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1215 Oakley Pl
B- Composite 66.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

1215 Oakley Pl · St. Louis, MO 63112
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,920 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1906 7,318 sqft lot $47/sqft · 73% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stunning Historic Home with Modern Touches in St. Louis! Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom home, a beautiful blend of historic character and modern convenience. Built in 1909, this gem is proudly listed on the National Register of Historic Places, ensuring its timeless appeal. Key Features: 4 Spacious Bedrooms: Perfect for families or guests. 1 Full & 1 Half Bathroom: Recently updated with new fixtures and finishes. Large Kitchen: Featuring a stylish island, new cabinets, and modern ceramic tile. Oversized Dining Room: Ideal for family gatherings and entertaining. Expansive Living Room: A cozy space with two elegant electric fireplaces. Full Basement: Offers endless possibilities for storage or additional living space. Generous Backyard: Perfect for outdoor activities and relaxation. Recent Renovations: This home boasts approximately 90-95% completed renovations, including: New Electric Panel & Updated Wiring New Water and Drain Lines Finished Attic Space: Transformed into livable space. New Roof: Ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Epoxy Floors: Beautifully finished in the kitchen and bathrooms. Brand New Bathtub, Toilets, and Vanities New Windows: Original front windows preserved for historical integrity. Waterproofed Basement Walls: Enhanced durability and protection. Investment Opportunity: After Repair Value (ARV): $225,000 Estimated Renovation Costs: Approximately $15,000 to complete the remaining updates. Opportunities for Personal Touch: While this home is nearly move-in ready, a few minor updates will complete the picture: New air condenser unit needed Approximately 10 linear feet of gutters and a new downspout on one side About 20 linear feet of soffits to be repaired Some tuck-pointing for added structural integrity Door knobs are provided and just need installation A panel for the kitchen island and addressing a small gap on the third floor Don't miss your chance to own this exquisite home that beautifully marries historic charm with modern living. Schedule a showing today and envision your future in this St. Louis treasure!

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New baths
  • Stone construction

Tags

STONE CONSTRUCTIONWOOD BEAMED CEILINGNEW KITCHENNEW BATHSDOUBLE STAIRCASETHIRD FLOOR BONUS ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,198/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1457% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.44%
Cap rate
21.98%
Cash-on-cash
56.01%
DSCR
3.49
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$451,218
List price
$90,000
Delta
-63.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
938 Catalpa St 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,820 (-5%) 4mo $199,900 $110 62
6018 Horton Pl 0.35mi 5/1.5 (+1) 2,105 (+10%) 9mo $210,000 $100 53
5929 Cates Ave 0.57mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,980 (+3%) 11mo $100,000 $51 52
1237 Eskridge Ln 0.73mi 4/2.5 1,905 (-1%) 9mo $299,000 $157 51
5714 Maple Ave 0.48mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,036 (+6%) 8mo $104,500 $51 49
1441 Temple Pl 0.61mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,980 (+3%) 11mo $7,000 $4 48
5853 Clemens Ave 0.65mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,948 (+2%) 10mo $299,900 $154 46
5941 Romaine Pl 0.36mi 4/2.0 2,160 (+12%) 17mo $39,900 $18 44
8 Cabanne Townhome Dr 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,040 (+6%) 18mo $229,900 $113 38
6140 Minerva Ave 0.40mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,678 (-13%) 14mo $174,900 $104 38
5730 Clemens Ave 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,784 (-7%) 18mo $325,000 $182 28
5911 Enright Ave 0.73mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,106 (+10%) 14mo $399,900 $190 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.7%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$58,984
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
6.65×
Total profit
$142,370
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63112

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,198 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $611/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$1,176

