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C+ Composite 60.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,800

215-43 48th Ave Unit 3B · New York, NY 11364
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · Condo public records · 355 Days on market
Built 1950

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Homey 1 Bedroom Unit On The Top Floor. Bright With A Large Living Room And Bedroom. New Bathroom. Lots Of Closets! Wood Floor. Close To Transportation (Buses Q27, Q12 N20 & Lirr), Shops, Restaurants And Oakland Park. No Flip Tax! School District 26. Separate Storage Space Available., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Rental Income:

Key facts

  • Built 1950
  • Listed 355 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public trash collection
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Oil heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 355 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $178k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,424 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 355 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.23%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$4,273
Equity at exit
$32,773
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$97,564
Equity at exit
$19,004

Cash invested: $61,544 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11364

Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,457 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,297/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$516
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,923
Max offer price $219,800
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,950
Closing costs
$6,594
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
40-11 214th Pl Unit 2R Bayside, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,800 $4.31 5d 1 0.61mi
196-42 44th Ave #2 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,200 $3.67 5d 1 1.00mi
5839 196th Pl Fresh Meadows, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $2,750 $3.67 24d 1 1.16mi
4230 Douglaston Pkwy Little Neck, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 19d 1 1.23mi
24120 Northern Blvd Unit 3K Little Neck, NY 1.0 500 $2,800 $5.60 15d 1 1.24mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-02
    price $219,800
  3. 2025-11-07
    price $229,800
  4. 2025-10-31
    price $235,000
  5. 2025-05-21
    price $260,000
  6. 2025-04-25
    listed $290,000 Active
  7. 2025-04-24
    historical $290,000
  8. 2025-01-08
    listed $250,000 Active
  9. 2025-01-03
    historical
  10. 2017-01-25
    soldstatus $178,000 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    Homey 1 Bedroom Unit On The Top Floor. Bright With A Large Living Room And Bedroom. New Bathroom. Lots Of Closets! Wood Floor. Close To Transportation (Buses Q27, Q12 N20 & Lirr), Shops, Restaurants And Oakland Park. No Flip Tax! School District 26. Separate Storage Space Available., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Rental Income:

  11. 2016-11-16
    listed $159,900 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    Homey 1 Bedroom Unit On The Top Floor. Bright With A Large Living Room And Bedroom. New Bathroom. Lots Of Closets! Wood Floor. Close To Transportation (Buses Q27, Q12 N20 & Lirr), Shops, Restaurants And Oakland Park. No Flip Tax! School District 26. Separate Storage Space Available., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Rental Income:

  12. 2015-09-27
    historical
  13. 2015-04-28
    listed $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,481
− Mortgage interest
−$12,312
− Property taxes
−$3,297
− Insurance
−$1,099
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,359
− Management
−$2,359
− Depreciation
−$6,394
Taxable income
$1,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$399
After-tax cash flow
$4,664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
35,276
Household income
$98,359
Rent vs Own
29.4% rent · 70.6% own
Severe rent burden
1288.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 50% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
44% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
41% English-only · Chinese 30% Spanish 9% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -179.50%
Current HPI
242.5386
Rent YoY
▲ 8.47%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $219,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $229,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $235,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Listed $290,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Coming Soon $290,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-08 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-03 Coming Soon OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-25 Sold (MLS) $178,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-16 Listed $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-27 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-28 Listed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…