889 Hwy 258 · Bald Knob, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A little piece of country living. This 3BR 2BA mobile home has an open floor plan with a large breakfast bar. There is also a Laundry Rm. Primary BA has a garden tub.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large breakfast bar
- Laundry rm
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options include conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic system; Public water; Electric service via co-op
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Outside storage area; Level, rural lot not in a subdivision; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in stove; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Electric water heater; Breakfast bar; Wood-burning prefabricated fireplace; Paneling walls/ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer connections
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 4.0% in Bald Knob — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#340 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Bald Knob School District (rural): math 33% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #144 of 238 in AR (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $45k implies a 274% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.62%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.45×
- Total profit
- $43,403
- Equity at exit
- $21,131
- IRR
- 60.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.07×
- Total profit
- $101,422
- Equity at exit
- $33,318
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72010
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $292/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $583
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $608 | -5% $595 | +0% $583 | +5% $570 | +10% $557 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $497 | -5% $540 | +0% $583 | +5% $626 | +10% $669 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $605 | -0.5pp $594 | base $583 | +0.5pp $571 | +1.0pp $559 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $44,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $44,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $44,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $44,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $44,900 New Listing 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 New Listing 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 New Listing 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 New Listing 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 166-char remark
-
2026-05-31$44,900 New Listing 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $292 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $292 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$292
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $6,651
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,596
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,396/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bald Knob School District
- NCES district ID
- 0502700
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,076
- Composite
- 26.45/100
- National rank
- #7218
- State rank
- #144 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bald Knob
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #21701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,283
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,310 people
- By 2030
- 83,861 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 86,492 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 88,246 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 91,307 · +10.9%
- By 2100
- 91,548 · +11.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.3% · R 79.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -61.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.2 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.37%
- Current HPI
- 206.1058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+274.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $44,900 CARMLS
- 2003-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2020): $292 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…