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10877 Pollack Ave
A- Composite 80.26
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

10877 Pollack Ave · Evansville, IN 47630
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1930 1.00 ac lot Est $205k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming home on a spacious 1-acre lot in desirable Newburgh, rare opportunity across from Angel Mounds with strong land value and renovation potential. This property features an enclosed front porch, wood deck, detached 24x30 garage, and additional covered canopy space; perfect for hobbies, storage, or a workshop. The septic system was replaced in 2021, and the HVAC was installed in 2017, serviced this year, and is in good working order. The home needs work. If you’re looking for a property with room to spread out and the opportunity to make it your own while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, and schools, this is the one for you.

Key facts

  • Wood deck
  • Hvac installed
  • Covered canopy space

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHWOOD DECKDETACHED GARAGECOVERED CANOPY SPACESEPTIC SYSTEM REPLACEDHVAC INSTALLED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family site-built home; One story; Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Approximately 1-acre parcel

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air with zoned cooling; Zoned forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range; Electric water heater; Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $800 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Warrick County School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: John H Castle Elementary School (math 73% / reading 60%, grade B+, #65 of 994 statewide, top 7%, 998 students, 20% FRL); Castle South Middle School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade C, #48 of 330 statewide, top 15%, 712 students, 34% FRL); Castle High School (math 56% / reading 80%, grade B, #22 of 369 statewide, top 6%, 1,961 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 249 units permitted in Warrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warrick County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
13.98%
Cash-on-cash
27.45%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,680
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10877 Pollack Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,204 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $96 100
10788 Spry Rd 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,249 (+4%) 11mo $249,900 $200 65
5697 Stacer Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,168 (-3%) 19mo $190,000 $163 58
10555 Willow Creek Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,384 (+15%) 1mo $245,000 $177 55
8201 Spry Rd 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,143 (-5%) 19mo $83,000 $73 52
6077 River Bluff Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,072 (-11%) 2mo $226,000 $211 46
10455 Cricklewood Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,339 (+11%) 12mo $227,000 $170 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$41,040
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
5.24×
Total profit
$148,387
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47630

Rents YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
383
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $522/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$800

Break-even live

Break-even rent $950
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $871 -5% $835 +0% $800 +5% $765 +10% $729
Rent -10% $645 -5% $722 +0% $800 +5% $877 +10% $955
Rate -1.0pp $863 -0.5pp $832 base $800 +0.5pp $768 +1.0pp $735

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6166 River Bluff Dr Newburgh, IN 3.0 2.0 1282 $2,500 $1.95 44d 1 0.55mi
5879 Riverwalk Cir Newburgh, IN 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,600 $1.42 21d 1 0.88mi
9895 Cove Point Ct Newburgh, IN 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,950 $1.49 21d 1 0.95mi
4920 Penrose Dr Newburgh, IN 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,900 $1.52 44d 1 1.14mi
10686 Fall Creek Dr Newburgh, IN 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,950 $1.36 14d 1 1.22mi
4799 Imperial Dr Newburgh, IN 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,975 $1.44 44d 1 1.25mi
7501 E Powell Ave Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-10
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$522 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$792 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$22/mo · 51.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,552
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$522
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$8,007
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,922
After-tax cash flow
$7,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warrick County School Corporation
NCES district ID
1812390
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$62,801
Composite
49.38/100
National rank
#2014
State rank
#24 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Warrick County · 39,818 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
39,818
Household income
$94,162
Rent vs Own
19.7% rent · 80.3% own
Severe rent burden
770.0

Population outlook (Warrick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,569 people
By 2030
68,404 · +2.8%
By 2040
71,131 · +6.9%
By 2050
72,743 · +9.3%
By 2075
76,088 · +14.3%
By 2100
72,261 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warrick

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.2) · D 34.1% · R 64.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.8pp · 2024: -30.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.2 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+33.9 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.44%
Current HPI
185.7643
Rent YoY
▲ 8.69%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $124,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $522 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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