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1306 Rabon Pond Dr
D Composite 40.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

1306 Rabon Pond Dr · Dentsville, SC 29223
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2016 4,791 sqft lot Est $228k · at est. ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come see this beautiful and updated home located so conveniently in the heart of Columbia. This property is only minutes from I-77 I-20 making it a quick and easy commute anywhere you would need to be within the Columbia area including Fort Jackson, Downtown, Williams Brice, USC just to name a few. This home has been renovated and is ready for its next owner! Home sits on a large lot and has access through the back gate as well as the front driveway, making it very easy to store extra vehicles, trailers, or whatever you need. Updates include LVP flooring throughout, living areas, brand new tankless water heater, new paint throughout new fixtures, new lighting fixtures, so much more. This is

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Updated home
  • Back gate access

Tags

UPDATED HOMELARGE LOTBACK GATE ACCESSTANKLESS WATER HEATERLVP FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-161/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (21.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#50 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Windsor Elementary (math 21% / reading 23%, grade F, #475 of 597 statewide, top 81%, 537 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (62 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richland 02 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,739 (21.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,752
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
908 Yarrow 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,421 (+4%) 9mo $236,000 $166 84

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-41,266
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-55,590
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29223

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,727 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,599/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,744
Max offer price $217,530
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
712 Blazing Star Trl Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,699 $1.54 3d 1 0.09mi
1152 Rabon Pond Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1522 $1,799 $1.18 11d 1 0.22mi
381 Valley Heights Ln Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1471 $1,719 $1.17 23d 1 0.37mi
113 Charleswood Dr Columbia, SC 4.0 1.5 1196 $1,555 $1.30 3d 1 0.59mi
125 Charleswood Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,350 $1.26 23d 1 0.61mi
237 Foxhunt Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,250 $1.24 14d 1 0.79mi
137 Carr Ln Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 3d 1 1.12mi
109 Summer Vale Dr Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 1800 $2,150 $1.19 3d 1 1.16mi
500 Rockhaven Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,649 $1.55 23d 1 1.32mi
2058 Mapleton Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1476 $1,995 $1.35 21d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    price $219,900
  3. 2026-04-01
    listed $224,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,729
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$1,599
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,658
− Management
−$1,658
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$4,001
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$960
After-tax cash flow
$799/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 02
NCES district ID
4503390
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,684
Composite
36.2/100
National rank
#4730
State rank
#29 of 80 in SC

Livability — Dentsville

Score
71/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#6940

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
52,835
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
53,074
Household income
$62,408
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
2857.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.96%
Current HPI
195.3158
Rent YoY
▲ 0.21%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $219,900 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $224,900 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

+29.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,599 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…