3129 Cabot St · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3BEDROOM 2BATH HOME IN HIHLAND GARDENS, VACANT AND MOVE IN READY DETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE, COVERED PATIO, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR, LARGE LOT
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Private backyard
- Large covered patios
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story house; Wood siding construction
- Construction: Wood siding; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Mature trees; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Kitchen/dining combo; Family room; Laundry room on main level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (first floor); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.43%
- DSCR
- 4.31
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,049
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3129 Cabot St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,099 (0%) | 1mo | $17,501 | $16 | 100 |
| 1945 Gibson St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (-5%) | 2mo | $23,000 | $22 | 80 |
| 1930 Gibson St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-5%) | 4mo | $63,500 | $61 | 80 |
| 1833 Midway St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,175 (+7%) | 1mo | $64,900 | $55 | 71 |
| 3123 Fairground Rd | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (-12%) | 2mo | $64,000 | $67 | 65 |
| 2003 Miller St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-5%) | 2mo | $54,000 | $52 | 60 |
| 1515 Baffin Ct | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-7%) | 3mo | $26,000 | $25 | 55 |
| 1544 Gibson St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-7%) | 2mo | $52,000 | $51 | 54 |
| 4015 Montclair Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-5%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $43 | 50 |
| 997 Parkwood Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+8%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $97 | 49 |
| 504 Ferndale Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (+9%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $50 | 49 |
| 218 Broadway St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-13%) | 1mo | $49,000 | $51 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.37×
- Total profit
- $33,052
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 78.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.03×
- Total profit
- $78,664
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36110
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,058 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $353/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3050 Willena Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1466 | $985 | $0.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3008 Cabot St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2056 Midway St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $985 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2076 Midway St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2111 Yarbrough St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $795 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1817 Texas Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2107 Yarbrough Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $925 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2019 Amos St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $985 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3329 Texas St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3114 Cotton St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3452 Harris St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3042 George B Edmondson Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $860 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2001 Speigle St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,035 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 298 Broadway St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 218 Broadway St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1653 N Yarbrough Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $950 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1324 Federal Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 341 Chisholm St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,195 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2503 Skyline Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 216 Gardendale Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2006 Harmon St Unit 3 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $500 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4029 Chelsea Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3613 Erwin Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1024 Grenada Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,125 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 16 Garden St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $775 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 207 Destin St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $695 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 204 W Park Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $850 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3 Rotary St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $925 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 740 Coliseum Blvd Unit 740A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 700 Coliseum Blvd Unit 700D Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $895 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 142 W Michigan Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 429 Edward St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,080 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 412 Edward St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $800 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $895 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $725 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 424 N California St Apt D Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $778 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 108 Calhoun Rd Unit 108B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $750 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 508 Glenmore Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2009 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,080 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-17historical Contingent
-
2026-03-01price $35,000
-
2026-02-17status Active
-
2026-02-10historical Contingent
-
2025-12-01price $40,000
-
2025-10-30$45,000 Active
-
2024-12-19$55,000 Active
-
2008-03-12soldstatus $46,500 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
3BEDROOM 2BATH HOME IN HIHLAND GARDENS, VACANT AND MOVE IN READY DETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE, COVERED PATIO, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR, LARGE LOT
-
2007-10-26$50,500 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
3BEDROOM 2BATH HOME IN HIHLAND GARDENS, VACANT AND MOVE IN READY DETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE, COVERED PATIO, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR, LARGE LOT
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $353 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $353 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,690
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$353
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $7,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,717
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,578/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,102
- Household income
- $47,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 753.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.37%
- Current HPI
- 66.3114
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-30.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Contingent — MAAR
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $35,000 MAAR
- 2026-02-17 Relisted — MAAR
- 2026-02-10 Contingent — MAAR
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $40,000 MAAR
- 2025-10-30 Listed $45,000 MAAR
- 2024-12-19 Listed $55,000 MAAR
- 2008-03-12 Sold (MLS) $46,500 MAAR
- 2007-10-26 Listed $50,500 MAAR
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $353 · +113.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…