5005 42nd Pl N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move-in ready charmer is all ready to impress it's future owner! A spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath craftsman bungalow that offers plenty on the inside as well as a wide front porch and large back deck! Don't miss this opportunity to live minutes from downtown, while provided quick and easy access to I-20/59. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 171 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Inglenook School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #618 of 627 statewide, top 100%, 333 students, 91% FRL); George Washington Carver High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 531 students, 87% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.50%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,510
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4101 49th Ter N | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,547 (-2%) | 14mo | $67,000 | $43 | 76 |
| 636 Jefferson Blvd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,505 (-4%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $43 | 73 |
| 1012 Birmingham St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+0%) | 3mo | $26,000 | $17 | 71 |
| 717 Jackson Blvd | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,604 (+2%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $41 | 62 |
| 1249 Park Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-7%) | 12mo | $108,000 | $74 | 61 |
| 1140 Wharton Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-0%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 4100 41st Ave N | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-4%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $37 | 50 |
| 1360 Prosch Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 11mo | $84,000 | $63 | 49 |
| 4409 41st Pl N | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,793 (+14%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $84 | 44 |
| 1104 Linthicum St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (-15%) | 7mo | $56,000 | $42 | 42 |
| 4104 41st Ave N | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,345 (-14%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $32 | 36 |
| 1433 Ford Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-13%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $66 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,837
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $22,986
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35217
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $397/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 4212 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 1d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 4208 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4925 43rd Way N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,461 | $1.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1237 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1236 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1888 | $950 | $0.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1043 Jackson Blvd Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,095 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 732 Fulton Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1249 Waverly St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,000 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1434 Thomason Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $1,100 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4329 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,353 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 619 Bell Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,075 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4418 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1710 | $925 | $0.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1108 Hall St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $850 | $0.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4344 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,050 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1224 Sloan Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2164 | $1,200 | $0.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4301 Greenwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,025 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1401 Wharton Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 19d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1076 Green St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,050 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4217 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1303 Main St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1225 Elizabeth Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1697 | $1,100 | $0.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1731 Mountain Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $975 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4028 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $950 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4231 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $850 | $0.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1816 Damon Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1401 | $1,153 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1508 Saint Joseph St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-01-26soldstatus $121,000
-
2025-12-29status Pending
-
2025-10-31historical Contingent
-
2025-10-21price $119,900
-
2025-09-18price $126,900
-
2025-07-11$129,900 Active
-
2025-07-10historical $129,900
-
2019-05-09soldstatus $81,000
-
1994-12-19soldstatus $42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $397 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $492 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$95/yr (+$8/mo · 23.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$397
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$305
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,883/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,240
- Household income
- $40,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.54%
- Current HPI
- 117.416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+182.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-29 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-31 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $126,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $129,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-10 Coming Soon $129,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 1994-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $42,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $397 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…