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219 Hunter Hills Cir #10
D- Composite 35.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$194,500

219 Hunter Hills Cir #10 · Bristol, TN 37620
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1997 Good condition Est $165k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

You will not find a nicer unit than 219 Hunter Hills circle, #10! This 2-bedroom 2.5 bath end unit has been well taken care of by the original owner! The improvements include fresh paint throughout the home, all new switch plates, new door handles, new levolor blinds, new whirlpool stainless steel fingerprint resistant appliances, all new flooring, new 50-gallon water heater, new water pressure reducing valve and shut off valve. a new garage door was installed in 2013, new roof in 2014, new havac in 2018, new front porch in 2018, new gutter helment installed in 2019! This unit has two decks, one off kitchen and one off a bedroom. This unit is NICE! All information to be verified by buyer/

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New hvac
  • New flooring

Tags

FRESH PAINTNEW FLOORINGNEW WATER HEATERNEW GARAGE DOORNEW ROOFNEW HVAC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Townhouse; Planned unit development (PUD); Zoned R-3
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as residential structure
  • Exterior features: Deck; Rolling slope topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump cooling; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $194k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($335/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Bristol (urban): math 37% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #29 of 139 in TN (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Holston View Elementary (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #60 of 952 statewide, top 7%, 301 students, 0% FRL); Bristol Tennessee Middle School (math 37% / reading 29%, grade F, #77 of 333 statewide, top 24%, 883 students, 0% FRL); Tennessee High School (math 20% / reading 41%, grade F, #75 of 332 statewide, top 24%, 1,154 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $173,681 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,376
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Hunter Hls #2 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,176 (+8%) 9mo $180,000 $153 73
220 Amanda Ln #1 0.18mi 2/2.5 1,216 (+12%) 2mo $1,600 $1 70
119 Amanda Ln #6 0.21mi 2/2.5 1,216 (+12%) 3mo $1,600 $1 68
73 Tulip Grove Circle Cir #6 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,216 (+12%) 5mo $160,000 $132 68
119 Amanda Ln 0.21mi 2/2.5 1,216 (+12%) 6mo $1,500 $1 66
136 Amanda Ln 0.19mi 2/2.5 1,216 (+12%) 10mo $185,000 $152 63
188 Amanda Ln 0.15mi 2/2.5 1,216 (+12%) 13mo $185,000 $152 63
140 West Wilkshire Pl 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,196 (+10%) 6mo $276,000 $231 61
1801 King College Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (+13%) 4mo $225,000 $183 37
125 Brighton Pl 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+10%) 12mo $285,000 $238 37
216 Brighton Pl 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+10%) 13mo $289,000 $241 36
1277 Old Jonesboro Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,240 (+14%) 11mo $125,000 $101 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-29,712
Equity at exit
$29,001
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-23,475
Equity at exit
$16,817

Cash invested: $54,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37620

Active inventory
259
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,737 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,020
Tax est. 1.5%
$243 /mo · $2,918/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,701
Max offer price $194,500
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $95 +0% $28 +5% $-39 +10% $-106
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-41 +0% $28 +5% $97 +10% $165
Rate -1.0pp $126 -0.5pp $77 base $28 +0.5pp $-22 +1.0pp $-74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,625
Closing costs
$5,835
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
254 Wildwood Dr Bristol, TN 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 15d 1 0.84mi
221 Monroe Dr Bristol, TN 3.0 2.0 1282 $2,650 $2.07 23d 1 1.26mi
1206 Golf St Bristol, TN 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 15d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $194,500 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $194,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,842
− Mortgage interest
−$10,895
− Property taxes
−$2,918
− Insurance
−$972
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$5,658
Taxable loss
−$2,936
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$705
After-tax cash flow
$1,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This end-unit townhome is in good condition with recent updates, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace gutters — improves drainage and reduces maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace gutters — improves drainage and reduces maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bristol
NCES district ID
4700360
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,018
Composite
29.95/100
National rank
#6376
State rank
#29 of 139 in TN

Livability — Bristol

Score
73/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#5413

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bristol, TN
County
Sullivan County · 121,987 people
City population
38,494
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Population (ZIP)
38,494
Household income
$56,128
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
724.0

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,030 people
By 2030
156,415 · -0.4%
By 2040
153,778 · -2.1%
By 2050
149,018 · -5.1%
By 2075
138,068 · -12.1%
By 2100
119,927 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.0% · R 77.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+41.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -294.12%
Current HPI
263.38
Rent YoY
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $194,500 TVRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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