Clayton Marvel Plan · Tyler, TX 75708

$84,399

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 299 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.5/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! ------------------------------------- The Clayton Marvel 4 is skillfully and economically designed double section with large living room, fully equipped kitchen, large bedrooms and beautiful comforting bathrooms.

Key facts

• Listed 299 days

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
• Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.5% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
• Winona ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #539 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Winona El (math 20% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 565 students, 90% FRL); Winona Middle (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #595 of 1,662 statewide, top 37%, 251 students, 87% FRL); Winona H S (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 288 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 56% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($583 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
• Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 299 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $74,271 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 299 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.66% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 26.62%
• DSCR: 2.18
• GRM: 5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 36.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.23×
• Total profit: $52,687
• Equity at exit: $47,645

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.4%
• Equity multiple: 6.52×
• Total profit: $130,549
• Equity at exit: $82,079

Cash invested: $23,632 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75708

• Home prices YoY: 2.4%
• Active inventory: 67
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,402 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$443
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$105 /mo · $1,266/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$294
• Net cashflow: $524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $738

Max offer price $84,399

Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $582	-5% $553	+0% $524	+5% $495	+10% $466
Rent	-10% $413	-5% $469	+0% $524	+5% $580	+10% $635
Rate	-1.0pp $567	-0.5pp $546	base $524	+0.5pp $502	+1.0pp $480

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,100
• Closing costs: $2,532
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12277 State Highway 155 Tyler, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0	1392	$1,399	$1.01	15d	5	0.01mi
12336 Chapman Rd Tyler, TX	3.0	1.5	1395	$1,425	$1.02	22d	1	0.83mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $84,399 Active 299 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $84,399 Active 297 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $84,399 Active 296 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $84,399 Active 295 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $84,399 Active 294 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $84,399 Active 293 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $84,399 Active 291 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $84,399 Active 290 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $84,399 Active 288 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,399 Active 287 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,399 Active 286 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,399 Active 285 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,399 Active 280 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,399 Active 279 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,399 Active 278 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,399 Active 277 DOM
17. 2025-08-27
    listed $84,399 Active 518-char remark

    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! ------------------------------------- The Clayton Marvel 4 is skillfully and economically designed double section with large living room, fully equipped kitchen, large bedrooms and beautiful comforting bathrooms.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,822
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,728
• − Property taxes: −$1,266
• − Insurance: −$422
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,346
• − Management: −$1,346
• − Depreciation: −$2,455
• Taxable income: $5,259
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,262
• After-tax cash flow: $5,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Clayton Marvel 4 manufactured home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a modern kitchen, well-maintained bathrooms, and a clean exterior. The home is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior and interior walls, landscaping improvements, adding a small front porch or patio, upgrading the kitchen appliances, and adding a smart home system.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Adding a small front porch or patio — This can increase the home's livability and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value by making it more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Adding a small front porch or patio — This can increase the home's livability and appeal to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value by making it more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers/tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Winona ISD
• NCES district ID: 4846230
• Math proficiency: 32% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $48,761
• Composite: 28.98/100
• National rank: #6624
• State rank: #539 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #147
• US rank: #4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 127,842
• Population (ZIP): 10,001

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 248,890 people
• By 2030: 261,665 · +5.1%
• By 2040: 286,114 · +15.0%
• By 2050: 308,006 · +23.8%
• By 2075: 354,171 · +42.3%
• By 2100: 372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% White 39% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 49%
• Common ancestry: Danish 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.96%
• Current HPI: 216.4494
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-08-27 Listed $84,399 Zillow