4442 Adams St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Heavy fixer-upper with huge upside! 4442 Adams St is an all-brick home featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and traditional formal living and dining rooms. The upstairs level offers flexible layout options, perfect for a family room and 4th bedroom combo. Includes a full unfinished basement, covered front porch, and a rear deck. This property needs a total gut rehab but offers the strong bones and structural features investors look for. Perfect addition to a rental portfolio or your next flip. Sold strictly AS-IS.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Strong bones
- All-brick home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as approximately 1,668 (source: estimated); Main level approx. 1,292; upper level approx. 376; Occupant type: Owner
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: 100 Amp with circuit breakers
- Home design: One and one-half story home; Built in 1923; Property condition listed as fixer
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Has a foundation with a full basement
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom plus three additional bedrooms (4 bedrooms total)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling system listed
- Interior features: Has one fireplace located in the living room; Basement is full, unfinished, with walk-out access; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $65k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.91%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,828
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4200 Monroe St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,263 (-2%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $135 | 78 |
| 4516 Connecticut St | 0.27mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+3%) | 11mo | $10,000 | $8 | 69 |
| 4210 Connecticut St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (-5%) | 7mo | $149,200 | $122 | 67 |
| 226 W 45th Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,456 (+13%) | 6mo | $119,000 | $82 | 67 |
| 4385 Massachusetts St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+8%) | 11mo | $22,000 | $16 | 63 |
| 708 W 43rd Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,379 (+7%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $109 | 62 |
| 345 W 47th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,459 (+13%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $114 | 57 |
| 519 W 39th Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,369 (+6%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $110 | 56 |
| 4224 Connecticut St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+9%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $28 | 54 |
| 1212 W 47th Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,256 (-3%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $72 | 50 |
| 631 E 46th Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-13%) | 7mo | $79,000 | $71 | 44 |
| 1226 W 45th Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (+10%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $113 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $27,127
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $72,327
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46408
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,428 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $627 | -5% $608 | +0% $590 | +5% $572 | +10% $553 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $477 | -5% $534 | +0% $590 | +5% $647 | +10% $703 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $623 | -0.5pp $607 | base $590 | +0.5pp $573 | +1.0pp $556 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4430 Broadway Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4208 Jackson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4767 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4018 Tyler St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5001 Carolina St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,350 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3708 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 904 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4009 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1307 | $1,595 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3612 Van Buren St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1534 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 505 W 53rd Ave Merrillville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3788 Lincoln St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,349 | $1.41 | 2d | 9 | 1.16mi |
| 3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3449 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1301 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 512-char remark
-
2026-06-03$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,042
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,371
- − Management
- −$1,371
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $6,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,559
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,747
- Household income
- $47,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.08%
- Current HPI
- 155.6238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+243.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-27 Listed $18,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,042 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…