES FROM THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY!! This Very Well Maintained Home Has A Layout In Which Works Perfectly For Privacy And Also Allows For An Open Concept In Kitchen/ Living Area! Newly Painted Cabinetry In Both Kitchen And Baths, As Well As, Freshly Painted Walls And Trim Throughout! Brand New Flooring In Kitchen & Bathrooms And A Newly Added Walk In Shower In The Master Bathroom! Home Equipped With A Nice Large Covered Deck Outback AND A Nice Sized Concrete Block Detached Garage With Full Electric, Concrete Floor, & Separate Storage Room Or THE ULTIMATE MAVE CAVE! Only Minutes From Town, Yet Nice Country Setting. Call Today For Your Own Private Tour!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,697
- − Property taxes
- −$990
- − Insurance
- −$1,128
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$1,920
- Taxable income
- $5,875
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 2104250
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,262
- Composite
- 28.32/100
- National rank
- #6782
- State rank
- #76 of 165 in KY
Livability — Camargo
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #307
- US rank
- #14656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 22,725 people
- Metro
- Mount Sterling, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,725
- Household income
- $57,329
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 454.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,814 people
- By 2030
- 30,705 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 32,189 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 33,131 · +11.1%
- By 2075
- 33,991 · +14.0%
- By 2100
- 32,097 · +7.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 26.0% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+41.8 2016: R+41.1 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.89%
- Current HPI
- 229.2128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mount Sterling, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-48.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $66,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $73,500 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $86,500 ImagineMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $108,000 ImagineMLS
- 2022-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-03 Sold (MLS) $105,000 ImagineMLS
- 2022-10-03 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2022-09-12 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2022-09-03 Price Changed $105,000 ImagineMLS
- 2022-08-12 Price Changed $119,000 ImagineMLS
- 2022-07-24 Listed $129,000 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…