257 Broadway · Newburgh, NY 12550

$550,000

None bd · None ba · 6,404 sqft · MultiFamily · 28 Days on market

Built 1900 Poor condition 2,250 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

100% occupied Mixed-use building with 2-2BR Residential above and two commercial units on Broadway level. Second commercial unit needs a little construction to complete (not currently rented) Gross Rental Income currently $61,500 annually. With 2nd commercial space leased, Gross rental income is projected at $85,500 with NOI of $64,795.

Key facts

• 2,250 sq ft lot
• Built 1900
• Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Triplex
• Construction: Brick and frame construction
• Exterior features: Brick and frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

• Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Wall/window air conditioning units; Other heating
• Interior features: Basement with storage space; Other interior features

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a multifamily listed at $550k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $550k).
• Recommended offer: $542k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.4% in Newburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Newburgh Free Academy (math 76% / reading 85%, grade A, #506 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 3,433 students, 56% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newburgh City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 383 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $8,230/mo this rent would consume 115% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2412% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($542k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $541,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.04%
• DSCR: 1.94
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $63,842
• Equity at exit: $82,007

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.32×
• Total profit: $202,569
• Equity at exit: $47,554

Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12550

• Home prices YoY: -33.3%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 383
• Price-to-rent: 21.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $8,230 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,884
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$688 /mo · $8,250/yr
• Insurance: −$229
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,728
• Net cashflow: $2,701

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,811

Max offer price $550,000

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $3,081	-5% $2,891	+0% $2,701	+5% $2,511	+10% $2,321
Rent	-10% $2,051	-5% $2,376	+0% $2,701	+5% $3,026	+10% $3,351
Rate	-1.0pp $2,978	-0.5pp $2,841	base $2,701	+0.5pp $2,558	+1.0pp $2,413

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	2	$4,232
▸ 2× units	0	0	$3,998
Total (4 units)			$8,230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $137,500
• Closing costs: $16,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $550,000 Active 28 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $550,000 Active 27 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $550,000 Active 26 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $550,000 Active 25 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $550,000 Active 23 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $550,000 Active 22 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $550,000 Active 20 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $550,000 Active 19 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $550,000 Active 18 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $550,000 Active 17 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $550,000 Active 13 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $550,000 Active 12 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $550,000 Active 11 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $550,000 Active 10 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $550,000 Active 9 DOM
16. 2026-05-21
    listed $550,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $98,760
• − Mortgage interest: −$30,809
• − Property taxes: −$8,250
• − Insurance: −$2,750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,901
• − Management: −$7,901
• − Depreciation: −$16,000
• Taxable income: $25,150
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$6,036
• After-tax cash flow: $26,373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This multi-family building requires extensive renovation and repairs to bring it up to a livable and marketable condition.

Repairs flagged

• Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
• Major roof — No visible signs of roof condition
• Major interior walls and paint — No visible interior walls or paint
• Major bathrooms — No visible bathrooms
• Major kitchen — No visible kitchen
• Major HVAC and mechanical systems — No visible systems

Value-add opportunities

• Both exterior renovation — Improves curb appeal and rental value
• Both interior renovation — Enhances living space and rental value
• Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear	Major	$15,000–50,000
roof · No visible signs of roof condition	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls and paint · No visible interior walls or paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
bathrooms · No visible bathrooms	Major	$15,000–50,000
kitchen · No visible kitchen	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC and mechanical systems · No visible systems	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items		$90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both exterior renovation — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
• Both interior renovation — Enhances living space and rental value ↑
• Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Newburgh City School District
• NCES district ID: 3620700
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $56,387
• Composite: 35.46/100
• National rank: #4927
• State rank: #500 of 590 in NY

Livability — Newburgh

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #878
• US rank: #17021

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime F Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Newburgh, NY
• County: Orange County · 267,004 people
• City population: 55,152
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• Population (ZIP): 55,152
• Household income: $85,697
• Rent vs Own: 44.2% rent · 55.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2412.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 379,830 people
• By 2030: 378,955 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 375,444 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 369,311 · -2.8%
• By 2075: 354,233 · -6.7%
• By 2100: 318,150 · -16.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -151.93%
• Current HPI: 304.1046
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.63%
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid