184 Gali Way · Napa, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Cash flow +3.0/30.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$830,810
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Foundry's Residence 1 strikes the sweet spot between social spaces and solo escapes. Artfully spread across 2,138 square feet, this three-story floor plan showcases a bedroom with en suite bathroom poised to become peaceful guest quarters. Upstairs, a breezy balcony and main living area unfold, complete with a chef's kitchen boasting upgraded appliances and an island. And on the top floor, a generous primary suite with two walk-in closets as well as a convenient linen closet offer everything you need for the perfect retreat. Residence 1 might just be the one for you.
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Linen closet
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $831k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-32k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $441k (47.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $385k (53.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $385k (53.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#227 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Napa Valley Unified (urban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #599 of 1,400 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Phillips Elementary (381 students, 86% FRL); Silverado Middle (868 students, 77% FRL); Napa High (1,762 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 38% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 648 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 427 units permitted in Napa County in 2024 (189 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Napa County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($818k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.46% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.91%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 18.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $948,085
- List price
- $830,810
- Delta
- -12.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 Compass Dr | 0.08mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,138 (0%) | 8mo | $818,120 | $383 | 84 |
| 110 Compass Dr | 0.11mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,311 (+8%) | 8mo | $869,361 | $376 | 69 |
| 342 Sagebrush Dr | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,559 (+20%) | 2mo | $884,256 | $346 | 64 |
| 325 Sagebrush Dr | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,340 (+9%) | 20mo | $1,003,458 | $429 | 57 |
| 347 Cordelia Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,559 (+20%) | 8mo | $954,247 | $373 | 57 |
| 319 Flagship Dr | 0.06mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,559 (+20%) | 13mo | $899,430 | $351 | 54 |
| 307 Flagship Dr | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,559 (+20%) | 20mo | $928,320 | $363 | 49 |
| 309 Sagebrush Dr | 0.05mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,559 (+20%) | 20mo | $1,007,790 | $394 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -45.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-317,585
- Equity at exit
- $123,876
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.33×
- Total profit
- $-541,086
- Equity at exit
- $71,833
Cash invested: $232,627 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 132.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $892,474 ($361/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 53 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +23.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 94558
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 648
- Price-to-rent
- 18.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,855 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,357
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,039 /mo · $12,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$346
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$810
- Net cashflow
- $-2,696
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,122 | -5% $-2,409 | +0% $-2,696 | +5% $-2,983 | +10% $-3,270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3,001 | -5% $-2,848 | +0% $-2,696 | +5% $-2,544 | +10% $-2,392 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,278 | -0.5pp $-2,485 | base $-2,696 | +0.5pp $-2,911 | +1.0pp $-3,130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $207,702
- Closing costs
- $24,924
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
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2026-06-10days on market $830,810 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $830,810 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $830,810 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $830,810 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $830,810 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $830,810 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $830,810 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $830,810 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $830,810 Active 8 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $830,810 Active 7 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$46,538
- − Property taxes
- −$12,462
- − Insurance
- −$4,154
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,701
- − Management
- −$3,701
- − Depreciation
- −$24,169
- Taxable loss
- −$48,466
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11,632
- After-tax cash flow
- $-20,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 19 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great balance of social spaces and private retreats, making it an ideal investment property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Napa Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626640
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,007
- Composite
- 40.18/100
- National rank
- #7827
- State rank
- #599 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Napa
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #7435
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Napa, CA
- County
- Napa County · 153,987 people
- City population
- 91,371
- Metro
- Napa, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,657
- Household income
- $113,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Napa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,987 people
- By 2030
- 159,490 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 168,796 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 176,213 · +14.4%
- By 2075
- 190,113 · +23.5%
- By 2100
- 190,528 · +23.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Napa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.9) · D 65.9% · R 31.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.4pp toward D · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.9 2020: D+40.4 2016: D+35.2 2012: D+25.7 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -842.94%
- Current HPI
- 296.0661
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.50%
- Metro
- Napa, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…