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1301 E Avenue I E #233
C+ Composite 60.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1301 E Avenue I E #233 · Lancaster, CA 93535
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1985 Fair condition Est $84k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bed / 2 Bath Mobile Home in Friendly Village - East Lancaster Welcome to comfortable and affordable living in Friendly Village Mobile Home Park, one of East Lancaster's well-established communities! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a peaceful neighborhood setting. ✨ Property Features: Bright and open floor plan 2 spacious bedrooms, including a private primary suite 2 full bathrooms for added comfort Functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space Comfortable living area for relaxing or entertaining Covered parking + outdoor space Located in a clean and friendly park Community amenities may include clubhouse, pool, and recreational areas Convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. ;; Call/Text today to schedule a private showing!

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Covered parking
  • Community amenities

Tags

BRIGHT AND OPEN FLOOR PLANPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEFUNCTIONAL KITCHENCOVERED PARKINGOUTDOOR SPACECOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot density: 0-1 unit per acre; Elevation units listed in feet; Directions available: East Ave I between Challenger Way and 15th St. East
  • Financial info: Land lease: $600
  • HOA & community: Community features include curbs and biking

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Attached carport; 2 parking spaces (2 garage/carport spaces)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story/mobile home (14' x 64'); Mobile home remains on site; Built by builder (year source: builder)
  • Construction: Mobile/manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Covered concrete patio; Fenced pool; Community gunite pool; Cul-de-sac lot; One storage shed on site; Park name: Friendly Village

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace; Wall/window cooling; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: East-facing entry; Entry at ground level
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 4.3% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#282 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Lancaster Elementary (suburban): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #1,161 of 1,400 in CA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1169 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
17.51%
Cash-on-cash
40.06%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,000
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1301 E Avenue I #346 0.02mi 2/2.0 804 (-4%) 8mo $80,000 $100 85
1301 E Avenue I #337 0.00mi 2/1.0 720 (-14%) 9mo $100,000 $139 65
1304 E I Ave #32 0.49mi 1/1.0 (-1) 900 (+7%) 8mo $55,000 $61 50
45800 Challenger Way #208 0.63mi 1/1.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 11mo $45,000 $63 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$43,576
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
38.8%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$101,867
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93535

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
1169
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,221 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$1,075

Break-even live

Break-even rent $861
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
45118 Parkview Ln Lancaster, CA 2.0 2.0 980 $2,500 $2.55 24d 1 0.66mi
550 E Avenue H14 Lancaster, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,050 $2.41 1d 1 0.78mi
44532 15th St E #7 Lancaster, CA 2.0 2.0 1062 $2,150 $2.02 24d 1 1.06mi
44532 15th St E #7 Lancaster, CA 2.0 2.0 1062 $2,050 $1.93 1d 1 1.06mi
1628 Cactus Dr Apt B Lancaster, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,999 $2.00 1d 1 1.12mi
1647 Orchid Ln Lancaster, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,875 $1.88 2d 1 1.16mi
1647 Orchid Ln Lancaster, CA 3.0 3.0 1084 $1,950 $1.80 21d 1 1.16mi
44436 15th St E Lancaster, CA 2.0 2.0 1056 $2,024 $1.92 1d 1 1.24mi
1827 East Avenue J Unit 2 Lancaster, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,850 $1.76 16d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-04-23
    status Pending 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    2 Bed / 2 Bath Mobile Home in Friendly Village - East Lancaster Welcome to comfortable and affordable living in Friendly Village Mobile Home Park, one of East Lancaster's well-established communities! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a peaceful neighborhood setting. ✨ Property Features: Bright and open floor plan 2 spacious bedrooms, including a private primary suite 2 full bathrooms for added comfort Functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space Comfortable living area for relaxing or entertaining Covered parking + outdoor space Located in a clean and friendly park Community amenities may include clubhouse, pool, and recreational areas Convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. ;; Call/Text today to schedule a private showing!

  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $115,000 Active 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    2 Bed / 2 Bath Mobile Home in Friendly Village - East Lancaster Welcome to comfortable and affordable living in Friendly Village Mobile Home Park, one of East Lancaster's well-established communities! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a peaceful neighborhood setting. ✨ Property Features: Bright and open floor plan 2 spacious bedrooms, including a private primary suite 2 full bathrooms for added comfort Functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space Comfortable living area for relaxing or entertaining Covered parking + outdoor space Located in a clean and friendly park Community amenities may include clubhouse, pool, and recreational areas Convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. ;; Call/Text today to schedule a private showing!

  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $115,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    2 Bed / 2 Bath Mobile Home in Friendly Village - East Lancaster Welcome to comfortable and affordable living in Friendly Village Mobile Home Park, one of East Lancaster's well-established communities! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a peaceful neighborhood setting. ✨ Property Features: Bright and open floor plan 2 spacious bedrooms, including a private primary suite 2 full bathrooms for added comfort Functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space Comfortable living area for relaxing or entertaining Covered parking + outdoor space Located in a clean and friendly park Community amenities may include clubhouse, pool, and recreational areas Convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. ;; Call/Text today to schedule a private showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$874 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$526/yr (+$44/mo · 151.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥101°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,656
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,133
− Management
−$2,133
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$11,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,804
After-tax cash flow
$10,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Focus on exterior repairs and painting to enhance curb appeal and interior updates to make the home more inviting.

Repairs flagged

  • Major siding and paint — Severe weathering and peeling
  • Minor exterior steps — Slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair exterior steps — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both update flooring — Fresh flooring can make the home more appealing
  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home more inviting

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
siding and paint · Severe weathering and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
exterior steps · Slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $15,500–53,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair exterior steps — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both update flooring — Fresh flooring can make the home more appealing
  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home more inviting

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lancaster Elementary
NCES district ID
0620880
Math proficiency
18% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,440
Composite
24.73/100
National rank
#13028
State rank
#1161 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Lancaster

Score
68/100
State rank
#282
US rank
#9504

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lancaster, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
194,251
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
79,409
Household income
$70,360
Rent vs Own
33.6% rent · 66.4% own
Severe rent burden
2494.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 25% Black 21% White 17% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 37% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.13%
Current HPI
449.4494
Rent YoY
▲ 0.14%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending AVMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $115,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $115,000 AVMLS

Property tax history

+26.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $348 · +26.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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