Break-even live

Break-even rent $709
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1019 N Skinker Pkwy St. Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1137 $2,795 $2.46 1d 9 0.48mi
5804 Cates Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 4d 1 0.67mi
5760 Theodosia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1702 $1,420 $0.83 23d 1 0.67mi
6274 Cates Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,295 $1.64 43d 1 0.89mi
6105 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 931 $2,610 $2.80 4d 1 0.90mi
5345 Wells Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 2254 $1,295 $0.57 43d 1 1.02mi
6009 Kingsbury Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1368 $2,000 $1.46 4d 1 1.05mi
716 Westgate Ave Unit 3 University City, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,995 $2.00 43d 1 1.05mi
6017 Kingsbury Ave Unit 2f St. Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1500 $3,250 $2.17 17d 1 1.05mi
6017 Kingsbury Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1600 $2,700 $1.69 17d 1 1.05mi
6409 Enright Ave University City, MO 3.0 1.5 1320 $2,420 $1.83 1d 2 1.06mi
5783 McPherson Ave Unit 2FL St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1320 $2,550 $1.93 7d 1 1.08mi
5861 Nina Pl Apt 2W St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 43d 1 1.11mi
5861 Nina Pl Unit 3W St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,750 $1.13 17d 1 1.11mi
5920 McPherson Ave Unit 1st Floor St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,550 $1.96 43d 1 1.13mi
5333 Patton Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1262 $1,250 $0.99 43d 1 1.17mi
5096 Minerva Ave Unit C St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1800 $1,395 $0.78 43d 1 1.31mi
6913 Etzel Ave Unit 1496954P University City, MO 3.0 2.0 1399 $5,767 $4.12 7d 1 1.35mi
321 Belt Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1549 $2,300 $1.48 4d 1 1.39mi
6936 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1396 $1,858 $1.33 23d 1 1.39mi
5394 Pershing Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,595 $1.73 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-03-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  15. 2026-03-11
    listed $125,000 Active
  16. 2025-11-05
    listed $163,900 Active 2093-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2093 chars)

    Stunning Historic Home with Modern Touches in St. Louis! Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom home, a beautiful blend of historic character and modern convenience. Built in 1909, this gem is proudly listed on the National Register of Historic Places, ensuring its timeless appeal. Key Features: 4 Spacious Bedrooms: Perfect for families or guests. 1 Full & 1 Half Bathroom: Recently updated with new fixtures and finishes. Large Kitchen: Featuring a stylish island, new cabinets, and modern ceramic tile. Oversized Dining Room: Ideal for family gatherings and entertaining. Expansive Living Room: A cozy space with two elegant electric fireplaces. Full Basement: Offers endless possibilities for storage or additional living space. Generous Backyard: Perfect for outdoor activities and relaxation. Recent Renovations: This home boasts approximately 90-95% completed renovations, including: New Electric Panel & Updated Wiring New Water and Drain Lines Finished Attic Space: Transformed into livable space. New Roof: Ensuring peace of mind for years to come. Epoxy Floors: Beautifully finished in the kitchen and bathrooms. Brand New Bathtub, Toilets, and Vanities New Windows: Original front windows preserved for historical integrity. Waterproofed Basement Walls: Enhanced durability and protection. Investment Opportunity: After Repair Value (ARV): $225,000 Estimated Renovation Costs: Approximately $15,000 to complete the remaining updates. Opportunities for Personal Touch: While this home is nearly move-in ready, a few minor updates will complete the picture: New air condenser unit needed Approximately 10 linear feet of gutters and a new downspout on one side About 20 linear feet of soffits to be repaired Some tuck-pointing for added structural integrity Door knobs are provided and just need installation A panel for the kitchen island and addressing a small gap on the third floor Don't miss your chance to own this exquisite home that beautifully marries historic charm with modern living. Schedule a showing today and envision your future in this St. Louis treasure!

  17. 2025-07-21
    status Active
  18. 2025-07-21
    price $165,000
  19. 2025-06-25
    price $174,900
  20. 2025-05-29
    listed $180,000 Active
  21. 2012-01-20
    soldstatus
  22. 2011-08-02
    listed $7,500
  23. 2002-02-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$611 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$873 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$262/yr (+$22/mo · 43.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,378
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$611
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,110
− Management
−$2,110
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$13,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,225
After-tax cash flow
$10,890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
17,985
Household income
$45,542
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
1457.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 24% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.94%
Current HPI
115.1863
Rent YoY
▲ 2.39%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1566.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $163,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-07-21 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $174,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $180,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-20 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-02 Listed $7,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-02-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $611 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…