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170 Bingham Ave
C Composite 55.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,100,000

170 Bingham Ave · Rumson, NJ 07760
5 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,934 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1955 1.50 ac lot Est $2177k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For Sale: Classic 1955 Ranch with Modern Potential 2900 sq ft | 5 Bedrooms | 3.5 Bathrooms Prime Location in a Highly Desirable Neighborhood --- * * Property Highlights * * * * Spacious Layout: * * 2,900 square feet of classic ranch-style living, offering ample space for family life or creative renovation. * * Bedrooms & Bathrooms: * * 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, perfect for multi-generational living or guest accommodations. * * Prime Location: * * Nestled in a sought-after neighborhood surrounded by newer, higher-value homes, offering both prestige and potential. * * Blank Canvas: * * A unique opportunity to upgrade, remodel, or re-construct to match your dre

Key facts

  • 1.5 acre lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 2 days

Tags

ORIGINAL ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSCLOSE TO TOP RATED SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family house
  • Construction: Living area approximately 2,934
  • Exterior features: Property sits on a 1.5-acre lot

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $2.10M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.02M (3.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $2.02M (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.6% in Rumson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#326 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Rumson-Fair Haven Regional High School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #82 of 612 in NJ (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $63k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,019,250 (3.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.32%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$2,177,028
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Monmouth Ave 0.66mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,064 (+4%) 10mo $2,275,000 $742 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-201,657
Equity at exit
$313,117
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$2,497
Equity at exit
$181,570

Cash invested: $588,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07760

Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$20,193 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$11,013
Tax from tax record
$1,459 /mo · $17,507/yr
Insurance
$875
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,240
Net cashflow
$2,179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $17,434
Max offer price $2,100,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$525,000
Closing costs
$63,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 Center St Rumson, NJ 4.0 2.0 3500 $6,700 $1.91 15d 1 1.07mi
Rumson, NJ 4.0 3.5 3688 $35,000 $9.49 22d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,100,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,100,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    remarks 695-char remark
  4. 2026-06-04
    listed $2,100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$17,507 · $1,459/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$34,898 · $2,908/mo
Expected delta
+$17,392/yr (+$1,449/mo · 99.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 87% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$242,310
− Mortgage interest
−$117,633
− Property taxes
−$17,507
− Insurance
−$15,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$19,385
− Management
−$19,385
− Depreciation
−$61,091
Taxable loss
−$8,308
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,994
After-tax cash flow
$28,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rumson-Fair Haven Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3414400
Math proficiency
64% ▲ 20.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$140,294
Composite
68.77/100
National rank
#677
State rank
#82 of 612 in NJ

Livability — Rumson

Score
67/100
State rank
#326
US rank
#10228

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rumson, NJ
City population
9,557
Population (ZIP)
9,557

Population outlook (Monmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
620,308 people
By 2030
612,309 · -1.3%
By 2040
587,297 · -5.3%
By 2050
551,342 · -11.1%
By 2075
472,934 · -23.8%
By 2100
381,534 · -38.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monmouth

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.4% · R 54.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+5.5 2008: R+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -567.27%
Current HPI
369.2564
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $2,100,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $17,507 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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