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4442 Adams St
B- Composite 66.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4442 Adams St · Gary, IN 46408
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,292 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1923 5,702 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Heavy fixer-upper with huge upside! 4442 Adams St is an all-brick home featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and traditional formal living and dining rooms. The upstairs level offers flexible layout options, perfect for a family room and 4th bedroom combo. Includes a full unfinished basement, covered front porch, and a rear deck. This property needs a total gut rehab but offers the strong bones and structural features investors look for. Perfect addition to a rental portfolio or your next flip. Sold strictly AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Strong bones
  • All-brick home

Tags

ALL-BRICK HOMEFLEXIBLE LAYOUT OPTIONSFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTCOVERED FRONT PORCHREAR DECKSTRONG BONES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as approximately 1,668 (source: estimated); Main level approx. 1,292; upper level approx. 376; Occupant type: Owner

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: 100 Amp with circuit breakers
  • Home design: One and one-half story home; Built in 1923; Property condition listed as fixer
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Has a foundation with a full basement
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom plus three additional bedrooms (4 bedrooms total)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling system listed
  • Interior features: Has one fireplace located in the living room; Basement is full, unfinished, with walk-out access; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $65k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
17.19%
Cash-on-cash
38.91%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,828
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4200 Monroe St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,263 (-2%) 1mo $169,900 $135 78
4516 Connecticut St 0.27mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,328 (+3%) 11mo $10,000 $8 69
4210 Connecticut St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,224 (-5%) 7mo $149,200 $122 67
226 W 45th Ave 0.04mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (+13%) 6mo $119,000 $82 67
4385 Massachusetts St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+8%) 11mo $22,000 $16 63
708 W 43rd Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,379 (+7%) 6mo $150,000 $109 62
345 W 47th Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,459 (+13%) 2mo $166,000 $114 57
519 W 39th Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,369 (+6%) 1mo $150,000 $110 56
4224 Connecticut St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,410 (+9%) 11mo $40,000 $28 54
1212 W 47th Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,256 (-3%) 10mo $90,000 $72 50
631 E 46th Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-13%) 7mo $79,000 $71 44
1226 W 45th Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,418 (+10%) 5mo $160,000 $113 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$27,127
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
4.97×
Total profit
$72,327
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46408

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,428 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,042/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$590

Break-even live

Break-even rent $681
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $627 -5% $608 +0% $590 +5% $572 +10% $553
Rent -10% $477 -5% $534 +0% $590 +5% $647 +10% $703
Rate -1.0pp $623 -0.5pp $607 base $590 +0.5pp $573 +1.0pp $556

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4430 Broadway Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 2d 1 0.12mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 0.26mi
4208 Jackson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 0.37mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 2d 1 0.44mi
4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,350 $1.32 16d 1 0.53mi
4767 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1664 $1,500 $0.90 2d 1 0.55mi
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 2d 1 0.68mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 2d 1 0.70mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 11d 1 0.75mi
4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,350 $1.16 44d 1 0.79mi
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 3d 1 0.94mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 3d 1 0.98mi
4009 Kentucky St Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1307 $1,595 $1.22 44d 1 0.98mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 24d 1 1.05mi
3612 Van Buren St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1534 $1,600 $1.04 2d 1 1.07mi
505 W 53rd Ave Merrillville, IN 4.0 2.0 1650 $1,650 $1.00 2d 1 1.09mi
3788 Lincoln St Gary, IN 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,400 $1.00 11d 1 1.11mi
5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 6d 1 1.12mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 20d 1 1.12mi
1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $1,349 $1.41 2d 9 1.16mi
3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,495 $1.15 2d 1 1.34mi
3449 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1301 $1,395 $1.07 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    remarks 512-char remark
  3. 2026-06-03
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,042 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,042 · $170/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,137
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$2,042
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,371
− Management
−$1,371
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$6,497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,559
After-tax cash flow
$5,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,747
Household income
$47,453
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.08%
Current HPI
155.6238
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-27 Listed $18,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,042 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…