5319 S Lakeview · Grout, MI 48661

$89,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market

Built 1954 Fair condition 7,405 sqft lot Est $101k · 11% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.9/30.0
• ARV discount +12.6/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

COZY 2 BEDROOM CABIN just across from nice common area at Frost Lake. Home needs some work but you could fix it up with your own touches the way you like for a perfect getaway. Home is also just across from the common dock for swimming and fishing or you could relax and enjoy the lakefront views from your front door!

Key facts

• Front deck
• Frost lake access
• Private dock

Tags

• FROST LAKE ACCESS
• PRIVATE DOCK
• SIDE DECK
• FRONT DECK
• BEAUTIFUL VIEWS
• SWIMMING

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Front porch; Shed(s); Cleared lot; Waterfront access on Frost Lake; Has view

Interior

• Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air; Hot water heating; No central cooling
• Interior features: Window treatments; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Gladwin Community Schools (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #232 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $49k; list at $90k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.91%
• DSCR: 1.71
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $101,360
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4632 Northland Dr	0.22mi	2/1.0	552 (-1%)	1mo	$100,000	$181	87

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $6,706
• Equity at exit: $13,404

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.32×
• Total profit: $33,283
• Equity at exit: $7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48661

• Home prices YoY: -21.1%
• Active inventory: 104
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,209 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$471
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$254
• Net cashflow: $334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786

Max offer price $89,900

Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,475
• Closing costs: $2,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 457-char remark
12. 2026-06-03
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,506
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,036
• − Property taxes: −$1,348
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,161
• − Management: −$1,161
• − Depreciation: −$2,615
• Taxable income: $2,736
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$657
• After-tax cash flow: $3,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and improve the interior walls and flooring. The location offers a private dock and access to Frost Lake, making it a great getaway property.

Repairs flagged

• Major kitchen appliances — outdated and worn
• Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
• Major flooring — worn and outdated
• Major interior walls/paint — dated and peeling

Value-add opportunities

• Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both replace kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and improves functionality
• Both repair flooring — improves the overall look and feel of the home
• Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen appliances · outdated and worn	Major	$15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn	Major	$15,000–50,000
flooring · worn and outdated	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · dated and peeling	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items		$60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both replace kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and improves functionality ↑
• Both repair flooring — improves the overall look and feel of the home ↑
• Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and improves functionality ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gladwin Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 2615990
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $38,917
• Composite: 32.93/100
• National rank: #5595
• State rank: #232 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grout

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,744

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 23,440 people
• By 2030: 22,281 · -4.9%
• By 2040: 19,867 · -15.2%
• By 2050: 17,667 · -24.6%
• By 2075: 12,909 · -44.9%
• By 2100: 8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.99%
• Current HPI: 253.6665
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+83.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
• 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $49,200 REALCOMP
• 2023-07-17 Contingent — REALCOMP
• 2023-06-29 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP