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7169 Holmes St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

7169 Holmes St · Detroit, MI 48210
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 265 Days on market
Built 1923 3,049 sqft lot $44/sqft · 24% below area Est $59k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bed, 1-bath property, located in Claytown, is government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 265 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.49%
Cap rate
21.65%
Cash-on-cash
54.84%
DSCR
3.44
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,337
List price
$45,000
Delta
-24.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6125 Proctor St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-2%) 2mo $39,000 $39 88
7545 Holmes St 0.09mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-2%) 2mo $43,000 $43 86
8120 Kirkwood St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-1%) 7mo $125,000 $123 70
7540 Holmes St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,129 (+10%) 14mo $30,000 $27 67
7722 Wykes St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,148 (+12%) 4mo $40,000 $35 57
6369 Diversey St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+2%) 13mo $77,000 $73 54
5427 Central St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,102 (+7%) 4mo $80,000 $73 54
5855 Lonyo St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,153 (+12%) 5mo $50,000 $43 46
5641 Elmer St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+6%) 18mo $25,000 $23 44
5865 Elmer St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (-10%) 17mo $170,000 $185 38
6404 Belfast St 0.60mi 3/1.0 890 (-13%) 16mo $85,000 $96 37
6402 Majestic St 0.51mi 4/1.5 (+1) 887 (-14%) 16mo $142,000 $160 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.1%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$29,400
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
58.3%
Equity multiple
6.79×
Total profit
$72,894
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48210

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,121 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $664/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$576

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $601 -5% $589 +0% $576 +5% $563 +10% $550
Rent -10% $487 -5% $532 +0% $576 +5% $620 +10% $664
Rate -1.0pp $599 -0.5pp $587 base $576 +0.5pp $564 +1.0pp $552

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7424 Wykes St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 0.26mi
8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 0.87mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 17d 1 0.89mi
8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1370 $1,800 $1.31 0d 1 0.90mi
8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 18d 1 1.01mi
5440 Milford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 44d 1 1.06mi
5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.08mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 25d 1 1.18mi
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 1.27mi
5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 44d 1 1.30mi
6307 Woodrow St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 44d 1 1.34mi
8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.39mi
4426 McGraw Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 44d 1 1.44mi
4566 Seebaldt St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 22d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 265 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 264 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 262 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 260 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 259 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 256 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 254 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 251 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 250 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 248 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 247 DOM
  13. 2025-09-27
    listed $45,000 Active 1059-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    This 3-bed, 1-bath property, located in Claytown, is government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  14. 2025-09-27
    listed $45,000 Active 1065-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    This 3-bed, 1-bath property, located in Claytown, is government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  15. 2025-09-26
    historical $45,000 1059-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1059 chars)

    This 3-bed, 1-bath property, located in Claytown, is government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$664 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$679 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$14/yr (+$1/mo · 2.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,457
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$664
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,077
− Management
−$1,077
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$6,585
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,580
After-tax cash flow
$5,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
26,925

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 20% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 50% Arabic 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.82%
Current HPI
299.5909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-26 Coming Soon $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-12.6%/yr

Latest (2017): $664 · -10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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