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84136 Avenue 44 #372
D+ Composite 48.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

84136 Avenue 44 #372 · Indio, CA 92203
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 242 Days on market
Manufactured home 2,178 sqft lot $248/sqft · 25% below area Est $131k · 25% under $530/mo HOA · 40% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Park Model, with an oversized loft has been recently upgraded with paint throughout, Quartz counter tops in kitchen and bathroom and flooring throughout. The new kitchen appliances include: 5 burner range top, combo microware/convection and hot air fryer. It has a New living room glass slider, hot water heater and HVAC. The outside deck has new steps up to the weatherproof deck flooring. This is a turnkey at it's finest. This all located in a 55 community that has a 3 par golf course, chipping green, putting green, 9 hole mini golf, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, an indoor shuffleboard courts, 2 clubhouses with pools and Jacuzzies and an additional 4 satellites with pool, jacuzzi and mail boxes. This is all within a 24 hour gate guarded community , of 801 lots, that consist of a combination of Park Models and RV lots, where you own the land. The resort has a limit of 270 day occupancy. It is. a perfect place to spend your holidays in the sunshine.

Key facts

  • Oversized loft
  • Chipping green
  • 3 par golf course

Tags

OVERSIZED LOFTQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSNEW KITCHEN APPLIANCESWEATHERPROOF DECK FLOORING3 PAR GOLF COURSECHIPPING GREEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (15.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Desert Ridge Academy (math 24% / reading 75%, grade C, #98 of 498 statewide, top 21%, 1,030 students, 81% FRL); Shadow Hills High (math 30% / reading 53%, grade F, #498 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,751 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 56% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $99k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,981 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.68%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,216
List price
$99,000
Delta
-24.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
84136 Ave 44, #262 #262 0.09mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 0mo $192,500 $481 96
84136 84136 Avenue 44, #325 #325 0.06mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $79,000 $198 96
84136 Ave 44, #385 #385 0.06mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $178,000 $445 95
84136 Avenue 44 #477 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 1mo $95,000 $238 94
84136 Ave 44, #567 #567 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $90,000 $225 94
84136 Avenue 44, #449 #449 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $230,000 $575 93
84136 Ave 44, #29 #29 0.18mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $90,000 $225 90
754 Ave 44 #754 0.16mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $101,500 $254 90
84136 Ave 44, #744 #744 0.23mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $176,000 $440 88
84136 Ave 44, 675 #675 0.23mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $205,000 $513 87
84136 Ave 44, 658 #658 0.24mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $102,500 $256 86
84136 Ave 44 #122 0.27mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $125,000 $313 86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-14,197
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$13,565
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92203

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
448
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $435/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$530
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,426
Max offer price $83,981
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-29 -5% $-57 +0% $-85 +5% $-113 +10% $-141
Rent -10% $-189 -5% $-137 +0% $-85 +5% $-33 +10% $19
Rate -1.0pp $-35 -0.5pp $-60 base $-85 +0.5pp $-111 +1.0pp $-137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$530 · $6,360/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolsecurity

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $99,000 Active 242 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 241 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 238 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 237 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 236 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 235 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 233 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 229 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 228 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 227 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 224 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 223 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 222 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 221 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 220 DOM
  16. 2025-10-23
    listed $99,000 Active 978-char remark
    Show marketing remark (978 chars)

    This Park Model, with an oversized loft has been recently upgraded with paint throughout, Quartz counter tops in kitchen and bathroom and flooring throughout. The new kitchen appliances include: 5 burner range top, combo microware/convection and hot air fryer. It has a New living room glass slider, hot water heater and HVAC. The outside deck has new steps up to the weatherproof deck flooring. This is a turnkey at it's finest. This all located in a 55 community that has a 3 par golf course, chipping green, putting green, 9 hole mini golf, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, an indoor shuffleboard courts, 2 clubhouses with pools and Jacuzzies and an additional 4 satellites with pool, jacuzzi and mail boxes. This is all within a 24 hour gate guarded community , of 801 lots, that consist of a combination of Park Models and RV lots, where you own the land. The resort has a limit of 270 day occupancy. It is. a perfect place to spend your holidays in the sunshine.

  17. 1991-04-30
    soldstatus $23,500
  18. 1919-06-27
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$435 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$752 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$317/yr (+$26/mo · 73.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥115°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,822
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$435
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,266
− Management
−$1,266
− HOA
−$6,360
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$2,425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$582
After-tax cash flow
$-438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,735
Household income
$97,311
Rent vs Own
20.2% rent · 79.8% own
Severe rent burden
565.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 41% Two or more races 29% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.51%
Current HPI
295.6456
Rent YoY
▲ 11.64%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+465.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $99,000 TheMLS
  • 1991-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
  • 1919-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2014): $435 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…