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7 Portland St
B- Composite 67.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

7 Portland St · Middletown, CT 06457
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1891 1,742 sqft lot Est $264k · 36% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WELL MAINTAINED 3 BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME WITH MANY RECENT UPDATES. FEATURES INCLUDE A LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM. MAJOR IMPROVEMENTS INCLUDE A ROOF, CHIMNEY AND GUTTERS THAT ARE ONLY TWO YEARS OLD. ALONG WITH FURNACE AND OIL TANK THAT ARE JUST ONE YEAR OLD. MAIN SEWER REPLACED ONE YEAR AGO. A SOLID HOME THAT HAS BEEN CARED FOR OVER THE YEARS AND OFFERS AND EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR INVESTORS ALIKE. OWNER PREFERS TO SELL AS IS

Key facts

  • 1,742 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1891

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer (in street); Hot water: Other
  • Home design: Single family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built living area about 1440
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heat (oil fuel)
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full basement with hatchway; Attic with hatch access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor; Washer; Dryer; Oil-fired hot water heating (fuel tank in basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in CT, #1,390 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Middletown School District (urban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #113 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Macdonough School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 227 students, 66% FRL); Beman Middle School (math 19% / reading 44%, grade F, #134 of 175 statewide, top 77%, 968 students, 49% FRL); Middletown High School (math 25% / reading 52%, grade F, #111 of 194 statewide, top 57%, 1,214 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 147 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.31%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$263,520
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Rome Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-7%) 6mo $246,000 $183 76
15 Miller St 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,552 (+8%) 18mo $260,000 $168 65
46 Johnson St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+3%) 9mo $319,900 $216 64
19 Bacon Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+13%) 13mo $260,000 $159 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-9,420
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,108
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06457

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,007 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,051/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,539
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $465 -5% $417 +0% $369 +5% $321 +10% $273
Rent -10% $211 -5% $290 +0% $369 +5% $448 +10% $528
Rate -1.0pp $455 -0.5pp $412 base $369 +0.5pp $325 +1.0pp $280

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Portland St Middletown, CT 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 4d 1 0.02mi
22 Green St Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 0.22mi
582 Main St Middletown, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 3d 1 0.27mi
39 Grand St Unit 3 Middletown, CT 3.0 1.0 1076 $2,000 $1.86 3d 1 0.27mi
40 Ferry St Unit 4A Middletown, CT 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 3d 1 0.28mi
40 Ferry St Middletown, CT 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 16d 1 0.28mi
60 Ferry St Unit 1A Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 950 $1,750 $1.84 16d 1 0.28mi
3 Clinton Ave Unit 3 CLINTON Middletown, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 23d 1 0.30mi
57 Ferry St Unit 1 Middletown, CT 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 12d 1 0.30mi
103 Grove St Unit 3 Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 3d 1 0.33mi
103 Spring St Middletown, CT 4.0 1.0 1602 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 0.33mi
580 High St Middletown, CT 3.0 1.0 1466 $1,900 $1.30 3d 1 0.34mi
505 Main St Middletown, CT 3.0 2.0 1263 $2,000 $1.58 3d 1 0.36mi
652 High St Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 45d 1 0.37mi
650 High St Unit 2 Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 25d 1 0.37mi
94 Liberty St Middletown, CT 3.0 1.5 978 $1,850 $1.89 45d 1 0.39mi
128 Grand St Unit 3 Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 45d 1 0.43mi
3 Quarry Ln Unit 1 Portland, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 12d 1 0.53mi
173 Liberty St Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 1172 $1,500 $1.28 18d 1 0.55mi
59 Park Pl Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 929 $1,700 $1.83 22d 1 0.59mi
200 Main St Unit 1 Portland, CT 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,227 $1.71 3d 1 0.66mi
200 Main St Unit 1 Portland, CT 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,227 $1.71 12d 1 0.66mi
166 College St Unit 2 Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 975 $1,700 $1.74 18d 1 0.67mi
61 Main St Unit 2 Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 913 $1,800 $1.97 46d 1 0.75mi
252 Main St Apt 1 Portland, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 3d 1 0.83mi
85 Marlborough St Unit 426 Portland, CT 2.0 2.0 1373 $3,576 $2.60 45d 1 0.83mi
260 Main St Unit 2 Portland, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,350 $2.14 5d 1 0.85mi
184 Rose Cir Middletown, CT 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1220 $2,000 $1.64 3d 6 0.86mi
184 Marlborough St Portland, CT 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,750 $1.75 12d 1 1.00mi
1100 Springside Ln Middletown, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1084 $3,547 $3.27 3d 21 1.01mi
36 Walnut St Unit 2 Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 45d 1 1.09mi
11 Huber Ave Middletown, CT 3.0 1.0 1102 $2,300 $2.09 25d 1 1.11mi
131 Eastern Dr Middletown, CT 2.0 1.5 1442 $1,750 $1.21 3d 1 1.25mi
207 E Main St Middletown, CT 4.0 1.0 1207 $2,200 $1.82 5d 1 1.33mi
305 S Main St Middletown, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0 950 $1,850 $1.95 3d 1 1.37mi
27 Woodside Cir Unit 37 Middletown, CT 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,300 $1.44 45d 1 1.37mi
73 Silver St Middletown, CT 4.0 2.0 1322 $2,500 $1.89 25d 1 1.42mi
43 McKenzie St Middletown, CT 2.0 1.0 981 $1,800 $1.83 45d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 464-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $169,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,051 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,343 · $279/mo
Expected delta
+$292/yr (+$24/mo · 9.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,080
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,051
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,926
− Management
−$1,926
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$1,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$448
After-tax cash flow
$3,983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown School District
NCES district ID
0902490
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,733
Composite
30.47/100
National rank
#6224
State rank
#113 of 153 in CT

Livability — Middletown

Score
81/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#1390

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middletown, CT
County
Middlesex County · 63,941 people
City population
46,720
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
46,720
Household income
$79,463
Rent vs Own
47.1% rent · 52.9% own
Severe rent burden
2196.0

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -470.20%
Current HPI
255.1597
Rent YoY
▲ 0.22%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $169,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $179,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2022): $3,051 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…