3610 Frederick Ave · Baltimore, MD 21229

$69,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Townhouse public records · 58 Days on market

Built 1920 $51/sqft · 42% below area Est $119k · 42% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Built 1920
• Listed 58 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $69k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
• Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $69k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.67% ✓
• Cap rate: 24.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 64.08%
• DSCR: 3.85
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $118,782
• List price: $69,000
• Delta: -41.91%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
125 S Morley St S	0.19mi	3/1.5	1,350 (+0%)	2mo	$70,000	$52	87
156 S Hilton St	0.25mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,320 (-2%)	2mo	$195,000	$148	77
21 Monastery Ave S	0.31mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,320 (-2%)	3mo	$65,000	$49	75
28 S Bernice Ave	0.43mi	3/1.0	1,280 (-5%)	1mo	$147,000	$115	71
38 N Monastery Ave	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,260 (-6%)	3mo	$90,000	$71	66
21 Culver St	0.31mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,260 (-6%)	1mo	$210,000	$167	65
5 Rosedale St S	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,280 (-5%)	1mo	$110,000	$86	64
347 Yale Ave	0.48mi	3/1.5	1,436 (+7%)	3mo	$215,000	$150	62
3424 Wilkens Ave	0.63mi	3/2.5	1,280 (-5%)	2mo	$207,000	$162	55
300 Denison St	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,260 (-6%)	2mo	$205,000	$163	55
3017 Frederick Ave	0.53mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,260 (-6%)	2mo	$217,000	$172	50
428 S Augusta Ave	0.48mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,500 (+12%)	3mo	$249,900	$167	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 65.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.06×
• Total profit: $59,040
• Equity at exit: $10,288

10-year hold

• IRR: 70.8%
• Equity multiple: 9.05×
• Total profit: $155,476
• Equity at exit: $5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Baltimore: 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58

Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21229

• Rents YoY: 5.4%
• Active inventory: 252
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,844 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$362
• Tax from tax record: −$34 /mo · $413/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $1,032

Break-even live

Break-even rent $538

Max offer price $69,000

Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,250
• Closing costs: $2,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1310	$1,550	$1.18	43d	1	0.29mi
4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1050	$1,400	$1.33	23d	1	0.34mi
3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1236	$1,625	$1.31	23d	1	0.35mi
304 Collins Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1016	$2,100	$2.07	43d	1	0.37mi
117 Collins Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.0	1617	$2,350	$1.45	43d	1	0.38mi
3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	920	$1,550	$1.68	23d	1	0.41mi
3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,500	$1.25	20d	1	0.46mi
41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1216	$1,800	$1.48	23d	1	0.46mi
3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,895	$1.80	4d	1	0.57mi
202 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1710	$2,250	$1.32	23d	1	0.59mi
4301 Parkton St Baltimore, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0	730	$1,550	$2.12	43d	1	0.61mi
3706 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1540	$1,350	$0.88	43d	1	0.62mi
405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.0	1408	$2,950	$2.10	4d	1	0.70mi
409 Normandy Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	1.0	1640	$1,500	$0.91	23d	1	0.73mi
111 Upmanor Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1224	$2,163	$1.77	43d	1	0.81mi
3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.0	1428	$2,300	$1.61	43d	1	0.81mi
3423 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1400	$1,710	$1.22	43d	1	0.82mi
4431 Eldone Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	896	$2,000	$2.23	23d	1	0.84mi
738 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1346	$1,900	$1.41	23d	1	0.87mi
751 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1024	$1,750	$1.71	43d	1	0.88mi
500 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1472	$2,100	$1.43	16d	1	0.90mi
623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.0	1250	$2,000	$1.60	23d	1	0.90mi
19 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1350	$1,850	$1.37	43d	1	0.95mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4718-F Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	879	$1,225	$1.39	2d	1	0.96mi
3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1250	$2,500	$2.00	23d	1	0.96mi
2738 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1183	$1,500	$1.27	43d	1	0.97mi
730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	4.0	1.0	1360	$1,750	$1.29	23d	1	0.97mi
2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,800	$1.24	10d	1	0.98mi
2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,800	$1.24	23d	1	0.98mi
2737 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1232	$1,650	$1.34	4d	1	0.98mi
402 Colleen Rd Baltimore, MD	1.0–2.0	1.0	910	$1,450	$1.59	2d	11	0.98mi
586 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1178	$2,100	$1.78	17d	1	0.99mi
627 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	892	$1,750	$1.96	23d	1	1.00mi
2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1056	$1,000	$0.95	43d	1	1.00mi
4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1270	$1,875	$1.48	43d	1	1.01mi
2671 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1144	$1,325	$1.16	43d	1	1.05mi
780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1224	$1,590	$1.30	43d	1	1.05mi
2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD	4.0	2.0	1040	$2,050	$1.97	43d	1	1.05mi
613 S Beechfield Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1080	$1,950	$1.81	43d	1	1.05mi
787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1116	$1,575	$1.41	23d	1	1.05mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $69,000 Active 58 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $69,000 Active 57 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $69,000 Active 56 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $69,000 Active 52 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $69,000 Active 50 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $69,000 Active 49 DOM
9. 2026-05-19
   price $75,000
10. 2026-05-12
    price $80,000
11. 2026-04-28
    price $86,000
12. 2026-04-28
    status Active
13. 2026-04-17
    historical Active Under Contract
14. 2026-04-14
    price $88,000
15. 2026-04-01
    listed $99,000 Active
16. 1995-06-08
    soldstatus $30,000
17. 1994-08-22
    historical
18. 1994-02-22
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $413 · $34/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $582 · $49/mo
• Expected delta: +$170/yr (+$14/mo · 41.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,126
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,865
• − Property taxes: −$413
• − Insurance: −$345
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,770
• − Management: −$1,770
• − Depreciation: −$2,007
• Taxable income: $11,956
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,869
• After-tax cash flow: $9,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baltimore City Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400090
• Math proficiency: 7% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $42,108
• Composite: 10.08/100
• National rank: #9805
• State rank: #24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #90
• US rank: #3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Baltimore, MD
• County: Baltimore City · 558,601 people
• City population: 588,727
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• Population (ZIP): 46,679
• Household income: $60,047
• Rent vs Own: 43.1% rent · 56.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 624,249 people
• By 2030: 621,541 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 609,756 · -2.3%
• By 2050: 597,249 · -4.3%
• By 2075: 552,236 · -11.5%
• By 2100: 513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -259.07%
• Current HPI: 226.896
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.38%
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

+150.0% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-28 Price Changed $86,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-28 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-17 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-14 Price Changed $88,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-01 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 1995-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
• 1994-08-22 Delisted — MRIS
• 1994-02-22 Listed — MRIS

Property tax history

-8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $413 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.