4838 Esedra Ct #206 · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience the ultimate Florida lifestyle in this expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom convertible residence, offering the absolute best value in the prestigious Fountains Country Club, the unit is bathed in soft, natural light that accentuates its spacious, open-concept floor plan. The seamless flow between rooms creates an inviting ambiance perfect for hosting vibrant gatherings or enjoying quiet evenings. From the sleek white tile flooring to the panoramic vistas of emerald golf greens, shimmering fountains, and serene water features, every corner of this home serves as a tranquil escape. Nestled within a lush, park-like setting, this residence provides both comfort and peace of mind with pre
Key facts
- Panoramic vistas
- White tile flooring
- $743 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Lake Worth Rd west of Jog Rd on SW side
- Financial info: No pets allowed; Senior community
- HOA & community: Community association with monthly HOA fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, elevators, fitness center, golf course, jogging path, pool, storage, tennis courts, and trash chute; HOA covers insurance, grounds maintenance, security, and common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Security: Gated community with guard
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electricity; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; Multi/split levels; Faces northwest; Resale condition
- Construction: Stucco and CBS construction; Built-up and tar/gravel roof with wood truss/rafter
- Exterior features: On golf course; Sidewalks; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Walk-in closet(s); Stacked bedroom layout; Custom mirrors; Storm and sliding windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (10.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $174k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Heritage Elementary School (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 786 students, 75% FRL); Woodlands Middle School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,551 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 651 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $195k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.63%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-45,841
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- -50.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.38×
- Total profit
- $-75,301
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33467
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 651
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,422 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,245/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$743
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $-120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-9 | -5% $-64 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-175 | +10% $-230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-311 | -5% $-215 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-24 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-70 | base $-120 | +0.5pp $-170 | +1.0pp $-221 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4832 Esedra Ct Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1026 | $1,800 | $1.75 | 3d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 4832 Esedra Ct #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4801 Esedra Ct #201 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,300 | $2.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4801 Esedra Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,075 | $2.02 | 11d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 4266 Deste Ct #107 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $2,100 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4242 Deste Ct Unit 208 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $2,500 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 443 Pine Glen Ln Unit B2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4702 Fountains Dr S #207 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1434 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4702 Fountains Dr S #207 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1434 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 408 Pine Glen Ln Unit C-2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,600 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6615 Waterfront Xing Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $3,604 | $3.31 | 0d | 23 | 0.30mi |
| 407 Pine Cir Unit B1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 407 Pine Cir Unit C1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 429 Pine Glen Ln Unit C2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1204 Timberlane Cir Unit 12D Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,800 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4228 Deste Ct Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4535 Oak Terrace Dr Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4535 Oak Terrace Dr Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $2,500 | $2.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4770 Fountains Dr S #303 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4259 Oak Terrace Dr Unit 2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4259 Oak Terrace Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,900 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4243 Oak Terrace Dr #4243 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,950 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4245 Oak Terrace Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $2,000 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4345 Trevi Ct #204 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4539 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,250 | $2.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4539 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 417 Pine Glen Ln Unit C2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 417 Pine Glen Ln Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4557 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $2,400 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4221 Oak Terrace Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,900 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4471 Luxemburg Ct #101 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,300 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4471 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,150 | $2.14 | 25d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 4489 Luxemburg Ct #101 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4483 Luxemburg Ct #201 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $2,800 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4185 Oak Terrace Dr Unit 21 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4185 Oak Terrace Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4598 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E #101 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $2,250 | $2.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4598 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E #101 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $2,250 | $2.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4373 Trevi Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,500 | $2.31 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4080 Tivoli Ct #307 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,999 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $743 · $8,916/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $194,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $194,900
-
2026-03-06$199,900 Active
-
2016-05-19historical
-
2013-12-01historical
-
2013-09-21historical
-
2009-03-30soldstatus $61,000
-
2009-03-23soldstatus $61,000
-
2009-02-12historical
-
2008-04-11$79,750
-
2008-04-01historical
-
2007-10-01$89,900
-
2007-03-31$110,000
-
2006-09-15$155,000
-
2006-09-13historical
-
2006-09-05$155,000
-
2006-03-19$155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,245 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,245 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,245
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,326
- − Management
- −$2,326
- − HOA
- −$8,916
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$4,304
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,033
- After-tax cash flow
- $-402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,411
- Household income
- $95,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -288.94%
- Current HPI
- 343.7738
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+25.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $194,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $199,900 Beaches MLS
- 2016-05-19 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2013-12-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2013-09-21 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2009-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-23 Sold (MLS) $61,000 Beaches MLS
- 2009-02-12 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2008-04-11 Listed $79,750 Beaches MLS
- 2008-04-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-10-01 Listed $89,900 Beaches MLS
- 2007-03-31 Listed $110,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-09-15 Listed $155,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-09-13 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2006-09-05 Listed $155,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-03-19 Listed $155,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,245 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…