169 Dorries St · Biloxi, MS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home within walking distance to the beach. This quaint craftsman style cottage features: Stainless steel appliances in the kitchen with plenty of storage, spacious family room, and a fenced-in yard with a sprinkler system. The furnishings and storage shed in backyard are negotiable.
Key facts
- Versatile room
- Front porch
- Fully fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Biloxi Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #7 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Biloxi High School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade C+, #7 of 197 statewide, top 3%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.60%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,496
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 Copp St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 791 (-7%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $82 | 69 |
| 281 Strangi Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 846 (-0%) | 11mo | $84,900 | $100 | 66 |
| 512 Peyton Dr | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 933 (+10%) | 9mo | $148,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 167 Keller Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+10%) | 10mo | $95,500 | $102 | 60 |
| 395 Bonner Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 972 (+15%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $226 | 52 |
| 195 Crawford St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-12%) | 17mo | $86,000 | $116 | 48 |
| 318 Nixon St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+9%) | 13mo | $92,400 | $100 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $10,796
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $40,762
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39530
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,683 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $414 | -5% $391 | +0% $369 | +5% $346 | +10% $323 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $302 | +0% $369 | +5% $435 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $389 | base $369 | +0.5pp $348 | +1.0pp $327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 420 Richmond Dr Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 520 Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $2,950 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 306 4th St Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 129 Fayard St Biloxi, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 902 Howard Ave Biloxi, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 270 Bohn St Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 133 Hopkins Blvd Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 309 Seal Ave Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-12-10status Pending
-
2025-11-24$80,000 Active
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-08-11$105,000 Active
-
2018-12-18soldstatus
-
2016-02-04soldstatus 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Charming home within walking distance to the beach. This quaint craftsman style cottage features: Stainless steel appliances in the kitchen with plenty of storage, spacious family room, and a fenced-in yard with a sprinkler system. The furnishings and storage shed in backyard are negotiable.
-
2016-02-04soldstatus $55,000
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Charming home within walking distance to the beach. This quaint craftsman style cottage features: Stainless steel appliances in the kitchen with plenty of storage, spacious family room, and a fenced-in yard with a sprinkler system. The furnishings and storage shed in backyard are negotiable.
-
2015-11-10$59,900 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Charming home within walking distance to the beach. This quaint craftsman style cottage features: Stainless steel appliances in the kitchen with plenty of storage, spacious family room, and a fenced-in yard with a sprinkler system. The furnishings and storage shed in backyard are negotiable.
-
2013-12-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $975 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $975 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$5,518
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,615
- − Management
- −$1,615
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,660
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$878
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,546/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Biloxi Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800630
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,608
- Composite
- 45.26/100
- National rank
- #2657
- State rank
- #7 of 130 in MS
Livability — Biloxi
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Biloxi, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,701
- Household income
- $41,117
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.19%
- Current HPI
- 181.0603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+33.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-10 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-11-24 Listed $80,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-11 Listed $105,000 MLSU
- 2018-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-04 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-11-10 Listed $59,900 MLSU
- 2013-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $975 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…