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B- Composite 67.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

None · Toledo, OH 43612
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,290 sqft · SingleFamily · 155 Days on market
Built 1925 5,201 sqft lot Est $134k · 22% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the

Key facts

  • 5,201 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Washington Local (urban): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #528 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.26%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
0.00mi 3/1.0 1,290 (0%) 0mo $85,000 $66 100
47 W Crawford Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,280 (-1%) 3mo $122,000 $95 72
31 W Capistrano Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,252 (-3%) 1mo $140,000 $112 68
306 Warrington Rd 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-9%) 10mo $137,000 $116 60
238 E Northgate Pkwy 0.47mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,336 (+4%) 7mo $119,666 $90 59
301 E Northgate Pkwy 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,192 (-8%) 9mo $115,000 $96 56
118 W Poinsetta Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,252 (-3%) 13mo $129,900 $104 56
110 Pasadena Blvd 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,333 (+3%) 7mo $88,000 $66 55
303 W Crawford Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,197 (-7%) 4mo $129,000 $108 50
23 W Capistrano Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,156 (-10%) 7mo $92,000 $80 50
42 California Blvd 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,102 (-15%) 11mo $125,000 $113 39
232 W Capistrano Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,118 (-13%) 13mo $146,000 $131 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,215
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$36,159
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43612

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5207 Bennett Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1109 $1,200 $1.08 14d 1 0.95mi
4220 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 1.27mi
4140 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1378 $1,650 $1.20 23d 1 1.31mi
4406 Asbury Dr Toledo, OH 4.0 2.0 1089 $1,550 $1.42 14d 1 1.33mi
927 W Northgate Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 14d 1 1.42mi
4124 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1245 $997 $0.80 44d 1 1.42mi
4129 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1385 $1,250 $0.90 44d 1 1.44mi
3905 Peru St Toledo, OH 4.0 3.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 21d 1 1.46mi
4039 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 23d 1 1.48mi
3950 Woodhaven Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1072 $745 $0.69 23d 1 1.49mi
405 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-14
    price $105,000
  3. 2025-12-24
    status Active
  4. 2025-12-12
    status Pending
  5. 2025-11-10
    price $113,440
  6. 2025-09-29
    listed $116,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,469
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,157
− Management
−$1,157
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,117
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$268
After-tax cash flow
$2,454/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington Local
NCES district ID
3904823
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$42,105
Composite
35.36/100
National rank
#4957
State rank
#528 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,480
Household income
$50,728
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
1203.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.05%
Current HPI
235.5389
Rent YoY
▲ 6.01%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $105,000 NORIS
  • 2025-12-24 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-12-12 Pending NORIS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $113,440 NORIS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $116,500 NORIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…