7 Portland St · Middletown, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELL MAINTAINED 3 BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME WITH MANY RECENT UPDATES. FEATURES INCLUDE A LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM. MAJOR IMPROVEMENTS INCLUDE A ROOF, CHIMNEY AND GUTTERS THAT ARE ONLY TWO YEARS OLD. ALONG WITH FURNACE AND OIL TANK THAT ARE JUST ONE YEAR OLD. MAIN SEWER REPLACED ONE YEAR AGO. A SOLID HOME THAT HAS BEEN CARED FOR OVER THE YEARS AND OFFERS AND EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR INVESTORS ALIKE. OWNER PREFERS TO SELL AS IS
Key facts
- 1,742 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1891
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer (in street); Hot water: Other
- Home design: Single family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built living area about 1440
- Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat (oil fuel)
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full basement with hatchway; Attic with hatch access
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor; Washer; Dryer; Oil-fired hot water heating (fuel tank in basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in CT, #1,390 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Middletown School District (urban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #113 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Macdonough School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 227 students, 66% FRL); Beman Middle School (math 19% / reading 44%, grade F, #134 of 175 statewide, top 77%, 968 students, 49% FRL); Middletown High School (math 25% / reading 52%, grade F, #111 of 194 statewide, top 57%, 1,214 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 147 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.31%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,520
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Rome Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 6mo | $246,000 | $183 | 76 |
| 15 Miller St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,552 (+8%) | 18mo | $260,000 | $168 | 65 |
| 46 Johnson St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+3%) | 9mo | $319,900 | $216 | 64 |
| 19 Bacon Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+13%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $159 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,420
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,108
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06457
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,007 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $465 | -5% $417 | +0% $369 | +5% $321 | +10% $273 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $290 | +0% $369 | +5% $448 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $412 | base $369 | +0.5pp $325 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Portland St Middletown, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 22 Green St Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 582 Main St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 39 Grand St Unit 3 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 40 Ferry St Unit 4A Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 40 Ferry St Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 60 Ferry St Unit 1A Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3 Clinton Ave Unit 3 CLINTON Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 57 Ferry St Unit 1 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 103 Grove St Unit 3 Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 103 Spring St Middletown, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1602 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 580 High St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1466 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 505 Main St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 652 High St Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 650 High St Unit 2 Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 94 Liberty St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 978 | $1,850 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 128 Grand St Unit 3 Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3 Quarry Ln Unit 1 Portland, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 173 Liberty St Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 59 Park Pl Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 929 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 200 Main St Unit 1 Portland, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,227 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 200 Main St Unit 1 Portland, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,227 | $1.71 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 166 College St Unit 2 Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,700 | $1.74 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 61 Main St Unit 2 Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,800 | $1.97 | 46d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 252 Main St Apt 1 Portland, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 85 Marlborough St Unit 426 Portland, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $3,576 | $2.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 260 Main St Unit 2 Portland, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,350 | $2.14 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 184 Rose Cir Middletown, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1220 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 3d | 6 | 0.86mi |
| 184 Marlborough St Portland, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 12d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1100 Springside Ln Middletown, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1084 | $3,547 | $3.27 | 3d | 21 | 1.01mi |
| 36 Walnut St Unit 2 Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11 Huber Ave Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 131 Eastern Dr Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1442 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 207 E Main St Middletown, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 305 S Main St Middletown, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 27 Woodside Cir Unit 37 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 73 Silver St Middletown, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 43 McKenzie St Middletown, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,800 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 464-char remark
-
2026-06-15$169,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,051 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,343 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- +$292/yr (+$24/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$3,051
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,926
- − Management
- −$1,926
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $1,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$448
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902490
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,733
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6224
- State rank
- #113 of 153 in CT
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #1390
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, CT
- County
- Middlesex County · 63,941 people
- City population
- 46,720
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,720
- Household income
- $79,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2196.0
Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 188,651
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -470.20%
- Current HPI
- 255.1597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $169,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-13 Listed $179,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2022): $3,051 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…