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3129 Cabot St
B Composite 74.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

3129 Cabot St · Montgomery, AL 36110
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,099 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 209 Days on market
Built 1950 0.33 ac lot Est $56k · 38% under ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3BEDROOM 2BATH HOME IN HIHLAND GARDENS, VACANT AND MOVE IN READY DETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE, COVERED PATIO, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR, LARGE LOT

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Private backyard
  • Large covered patios

Tags

HIGHLAND GARDEN NEIGHBORHOODCOVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE COVERED PATIOSPRIVATE BACKYARDFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCENTRAL HEATING AND AIR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; Wood siding construction
  • Construction: Wood siding; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Mature trees; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Kitchen/dining combo; Family room; Laundry room on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (first floor); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.02%
Cap rate
27.13%
Cash-on-cash
74.43%
DSCR
4.31
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$56,049
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3129 Cabot St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,099 (0%) 1mo $17,501 $16 100
1945 Gibson St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,045 (-5%) 2mo $23,000 $22 80
1930 Gibson St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-5%) 4mo $63,500 $61 80
1833 Midway St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,175 (+7%) 1mo $64,900 $55 71
3123 Fairground Rd 0.18mi 3/1.0 962 (-12%) 2mo $64,000 $67 65
2003 Miller St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (-5%) 2mo $54,000 $52 60
1515 Baffin Ct 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,025 (-7%) 3mo $26,000 $25 55
1544 Gibson St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,025 (-7%) 2mo $52,000 $51 54
4015 Montclair Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-5%) 3mo $45,000 $43 50
997 Parkwood Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+8%) 1mo $115,000 $97 49
504 Ferndale Ct 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,202 (+9%) 2mo $60,000 $50 49
218 Broadway St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-13%) 1mo $49,000 $51 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
74.3%
Equity multiple
4.37×
Total profit
$33,052
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
78.0%
Equity multiple
9.03×
Total profit
$78,664
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36110

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $353/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $288
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3050 Willena Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1466 $985 $0.67 21d 1 0.06mi
3008 Cabot St Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 44d 1 0.12mi
2056 Midway St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1110 $985 $0.89 44d 1 0.17mi
2076 Midway St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,000 $0.94 44d 1 0.19mi
2111 Yarbrough St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 962 $795 $0.83 44d 1 0.23mi
1817 Texas Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 21d 1 0.25mi
2107 Yarbrough Cir Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 910 $925 $1.02 44d 1 0.25mi
2019 Amos St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1134 $985 $0.87 44d 1 0.26mi
3329 Texas St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 0.34mi
3114 Cotton St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 888 $1,100 $1.24 44d 1 0.40mi
3452 Harris St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,150 $0.82 21d 1 0.42mi
3042 George B Edmondson Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $860 $0.96 44d 1 0.47mi
2001 Speigle St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,035 $0.82 44d 1 0.50mi
298 Broadway St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 896 $900 $1.00 44d 1 0.52mi
218 Broadway St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 960 $895 $0.93 13d 1 0.54mi
1653 N Yarbrough Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1130 $950 $0.84 21d 1 0.59mi
1324 Federal Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 0.62mi
341 Chisholm St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 756 $1,195 $1.58 21d 1 0.62mi
2503 Skyline Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,150 $1.13 44d 1 0.69mi
216 Gardendale Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 21d 1 0.70mi
2006 Harmon St Unit 3 Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 800 $500 $0.62 44d 1 0.71mi
4029 Chelsea Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.83mi
3613 Erwin Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.95mi
1024 Grenada Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,125 $0.98 44d 1 0.97mi
16 Garden St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1008 $775 $0.77 44d 1 1.02mi
207 Destin St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $695 $0.72 21d 1 1.02mi
204 W Park Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1145 $850 $0.74 21d 1 1.07mi
3 Rotary St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1131 $925 $0.82 21d 1 1.10mi
740 Coliseum Blvd Unit 740A Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $895 $0.81 13d 1 1.12mi
700 Coliseum Blvd Unit 700D Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 911 $895 $0.98 44d 1 1.19mi
142 W Michigan Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 13d 1 1.27mi
429 Edward St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 828 $1,080 $1.30 13d 1 1.27mi
412 Edward St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 828 $800 $0.97 44d 1 1.28mi
517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 44d 1 1.29mi
2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 889 $895 $1.01 44d 1 1.31mi
2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1052 $725 $0.69 44d 1 1.33mi
424 N California St Apt D Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $778 $0.92 21d 1 1.36mi
108 Calhoun Rd Unit 108B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1350 $750 $0.56 44d 1 1.40mi
508 Glenmore Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1135 $1,000 $0.88 44d 1 1.41mi
2009 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,080 $0.95 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    historical Contingent
  2. 2026-03-01
    price $35,000
  3. 2026-02-17
    status Active
  4. 2026-02-10
    historical Contingent
  5. 2025-12-01
    price $40,000
  6. 2025-10-30
    listed $45,000 Active
  7. 2024-12-19
    listed $55,000 Active
  8. 2008-03-12
    soldstatus $46,500 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    3BEDROOM 2BATH HOME IN HIHLAND GARDENS, VACANT AND MOVE IN READY DETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE, COVERED PATIO, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR, LARGE LOT

  9. 2007-10-26
    listed $50,500 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    3BEDROOM 2BATH HOME IN HIHLAND GARDENS, VACANT AND MOVE IN READY DETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE, COVERED PATIO, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR, LARGE LOT

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$353 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$353 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,690
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$353
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,015
− Management
−$1,015
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$7,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,717
After-tax cash flow
$5,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,102
Household income
$47,315
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
753.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 11% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.37%
Current HPI
66.3114
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Contingent MAAR
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $35,000 MAAR
  • 2026-02-17 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-02-10 Contingent MAAR
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $40,000 MAAR
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $45,000 MAAR
  • 2024-12-19 Listed $55,000 MAAR
  • 2008-03-12 Sold (MLS) $46,500 MAAR
  • 2007-10-26 Listed $50,500 MAAR

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $353 · +113.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…