3110 Mesa Dr · Longview, TX 75601

$255,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,409 sqft · SingleFamily · 49 Days on market

Built 2026 7,492 sqft lot $10/mo HOA ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

COMMUNITY CLOSE OUT EVENT! Price INCLUDES a $10K discount for buyers who contract by April 15! This move-in ready, new construction home checks all the boxes! This energy efficient brick and Hardie-plank home features an open floor plan, landscaping, and a concrete walkway. No detail is missed in this affordable home with trendy color selections, granite kitchen counters, sleek appliances, designer lighting, raised 9' ceilings, easy-clean tilt sash windows, Smart Home features throughout, digital sprinkler system, full sod, and fence! Rest well in your new home knowing it's built with a solid post-tension slab that comes with a 6-year builder warranty! Mission Creek offers a true sense of

Key facts

• Concrete walkway
• Open floor plan
• New construction

Tags

• NEW CONSTRUCTION
• ENERGY EFFICIENT
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• LANDSCAPING
• CONCRETE WALKWAY
• GRANITE KITCHEN COUNTERS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-467/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (2.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (14.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $219k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
• Hallsville ISD (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #490 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Hallsville H S (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 1,456 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hallsville ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $219,409 (14.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.11%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.65%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-43,118
• Equity at exit: $38,021

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.47×
• Total profit: $-37,929
• Equity at exit: $22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75601

• Home prices YoY: -29.9%
• Rents YoY: 3.3%
• Active inventory: 155
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,194 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,337
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$319 /mo · $3,825/yr
• Insurance: −$106
• HOA: −$10
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$461
• Net cashflow: $-39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,243

Max offer price $249,369

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $137	-5% $49	+0% $-39	+5% $-127	+10% $-215
Rent	-10% $-212	-5% $-126	+0% $-39	+5% $48	+10% $134
Rate	-1.0pp $90	-0.5pp $26	base $-39	+0.5pp $-105	+1.0pp $-172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $63,750
• Closing costs: $7,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3109 Mesa Dr Longview, TX	4.0	2.0	1582	$2,400	$1.52	15d	1	0.02mi
3100 Mesa Dr Longview, TX	3.0	2.0	1234	$2,250	$1.82	45d	1	0.02mi
3105 Mesa Dr Longview, TX	4.0	2.0	1550	$2,600	$1.68	23d	1	0.02mi
1609 Everwood Ct Longview, TX	3.0	2.0	1505	$2,495	$1.66	15d	1	1.11mi
3401 E Marshall Ave Longview, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1025	$1,300	$1.27	15d	4	1.14mi
3401 E Marshall Ave Longview, TX	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,300	$1.00	23d	1	1.14mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $10 · $120/yr
• Likely covers: landscaping

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-08
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-25
   price $255,000
3. 2026-02-18
   listed $264,990 Active
4. 2025-11-26
   price $264,990
5. 2025-10-01
   listed $269,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,329
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,284
• − Property taxes: −$3,825
• − Insurance: −$1,275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,106
• − Management: −$2,106
• − HOA: −$120
• − Depreciation: −$7,418
• Taxable loss: −$4,806
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,153
• After-tax cash flow: $686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hallsville ISD
• NCES district ID: 4822170
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $57,770
• Composite: 31.05/100
• National rank: #6081
• State rank: #490 of 826 in TX

Livability — Longview

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #213
• US rank: #5287

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Longview, TX
• County: Gregg County · 128,826 people
• City population: 103,792
• Metro: Longview, TX
• Population (ZIP): 15,780
• Household income: $65,700
• Rent vs Own: 39.1% rent · 60.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 761.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 68,691 people
• By 2030: 69,317 · +0.9%
• By 2040: 69,973 · +1.9%
• By 2050: 70,090 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 70,607 · +2.8%
• By 2100: 67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.73%
• Current HPI: 252.0752
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• Metro: Longview, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-5.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Pending — LAAR
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $255,000 LAAR
• 2026-02-18 Listed $264,990 LAAR
• 2025-11-26 Price Changed $264,990 LAAR
• 2025-10-01 Listed $269,990 LAAR